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Energy-Predictive Planning for Optimizing Drone Service Delivery

Ren, Guanting, Shahzaad, Babar, Alkouz, Balsam, Lakhdari, Abdallah, Bouguettaya, Athman

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Energy-Predictive Planning for Optimizing Drone Service Delivery Guanting Ren, Babar Shahzaad, Balsam Alkouz, Abdallah Lakhdari, Ath-man Bouguettaya An Energy-Predictive Drone Service (EPDS) framework to minimize the average delivery time. A heuristic-based optimization for drone services composition to reduce recharging and waiting time. Abstract We propose a novel Energy-Predictive Drone Service (EPDS) framework for efficient package delivery within a skyway network. The EPDS framework incorporates a formal modeling of an EPDS and an adaptive bidirectional Long Short-Term Memory (Bi-LSTM) machine learning model. This model predicts the energy status and stochastic arrival times of other drones operating in the same skyway network. Leveraging these predictions, we develop a heuristic optimization approach for composite drone services. This approach identifies the most time-efficient and energy-efficient skyway path and recharging schedule for each drone in the network. We conduct extensive experiments using a real-world drone flight dataset to evaluate the performance of the proposed framework. Introduction The Internet of Things (IoT) has become more mature and widespread, largely thanks to advancements in software and hardware technologies. Drones serve various purposes, including aiding in farm irrigation, capturing aerial imagery for entertainment, and facilitating the delivery of retail goods (Mohsan et al. (2023)). Drone delivery services are increasingly important because they can offer faster delivery times, lower operational costs, and potentially a greener alternative to traditional delivery methods (Eskandaripour and Boldsaikhan (2023)). Several key challenges, however, hinder the wider adoption of drones for delivery services (Sah et al. (2021)). A primary challenge is constrained battery capacity, which limits a drone's flight range (Huang et al. (2022)). With current lightweight batteries, delivery drones are not well-suited for long-distance trips, particularly when carrying heavy payloads. As a result, some studies propose using drones only for last-mile deliveries (Garg et al. (2023)). Despite these limitations, drones remain a clean, cost-effective, and ubiquitous alternative to land-based delivery in both urban and rural areas (Attenni et al. (2023)).


Learning to Estimate Package Delivery Time in Mixed Imbalanced Delivery and Pickup Logistics Services

Yi, Jinhui, Yan, Huan, Wang, Haotian, Yuan, Jian, Li, Yong

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Accurately estimating package delivery time is essential to the logistics industry, which enables reasonable work allocation and on-time service guarantee. This becomes even more necessary in mixed logistics scenarios where couriers handle a high volume of delivery and a smaller number of pickup simultaneously. However, most of the related works treat the pickup and delivery patterns on couriers' decision behavior equally, neglecting that the pickup has a greater impact on couriers' decision-making compared to the delivery due to its tighter time constraints. In such context, we have three main challenges: 1) multiple spatiotemporal factors are intricately interconnected, significantly affecting couriers' delivery behavior; 2) pickups have stricter time requirements but are limited in number, making it challenging to model their effects on couriers' delivery process; 3) couriers' spatial mobility patterns are critical determinants of their delivery behavior, but have been insufficiently explored. To deal with these, we propose TransPDT, a Transformer-based multi-task package delivery time prediction model. We first employ the Transformer encoder architecture to capture the spatio-temporal dependencies of couriers' historical travel routes and pending package sets. Then we design the pattern memory to learn the patterns of pickup in the imbalanced dataset via attention mechanism. We also set the route prediction as an auxiliary task of delivery time prediction, and incorporate the prior courier spatial movement regularities in prediction. Extensive experiments on real industry-scale datasets demonstrate the superiority of our method. A system based on TransPDT is deployed internally in JD Logistics to track more than 2000 couriers handling hundreds of thousands of packages per day in Beijing.


