diffusion step
Predict, Refine, Synthesize: Self-Guiding Diffusion Models for Probabilistic Time Series Forecasting
Diffusion models have achieved state-of-the-art performance in generative modeling tasks across various domains. Prior works on time series diffusion models have primarily focused on developing conditional models tailored to specific forecasting or imputation tasks. In this work, we explore the potential of taskagnostic, unconditional diffusion models for several time series applications. We propose TSDiff, an unconditionally-trained diffusion model for time series. Our proposed self-guidance mechanism enables conditioning TSDiff for downstream tasks during inference, without requiring auxiliary networks or altering the training procedure. We demonstrate the effectiveness of our method on three different time series tasks: forecasting, refinement, and synthetic data generation. First, we show that TSDiff is competitive with several task-specific conditional forecasting methods (predict). Second, we leverage the learned implicit probability density of TSDiff to iteratively refine the predictions of base forecasters with reduced computational overhead over reverse diffusion (refine). Notably, the generative performance of the model remains intact -- downstream forecasters trained on synthetic samples from TSDiff outperform forecasters that are trained on samples from other state-of-the-art generative time series models, occasionally even outperforming models trained on real data (synthesize).
Noise Schedule
Because a diffusion model shares parameters for all diffusion steps, the noise schedule (parametrized by 1:T) is an important hyperparameter that determines how much weight we assign to each denoising problem. We find that standard noise schedules for continuous diffusions are not robust for text data. We hypothesize that the discrete nature of text and the rounding step make the model insensitive to noise near t =0 . Concretely, adding small amount of Gaussian noise to a word embedding is unlikely to change its nearest neighbor in the embedding space, making denoising an easy task near t =0 . To address this, we introduce a new sqrt noise schedule that is better suited for text, shown in Figure 5 defined by t =1 p t/T +s, where s is a small constant that corresponds to the starting noise level11. Compared to standard linear and cosine schedules, our sqrt schedule starts with a higher noise level and increase noise rapidly for the first 50 steps. Then sqrt slows down injecting noise to avoid spending much steps in the high-noise problems, which may be too difficult to solve well. The hyperparameters that are specific to Diffusion-LM include the number of diffusion steps, the architecture of the Diffusion-LM, the embedding dimension, and the noise schedule, . We set the diffusion steps to be 2000, the architecture to be BERT-base [7], and the sequence length to be 64. For the embedding dimensions, we select from d 2{ 16,64,128,256} and select d = 16for the E2E dataset and d = 128for ROCStories. For the noise schedule, we design the sqrt schedule (Appendix A) that is more robust to different parametrizations and embedding dimensions as shown in Appendix M. However, once we picked the x0-parametrization ( 4.2) the advantage of sqrt schedule is not salient. We train Diffusion-LMs using AdamW optimizer and a linearly decay learning rate starting at 1e-4, dropout of 0.1, batch size of 64, and the total number of training iteration is 200K for E2E dataset, and 800K for ROCStories dataset. Our Diffusion-LMs are trained on a single GPU: NVIDIARTXA5000, NVIDIAGeForce RTX 3090, or NVIDIAA100.
DIFUSCO: Graph-based Diffusion Solvers for Combinatorial Optimization
Neural network-based Combinatorial Optimization (CO) methods have shown promising results in solving various NP-complete (NPC) problems without relying on hand-crafted domain knowledge. This paper broadens the current scope of neural solvers for NPC problems by introducing a new graph-based diffusion framework, namely DIFUSCO. Our framework casts NPC problems as discrete {0,1}-vector optimization problems and leverages graph-based denoising diffusion models to generate high-quality solutions. We investigate two types of diffusion models with Gaussian and Bernoulli noise, respectively, and devise an effective inference schedule to enhance the solution quality. We evaluate our methods on two well-studied NPC combinatorial optimization problems: Traveling Salesman Problem (TSP) and Maximal Independent Set (MIS). Experimental results show that DIFUSCO strongly outperforms the previous state-of-the-art neural solvers, improving the performance gap between ground-truth and neural solvers from 1.76% to 0.46% on TSP-500, from 2.46% to 1.17% on TSP-1000, and from 3.19% to 2.58% on TSP-10000. For the MIS problem, DIFUSCO outperforms the previous state-of-the-art neural solver on the challenging SATLIB benchmark.
Leveraging Early-Stage Robustness in Diffusion Models for Efficient and High-Quality Image Synthesis
While diffusion models have demonstrated exceptional image generation capabilities, the iterative noise estimation process required for these models is computeintensive and their practical implementation is limited by slow sampling speeds. In this paper, we propose a novel approach to speed up the noise estimation network by leveraging the robustness of early-stage diffusion models. Our findings indicate that inaccurate computation during the early-stage of the reverse diffusion process has minimal impact on the quality of generated images, as this stage primarily outlines the image while later stages handle the finer details that require more sensitive information. To improve computational efficiency, we combine our findings with post-training quantization (PTQ) and introduce a method that utilizes low-bit activations for the early reverse diffusion process while maintaining high-bit activations for the later stages. Experimental results show that the proposed method can accelerate the early-stage computation without sacrificing the quality of the generated images.
One-Step Effective Diffusion Network for Real-World Image Super-Resolution
The pre-trained text-to-image diffusion models have been increasingly employed to tackle the real-world image super-resolution (Real-ISR) problem due to their powerful generative image priors. Most of the existing methods start from random noise to reconstruct the high-quality (HQ) image under the guidance of the given low-quality (LQ) image. While promising results have been achieved, such Real-ISR methods require multiple diffusion steps to reproduce the HQ image, increasing the computational cost. Meanwhile, the random noise introduces uncertainty in the output, which is unfriendly to image restoration tasks. To address these issues, we propose a one-step effective diffusion network, namely OSEDiff, for the Real-ISR problem.
Supplementary Materials - Adaptive Online Replanning with Diffusion Models Siyuan Zhou
In the supplementary, we first discuss the experimental details and hyperparameters in Section A. Section B, and further present the visualization in RLBench in Section C. Finally, we discuss how to MLP with 512 hidden units and Mish activations. The probability ϵ of random actions is set to 0. 03 in Stochastic Environments. So the sampled trajectories still lead to the collision. Figure 1 illustrates a problematic sampled trajectory after execution. We further evaluate the performance with different replanning steps in Table 1.