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FlowPath: Learning Data-Driven Manifolds with Invertible Flows for Robust Irregularly-sampled Time Series Classification

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Modeling continuous-time dynamics from sparse and irregularly-sampled time series remains a fundamental challenge. Neural controlled differential equations provide a principled framework for such tasks, yet their performance is highly sensitive to the choice of control path constructed from discrete observations. Existing methods commonly employ fixed interpolation schemes, which impose simplistic geometric assumptions that often misrepresent the underlying data manifold, particularly under high missingness. We propose FlowPath, a novel approach that learns the geometry of the control path via an invertible neural flow. Rather than merely connecting observations, FlowPath constructs a continuous and data-adaptive manifold, guided by invertibility constraints that enforce information-preserving and well-behaved transformations. This inductive bias distinguishes FlowPath from prior unconstrained learnable path models. Empirical evaluations on 18 benchmark datasets and a real-world case study demonstrate that FlowPath consistently achieves statistically significant improvements in classification accuracy over baselines using fixed interpolants or non-invertible architectures. These results highlight the importance of modeling not only the dynamics along the path but also the geometry of the path itself, offering a robust and generalizable solution for learning from irregular time series.


TANDEM: Temporal Attention-guided Neural Differential Equations for Missingness in Time Series Classification

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Handling missing data in time series classification remains a significant challenge in various domains. Traditional methods often rely on imputation, which may introduce bias or fail to capture the underlying temporal dynamics. In this paper, we propose TANDEM (Temporal Attention-guided Neural Differential Equations for Missingness), an attention-guided neural differential equation framework that effectively classifies time series data with missing values. Our approach integrates raw observation, interpolated control path, and continuous latent dynamics through a novel attention mechanism, allowing the model to focus on the most informative aspects of the data. We evaluate TANDEM on 30 benchmark datasets and a real-world medical dataset, demonstrating its superiority over existing state-of-the-art methods. Our framework not only improves classification accuracy but also provides insights into the handling of missing data, making it a valuable tool in practice.


GPU-centric Communication Schemes for HPC and ML Applications

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Compute nodes on modern heterogeneous supercomputing systems comprise CPUs, GPUs, and high-speed network interconnects (NICs). Parallelization is identified as a technique for effectively utilizing these systems to execute scalable simulation and deep learning workloads. The resulting inter-process communication from the distributed execution of these parallel workloads is one of the key factors contributing to its performance bottleneck. Most programming models and runtime systems enabling the communication requirements on these systems support GPU-aware communication schemes that move the GPU-attached communication buffers in the application directly from the GPU to the NIC without staging through the host memory. A CPU thread is required to orchestrate the communication operations even with support for such GPU-awareness. This survey discusses various available GPU-centric communication schemes that move the control path of the communication operations from the CPU to the GPU. This work presents the need for the new communication schemes, various GPU and NIC capabilities required to implement the schemes, and the potential use-cases addressed. Based on these discussions, challenges involved in supporting the exhibited GPU-centric communication schemes are discussed.


Policy Analysis using Synthetic Controls in Continuous-Time

arXiv.org Machine Learning

Counterfactual estimation using synthetic controls is one of the most successful recent methodological developments in causal inference. Despite its popularity, the current description only considers time series aligned across units and synthetic controls expressed as linear combinations of observed control units. We propose a continuous-time alternative that models the latent counterfactual path explicitly using the formalism of controlled differential equations. This model is directly applicable to the general setting of irregularly-aligned multivariate time series and may be optimized in rich function spaces - thereby substantially improving on some limitations of existing approaches.