Ready, Bid, Go! On-Demand Delivery Using Fleets of Drones with Unknown, Heterogeneous Energy Storage Constraints

Talamali, Mohamed S., Miyauchi, Genki, Watteyne, Thomas, Couceiro, Micael S., Gross, Roderich

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Unmanned Aerial Vehicles (UAVs) are expected to transform logistics, reducing delivery time, costs, and emissions. This study addresses an on-demand delivery , in which fleets of UAVs are deployed to fulfil orders that arrive stochastically. Unlike previous work, it considers UAVs with heterogeneous, unknown energy storage capacities and assumes no knowledge of the energy consumption models. We propose a decentralised deployment strategy that combines auction-based task allocation with online learning. Each UAV independently decides whether to bid for orders based on its energy storage charge level, the parcel mass, and delivery distance. Over time, it refines its policy to bid only for orders within its capability. Simulations using realistic UAV energy models reveal that, counter-intuitively, assigning orders to the least confident bidders reduces delivery times and increases the number of successfully fulfilled orders. This strategy is shown to outperform threshold-based methods which require UAVs to exceed specific charge levels at deployment. We propose a variant of the strategy which uses learned policies for forecasting. This enables UAVs with insufficient charge levels to commit to fulfilling orders at specific future times, helping to prioritise early orders. Our work provides new insights into long-term deployment of UAV swarms, highlighting the advantages of decentralised energy-aware decision-making coupled with online learning in real-world dynamic environments.


Food Delivery Time Prediction in Indian Cities Using Machine Learning Models

Garg, Ananya, Ayaan, Mohmmad, Parekh, Swara, Udandarao, Vikranth

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Accurate prediction of food delivery times significantly impacts customer satisfaction, operational efficiency, and profitability in food delivery services. However, existing studies primarily utilize static historical data and often overlook dynamic, real-time contextual factors crucial for precise prediction, particularly in densely populated Indian cities. This research addresses these gaps by integrating real-time contextual variables such as traffic density, weather conditions, local events, and geospatial data (restaurant and delivery location coordinates) into predictive models. We systematically compare various machine learning algorithms, including Linear Regression, Decision Trees, Bagging, Random Forest, XGBoost, and LightGBM, on a comprehensive food delivery dataset specific to Indian urban contexts. Rigorous data preprocessing and feature selection significantly enhanced model performance. Experimental results demonstrate that the LightGBM model achieves superior predictive accuracy, with an R2 score of 0.76 and Mean Squared Error (MSE) of 20.59, outperforming traditional baseline approaches. Our study thus provides actionable insights for improving logistics strategies in complex urban environments. The complete methodology and code are publicly available for reproducibility and further research.


STTM: A New Approach Based Spatial-Temporal Transformer And Memory Network For Real-time Pressure Signal In On-demand Food Delivery

Wang, Jiang, Wei, Haibin, Xu, Xiaowei, Shi, Jiacheng, Nie, Jian, Du, Longzhi, Jiang, Taixu

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

On-demand Food Delivery (OFD) services have become very common around the world. For example, on the Ele.me platform, users place more than 15 million food orders every day. Predicting the Real-time Pressure Signal (RPS) is crucial for OFD services, as it is primarily used to measure the current status of pressure on the logistics system. When RPS rises, the pressure increases, and the platform needs to quickly take measures to prevent the logistics system from being overloaded. Usually, the average delivery time for all orders within a business district is used to represent RPS. Existing research on OFD services primarily focuses on predicting the delivery time of orders, while relatively less attention has been given to the study of the RPS. Previous research directly applies general models such as DeepFM, RNN, and GNN for prediction, but fails to adequately utilize the unique temporal and spatial characteristics of OFD services, and faces issues with insufficient sensitivity during sudden severe weather conditions or peak periods. To address these problems, this paper proposes a new method based on Spatio-Temporal Transformer and Memory Network (STTM). Specifically, we use a novel Spatio-Temporal Transformer structure to learn logistics features across temporal and spatial dimensions and encode the historical information of a business district and its neighbors, thereby learning both temporal and spatial information. Additionally, a Memory Network is employed to increase sensitivity to abnormal events. Experimental results on the real-world dataset show that STTM significantly outperforms previous methods in both offline experiments and the online A/B test, demonstrating the effectiveness of this method.


An Evolutionary Algorithm For the Vehicle Routing Problem with Drones with Interceptions

