diagnosis phase
Probabilistic Digital Twin for Misspecified Structural Dynamical Systems via Latent Force Modeling and Bayesian Neural Networks
This work presents a probabilistic digital twin framework for response prediction in dynamical systems governed by misspecified physics. The approach integrates Gaussian Process Latent Force Models (GPLFM) and Bayesian Neural Networks (BNNs) to enable end-to-end uncertainty-aware inference and prediction. In the diagnosis phase, model-form errors (MFEs) are treated as latent input forces to a nominal linear dynamical system and jointly estimated with system states using GPLFM from sensor measurements. A BNN is then trained on posterior samples to learn a probabilistic nonlinear mapping from system states to MFEs, while capturing diagnostic uncertainty. For prognosis, this mapping is used to generate pseudo-measurements, enabling state prediction via Kalman filtering. The framework allows for systematic propagation of uncertainty from diagnosis to prediction, a key capability for trustworthy digital twins. The framework is demonstrated using four nonlinear examples: a single degree of freedom (DOF) oscillator, a multi-DOF system, and two established benchmarks -- the Bouc-Wen hysteretic system and the Silverbox experimental dataset -- highlighting its predictive accuracy and robustness to model misspecification.
- Europe > United Kingdom > England > Cambridgeshire > Cambridge (0.04)
- North America > United States > New Mexico > Bernalillo County > Albuquerque (0.04)
- North America > United States > Massachusetts > Middlesex County > Natick (0.04)
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AI and Global Mobility
Artificial Intelligence can be used to innovate our health system even more. It can be done either in the diagnosis phase, the medicine production, vaccine discovery, prediction of pandemics, and so on. We already discussed some examples in the diagnosis phase, now let's talk about using AI to bring new ways of doing your tasks. Developing a new medicine is difficult. It requires many hours of work and investing tons of money.