Goto

Collaborating Authors

 delay differential equation





Modeling Irregular Astronomical Time Series with Neural Stochastic Delay Differential Equations

Oh, YongKyung, Kam, Seungsu, Lim, Dong-Young, Kim, Sungil

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Astronomical time series from large-scale surveys like LSST are often irregularly sampled and incomplete, posing challenges for classification and anomaly detection. We introduce a new framework based on Neural Stochastic Delay Differential Equations (Neural SDDEs) that combines stochastic modeling with neural networks to capture delayed temporal dynamics and handle irregular observations. Our approach integrates a delay-aware neural architecture, a numerical solver for SDDEs, and mechanisms to robustly learn from noisy, sparse sequences. Experiments on irregularly sampled astronomical data demonstrate strong classification accuracy and effective detection of novel astrophysical events, even with partial labels. This work highlights Neural SDDEs as a principled and practical tool for time series analysis under observational constraints.



A Bayesian Approach for Discovering Time- Delayed Differential Equation from Data

Chowdhury, Debangshu, Chakraborty, Souvik

arXiv.org Machine Learning

Time-delayed differential equations (TDDEs) are widely used to model complex dynamic systems where future states depend on past states with a delay. However, inferring the underlying TDDEs from observed data remains a challenging problem due to the inherent nonlinearity, uncertainty, and noise in real-world systems. Conventional equation discovery methods often exhibit limitations when dealing with large time delays, relying on deterministic techniques or optimization-based approaches that may struggle with scalability and robustness. In this paper, we present BayTiDe - Bayesian Approach for Discovering Time-Delayed Differential Equations from Data, that is capable of identifying arbitrarily large values of time delay to an accuracy that is directly proportional to the resolution of the data input to it. BayTiDe leverages Bayesian inference combined with a sparsity-promoting discontinuous spike-and-slab prior to accurately identify time-delayed differential equations. The approach accommodates arbitrarily large time delays with accuracy proportional to the input data resolution, while efficiently narrowing the search space to achieve significant computational savings. We demonstrate the efficiency and robustness of BayTiDe through a range of numerical examples, validating its ability to recover delayed differential equations from noisy data.


Neural DDEs with Learnable Delays for Partially Observed Dynamical Systems

Monsel, Thibault, Menier, Emmanuel, Semeraro, Onofrio, Mathelin, Lionel, Charpiat, Guillaume

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Many successful methods to learn dynamical systems from data have recently been introduced. Such methods often rely on the availability of the system's full state. However, this underlying hypothesis is rather restrictive as it is typically not confirmed in practice, leaving us with partially observed systems. Utilizing the Mori-Zwanzig (MZ) formalism from statistical physics, we demonstrate that Constant Lag Neural Delay Differential Equations (ND-DEs) naturally serve as suitable models for partially observed states. In empirical evaluation, we show that such models outperform existing methods on both synthetic and experimental data.


A Deep Neural Network Framework for Solving Forward and Inverse Problems in Delay Differential Equations

Wang, Housen, Chen, Yuxing, Cao, Sirong, Wang, Xiaoli, Liu, Qiang

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

We propose a unified framework for delay differential equations (DDEs) based on deep neural networks (DNNs) - the neural delay differential equations (NDDEs), aimed at solving the forward and inverse problems of delay differential equations. This framework could embed delay differential equations into neural networks to accommodate the diverse requirements of DDEs in terms of initial conditions, control equations, and known data. NDDEs adjust the network parameters through automatic differentiation and optimization algorithms to minimize the loss function, thereby obtaining numerical solutions to the delay differential equations without the grid dependence and polynomial interpolation typical of traditional numerical methods. In addressing inverse problems, the NDDE framework can utilize observational data to perform precise estimation of single or multiple delay parameters, which is very important in practical mathematical modeling. The results of multiple numerical experiments have shown that NDDEs demonstrate high precision in both forward and inverse problems, proving their effectiveness and promising potential in dealing with delayed differential equation issues.


Unveiling Delay Effects in Traffic Forecasting: A Perspective from Spatial-Temporal Delay Differential Equations

Long, Qingqing, Fang, Zheng, Fang, Chen, Chen, Chong, Wang, Pengfei, Zhou, Yuanchun

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Traffic flow forecasting is a fundamental research issue for transportation planning and management, which serves as a canonical and typical example of spatial-temporal predictions. In recent years, Graph Neural Networks (GNNs) and Recurrent Neural Networks (RNNs) have achieved great success in capturing spatial-temporal correlations for traffic flow forecasting. Yet, two non-ignorable issues haven't been well solved: 1) The message passing in GNNs is immediate, while in reality the spatial message interactions among neighboring nodes can be delayed. The change of traffic flow at one node will take several minutes, i.e., time delay, to influence its connected neighbors. 2) Traffic conditions undergo continuous changes. The prediction frequency for traffic flow forecasting may vary based on specific scenario requirements. Most existing discretized models require retraining for each prediction horizon, restricting their applicability. To tackle the above issues, we propose a neural Spatial-Temporal Delay Differential Equation model, namely STDDE. It includes both delay effects and continuity into a unified delay differential equation framework, which explicitly models the time delay in spatial information propagation. Furthermore, theoretical proofs are provided to show its stability. Then we design a learnable traffic-graph time-delay estimator, which utilizes the continuity of the hidden states to achieve the gradient backward process. Finally, we propose a continuous output module, allowing us to accurately predict traffic flow at various frequencies, which provides more flexibility and adaptability to different scenarios. Extensive experiments show the superiority of the proposed STDDE along with competitive computational efficiency.


Accelerating Fractional PINNs using Operational Matrices of Derivative

Taheri, Tayebeh, Aghaei, Alireza Afzal, Parand, Kourosh

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

This paper presents a novel operational matrix method to accelerate the training of fractional Physics-Informed Neural Networks (fPINNs). Our approach involves a non-uniform discretization of the fractional Caputo operator, facilitating swift computation of fractional derivatives within Caputo-type fractional differential problems with $0<\alpha<1$. In this methodology, the operational matrix is precomputed, and during the training phase, automatic differentiation is replaced with a matrix-vector product. While our methodology is compatible with any network, we particularly highlight its successful implementation in PINNs, emphasizing the enhanced accuracy achieved when utilizing the Legendre Neural Block (LNB) architecture. LNB incorporates Legendre polynomials into the PINN structure, providing a significant boost in accuracy. The effectiveness of our proposed method is validated across diverse differential equations, including Delay Differential Equations (DDEs) and Systems of Differential Algebraic Equations (DAEs). To demonstrate its versatility, we extend the application of the method to systems of differential equations, specifically addressing nonlinear Pantograph fractional-order DDEs/DAEs. The results are supported by a comprehensive analysis of numerical outcomes.