Pambo, Carlos, Grobler, Jacomine

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

The use of trucks and drones as a solution to address last-mile delivery challenges is a new and promising research direction explored in this paper. The variation of the problem where the drone can intercept the truck while in movement or at the customer location is part of an optimisation problem called the vehicle routing problem with drones with interception (VRPDi). This paper proposes an evolutionary algorithm to solve the VRPDi. In this variation of the VRPDi, multiple pairs of trucks and drones need to be scheduled. The pairs leave and return to a depot location together or separately to make deliveries to customer nodes. The drone can intercept the truck after the delivery or meet up with the truck at the following customer location. The algorithm was executed on the travelling salesman problem with drones (TSPD) datasets by Bouman et al. (2015), and the performance of the algorithm was compared by benchmarking the results of the VRPDi against the results of the VRP of the same dataset. This comparison showed improvements in total delivery time between 39% and 60%. Further detailed analysis of the algorithm results examined the total delivery time, distance, node delivery scheduling and the degree of diversity during the algorithm execution. This analysis also considered how the algorithm handled the VRPDi constraints. The results of the algorithm were then benchmarked against algorithms in Dillon et al. (2023) and Ernst (2024). The latter solved the problem with a maximum drone distance constraint added to the VRPDi. The analysis and benchmarking of the algorithm results showed that the algorithm satisfactorily solved 50 and 100-nodes problems in a reasonable amount of time, and the solutions found were better than those found by the algorithms in Dillon et al. (2023) and Ernst (2024) for the same problems.


NeuraLunaDTNet: Feedforward Neural Network-Based Routing Protocol for Delay-Tolerant Lunar Communication Networks

Patel, Parth, Radenkovic, Milena

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Space Communication poses challenges such as severe delays, hard-to-predict routes and communication disruptions. The Delay Tolerant Network architecture, having been specifically designed keeping such scenarios in mind, is suitable to address some challenges. The traditional DTN routing protocols fall short of delivering optimal performance, due to the inherent complexities of space communication. Researchers have aimed at using recent advancements in AI to mitigate some routing challenges [9]. We propose utilising a feedforward neural network to develop a novel protocol NeuraLunaDTNet, which enhances the efficiency of the PRoPHET routing protocol for lunar communication, by learning contact plans in dynamically changing spatio-temporal graph.


A mathematical model for simultaneous personnel shift planning and unrelated parallel machine scheduling

Khadivi, Maziyar, Abbasi, Mostafa, Charter, Todd, Najjaran, Homayoun

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

This paper addresses a production scheduling problem derived from an industrial use case, focusing on unrelated parallel machine scheduling with the personnel availability constraint. The proposed model optimizes the production plan over a multi-period scheduling horizon, accommodating variations in personnel shift hours within each time period. It assumes shared personnel among machines, with one personnel required per machine for setup and supervision during job processing. Available personnel are fewer than the machines, thus limiting the number of machines that can operate in parallel. The model aims to minimize the total production time considering machine-dependent processing times and sequence-dependent setup times. The model handles practical scenarios like machine eligibility constraints and production time windows. A Mixed Integer Linear Programming (MILP) model is introduced to formulate the problem, taking into account both continuous and district variables. A two-step solution approach enhances computational speed, first maximizing accepted jobs and then minimizing production time. Validation with synthetic problem instances and a real industrial case study of a food processing plant demonstrates the performance of the model and its usefulness in personnel shift planning. The findings offer valuable insights for practical managerial decision-making in the context of production scheduling.


Effort and Size Estimation in Software Projects with Large Language Model-based Intelligent Interfaces

Coelho, Claudionor N. Jr, Xiong, Hanchen, Karayil, Tushar, Koratala, Sree, Shang, Rex, Bollinger, Jacob, Shabar, Mohamed, Nair, Syam

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

The advancement of Large Language Models (LLM) has also resulted in an equivalent proliferation in its applications. Software design, being one, has gained tremendous benefits in using LLMs as an interface component that extends fixed user stories. However, inclusion of LLM-based AI agents in software design often poses unexpected challenges, especially in the estimation of development efforts. Through the example of UI-based user stories, we provide a comparison against traditional methods and propose a new way to enhance specifications of natural language-based questions that allows for the estimation of development effort by taking into account data sources, interfaces and algorithms.


Optimizing Drone Delivery in Smart Cities

Shahzaad, Babar, Alkouz, Balsam, Janszen, Jermaine, Bouguettaya, Athman

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Abstract--We propose a novel context-aware drone delivery framework for optimizing package delivery through skyway networks in smart cities. In this respect, we propose a novel line-of-sight heuristic-based context-aware composition algorithm that selects and composes near-optimal drone delivery services. We conducted an extensive experiment using a real dataset to show the robustness of our proposed approach. A skyway network is defined is a popular type of UAV that offers potential as a set of skyway segments that directly connect benefits in smart city applications [2]. Drones two nodes representing take-off and landing are increasingly becoming pervasive in their use, stations [8]. Take-off and landing stations (aka including surveillance, agriculture, and delivery network nodes) are typically from and to building of goods [3].