In the domain of corporate credit rating, traditional deep learning methods have improved predictive accuracy but still suffer from the inherent 'black-box' problem and limited interpretability. While incorporating non-financial information enriches the data and provides partial interpretability, the models still lack hierarchical reasoning mechanisms, limiting their comprehensive analytical capabilities. To address these challenges, we propose CreditXAI, a Multi-Agent System (MAS) framework that simulates the collaborative decision-making process of professional credit analysts. The framework focuses on business, financial, and governance risk dimensions to generate consistent and interpretable credit assessments. Experimental results demonstrate that multi-agent collaboration improves predictive accuracy by more than 7% over the best single-agent baseline, confirming its significant synergistic advantage in corporate credit risk evaluation. This study provides a new technical pathway to build intelligent and interpretable credit rating models.

--Corporate credit rating serves as a crucial intermediary service in the market economy, playing a key role in maintaining economic order . Existing credit rating models rely on financial metrics and deep learning. However, they often overlook insights from non-financial data, such as corporate annual reports. T o address this, this paper introduces a corporate credit rating framework that integrates financial data with features extracted from annual reports using FinBERT, aiming to fully leverage the potential value of unstructured text data. In addition, we have developed a large-scale dataset, the Comprehensive Corporate Rating Dataset (CCRD), which combines both traditional financial data and textual data from annual reports. The experimental results show that the proposed method improves the accuracy of the rating predictions by 8-12%, significantly improving the effectiveness and reliability of corporate credit ratings.

Large Language Models (LLMs) have been shown to perform well for many downstream tasks. Transfer learning can enable LLMs to acquire skills that were not targeted during pre-training. In financial contexts, LLMs can sometimes beat well-established benchmarks. This paper investigates how well LLMs perform in the task of forecasting corporate credit ratings. We show that while LLMs are very good at encoding textual information, traditional methods are still very competitive when it comes to encoding numeric and multimodal data. For our task, current LLMs perform worse than a more traditional XGBoost architecture that combines fundamental and macroeconomic data with high-density text-based embedding features.

Whether they are called manifestos or contracts, the documents published by political parties ahead of an election are rather less substantial than their many pages would suggest. They are full of best-case scenarios, undetailed proposals and dubious costings, and it is hard to picture the impact each party would have on the UK if they followed through with their pitches. So I've been feeding party literature into the political strategy video game Democracy 4, to see how these policies might play out. The results were … well, you'll see. Democracy 4 lets you play out your political fantasies (or nightmares) to see the impact of your choices and, ultimately, if you can get re-elected.

Knowing which factors are significant in credit rating assignment leads to better decision-making. However, the focus of the literature thus far has been mostly on structured data, and fewer studies have addressed unstructured or multi-modal datasets. In this paper, we present an analysis of the most effective architectures for the fusion of deep learning models for the prediction of company credit rating classes, by using structured and unstructured datasets of different types. In these models, we tested different combinations of fusion strategies with different deep learning models, including CNN, LSTM, GRU, and BERT. We studied data fusion strategies in terms of level (including early and intermediate fusion) and techniques (including concatenation and cross-attention). Our results show that a CNN-based multi-modal model with two fusion strategies outperformed other multi-modal techniques. In addition, by comparing simple architectures with more complex ones, we found that more sophisticated deep learning models do not necessarily produce the highest performance; however, if attention-based models are producing the best results, cross-attention is necessary as a fusion strategy. Finally, our comparison of rating agencies on short-, medium-, and long-term performance shows that Moody's credit ratings outperform those of other agencies like Standard & Poor's and Fitch Ratings.

