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 distributional dynamic programming



Optimizing Return Distributions with Distributional Dynamic Programming

Pires, Bernardo Ávila, Rowland, Mark, Borsa, Diana, Guo, Zhaohan Daniel, Khetarpal, Khimya, Barreto, André, Abel, David, Munos, Rémi, Dabney, Will

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

We introduce distributional dynamic programming (DP) methods for optimizing statistical functionals of the return distribution, with standard reinforcement learning as a special case. Previous distributional DP methods could optimize the same class of expected utilities as classic DP. To go beyond expected utilities, we combine distributional DP with stock augmentation, a technique previously introduced for classic DP in the context of risk-sensitive RL, where the MDP state is augmented with a statistic of the rewards obtained so far (since the first time step). We find that a number of recently studied problems can be formulated as stock-augmented return distribution optimization, and we show that we can use distributional DP to solve them. We analyze distributional value and policy iteration, with bounds and a study of what objectives these distributional DP methods can or cannot optimize. We describe a number of applications outlining how to use distributional DP to solve different stock-augmented return distribution optimization problems, for example maximizing conditional value-at-risk, and homeostatic regulation. To highlight the practical potential of stock-augmented return distribution optimization and distributional DP, we combine the core ideas of distributional value iteration with the deep RL agent DQN, and empirically evaluate it for solving instances of the applications discussed.


On Policy Evaluation Algorithms in Distributional Reinforcement Learning

Gerstenberg, Julian, Neininger, Ralph, Spiegel, Denis

arXiv.org Machine Learning

We introduce a novel class of algorithms to efficiently approximate the unknown return distributions in policy evaluation problems from distributional reinforcement learning (DRL). The proposed distributional dynamic programming algorithms are suitable for underlying Markov decision processes (MDPs) having an arbitrary probabilistic reward mechanism, including continuous reward distributions with unbounded support being potentially heavy-tailed. For a plain instance of our proposed class of algorithms we prove error bounds, both within Wasserstein and Kolmogorov--Smirnov distances. Furthermore, for return distributions having probability density functions the algorithms yield approximations for these densities; error bounds are given within supremum norm. We introduce the concept of quantile-spline discretizations to come up with algorithms showing promising results in simulation experiments. While the performance of our algorithms can rigorously be analysed they can be seen as universal black box algorithms applicable to a large class of MDPs. We also derive new properties of probability metrics commonly used in DRL on which our quantitative analysis is based.


Estimation and Inference in Distributional Reinforcement Learning

Zhang, Liangyu, Peng, Yang, Liang, Jiadong, Yang, Wenhao, Zhang, Zhihua

arXiv.org Machine Learning

In this paper, we study distributional reinforcement learning from the perspective of statistical efficiency. We investigate distributional policy evaluation, aiming to estimate the complete distribution of the random return (denoted $\eta^\pi$) attained by a given policy $\pi$. We use the certainty-equivalence method to construct our estimator $\hat\eta^\pi$, given a generative model is available. We show that in this circumstance we need a dataset of size $\widetilde O\left(\frac{|\mathcal{S}||\mathcal{A}|}{\epsilon^{2p}(1-\gamma)^{2p+2}}\right)$ to guarantee a $p$-Wasserstein metric between $\hat\eta^\pi$ and $\eta^\pi$ is less than $\epsilon$ with high probability. This implies the distributional policy evaluation problem can be solved with sample efficiency. Also, we show that under different mild assumptions a dataset of size $\widetilde O\left(\frac{|\mathcal{S}||\mathcal{A}|}{\epsilon^{2}(1-\gamma)^{4}}\right)$ suffices to ensure the Kolmogorov metric and total variation metric between $\hat\eta^\pi$ and $\eta^\pi$ is below $\epsilon$ with high probability. Furthermore, we investigate the asymptotic behavior of $\hat\eta^\pi$. We demonstrate that the ``empirical process'' $\sqrt{n}(\hat\eta^\pi-\eta^\pi)$ converges weakly to a Gaussian process in the space of bounded functionals on Lipschitz function class $\ell^\infty(\mathcal{F}_{W_1})$, also in the space of bounded functionals on indicator function class $\ell^\infty(\mathcal{F}_{\mathrm{KS}})$ and bounded measurable function class $\ell^\infty(\mathcal{F}_{\mathrm{TV}})$ when some mild conditions hold. Our findings give rise to a unified approach to statistical inference of a wide class of statistical functionals of $\eta^\pi$.


Risk-Driven Design of Perception Systems

Corso, Anthony L., Katz, Sydney M., Innes, Craig, Du, Xin, Ramamoorthy, Subramanian, Kochenderfer, Mykel J.

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Modern autonomous systems rely on perception modules to process complex sensor measurements into state estimates. These estimates are then passed to a controller, which uses them to make safety-critical decisions. It is therefore important that we design perception systems to minimize errors that reduce the overall safety of the system. We develop a risk-driven approach to designing perception systems that accounts for the effect of perceptual errors on the performance of the fullyintegrated, closed-loop system. We formulate a risk function to quantify the effect of a given perceptual error on overall safety, and show how we can use it to design safer perception systems by including a risk-dependent term in the loss function and generating training data in risk-sensitive regions. We evaluate our techniques on a realistic vision-based aircraft detect and avoid application and show that risk-driven design reduces collision risk by 37 % over a baseline system.


Robustness and risk management via distributional dynamic programming

Achab, Mastane, Neu, Gergely

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

In dynamic programming (DP) and reinforcement learning (RL), an agent learns to act optimally in terms of expected long-term return by sequentially interacting with its environment modeled by a Markov decision process (MDP). More generally in distributional reinforcement learning (DRL), the focus is on the whole distribution of the return, not just its expectation. Although DRL-based methods produced state-of-the-art performance in RL with function approximation, they involve additional quantities (compared to the non-distributional setting) that are still not well understood. As a first contribution, we introduce a new class of distributional operators, together with a practical DP algorithm for policy evaluation, that come with a robust MDP interpretation. Indeed, our approach reformulates through an augmented state space where each state is split into a worst-case substate and a best-case substate, whose values are maximized by safe and risky policies respectively. Finally, we derive distributional operators and DP algorithms solving a new control task: How to distinguish safe from risky optimal actions in order to break ties in the space of optimal policies?