A new research project has found that the discretionary decisions made by human bank managers can be replicated by machine learning systems to an accuracy of more than 95%. Using the same data available to bank managers in a privileged dataset, the best-performing algorithm in the test was a Random Forest implementation – a fairly simple approach that's twenty years old, but which still outperformed a neural network when attempting to mimic the behavior of human bank managers formulating final decisions about loans. The Random Forest algorithm, one of four put through their paces for the project, achieves high human-equivalent scoring vs. performance of bank managers, despite the relative simplicity of the algorithm. The researchers, who had access to a proprietary dataset of 37,449 loan ratings across 4,414 unique customers at'a large commercial bank', suggest at various points in the preprint paper that the automated data analysis that managers are given to make their decision has now become so accurate that bank managers rarely deviate from it, potentially signifying that bank managers' part in the loan approval process chiefly consists of retaining someone to fire in the event of a loan default. 'From a practical perspective it is worth noting that our results may indicate that the bank could process loans faster and cheaper in the absence of human loan managers with very comparable results.

Global corporations face a difficult task in predicting credit ratings. In this case, Massaron employs deep learning techniques to forecast credit ratings for global corporations. Luca Massaron, Senior Data Scientist, Kaggle Master and Google Developer Expert on ML, spoke at the Deep Learning Devcon 2021, organised by The Association of Data Scientists, earlier this month. In his talk on "Deep Learning for Credit Rating", Massaron covered topics, such as how deep learning techniques may be used to forecast credit ratings for worldwide business organisations; obligations are compared to the most widely used traditional machine-learning approaches, such as linear models and tree-based classifiers. According to Massaron, in an article titled "An artificial intelligence approach to shadow rating," the study's objective was to demonstrate that neural networks may be a more effective technique for calibrating and predicting ratings than other modelling approaches currently used in the banking industry. Luca proceeded further by explaining the significance of credit ratings.

Due to the powerful learning ability on high-rank and non-linear features, deep neural networks (DNNs) are being applied to data mining and machine learning in various fields, and exhibit higher discrimination performance than conventional methods. However, the applications based on DNNs are rare in enterprise credit rating tasks because most of DNNs employ the "end-to-end" learning paradigm, which outputs the high-rank representations of objects and predictive results without any explanations. Thus, users in the financial industry cannot understand how these high-rank representations are generated, what do they mean and what relations exist with the raw inputs. Then users cannot determine whether the predictions provided by DNNs are reliable, and not trust the predictions providing by such "black box" models. Therefore, in this paper, we propose a novel network to explicitly model the enterprise credit rating problem using DNNs and attention mechanisms. The proposed model realizes explainable enterprise credit ratings. Experimental results obtained on real-world enterprise datasets verify that the proposed approach achieves higher performance than conventional methods, and provides insights into individual rating results and the reliability of model training.

This paper investigates the prospects of using directive explanations to assist people in achieving recourse of machine learning decisions. Directive explanations list which specific actions an individual needs to take to achieve their desired outcome. If a machine learning model makes a decision that is detrimental to an individual (e.g. denying a loan application), then it needs to both explain why it made that decision and also explain how the individual could obtain their desired outcome (if possible). At present, this is often done using counterfactual explanations, but such explanations generally do not tell individuals how to act. We assert that counterfactual explanations can be improved by explicitly providing people with actions they could use to achieve their desired goal. This paper makes two contributions. First, we present the results of an online study investigating people's perception of directive explanations. Second, we propose a conceptual model to generate such explanations. Our online study showed a significant preference for directive explanations ($p<0.001$). However, the participants' preferred explanation type was affected by multiple factors, such as individual preferences, social factors, and the feasibility of the directives. Our findings highlight the need for a human-centred and context-specific approach for creating directive explanations.

Credit rating is an analysis of the credit risks associated with a corporation, which reflects the level of the riskiness and reliability in investing, and plays a vital role in financial risk. There have emerged many studies that implement machine learning and deep learning techniques which are based on vector space to deal with corporate credit rating. Recently, considering the relations among enterprises such as loan guarantee network, some graph-based models are applied in this field with the advent of graph neural networks. But these existing models build networks between corporations without taking the internal feature interactions into account. In this paper, to overcome such problems, we propose a novel model, Corporate Credit Rating via Graph Neural Networks, CCR-GNN for brevity. We firstly construct individual graphs for each corporation based on self-outer product and then use GNN to model the feature interaction explicitly, which includes both local and global information. Extensive experiments conducted on the Chinese public-listed corporate rating dataset, prove that CCR-GNN outperforms the state-of-the-art methods consistently.