In this paper we prove some concentration inequalities for two types of error probabilities in the Empirical Risk Principle (ERP) in statistical learning, which provide a lower bound and an upper bound for the minimal risk (in terms of the minimal empirical risk) with non-asymptotic high confidence. The usual boundedness condition of the empirical risk function is relaxed to the Gaussian or exponential integrability condition. The confidence of the lower bound of the minimal risk is shown to be independent of the number of training parameters and the dimension of the input vectors, allowing one to detect the deficiency of a learning machine efficiently; and the confidence of the upper bound of the minimal risk is proved to be high provided that the sample size $n$ is much greater than the box dimension of the parameter set $Θ$ in the Orlicz metric $d_{ψ_1}$ associated with the risk functions. Our work is based on Talagrand's concentration inequalities (the sharp versions by Bousquet and Klein-Rio), transport-entropy inequalities and the recent progress in the theory of empirical processes and statistical learning.

As sequential learning algorithms are increasingly applied to real life, ensuring data privacy while maintaining their utilities emerges as a timely question. In this context, regret minimisation in stochastic bandits under ϵ-global Differential Privacy (DP) has been widely studied. The present literature poses a significant gap between the best-known regret lower and upper bound in this setting, though they "match in order". Thus, we revisit the regret lower and upper bounds of ϵ-global DP bandits and improve both. First, we prove a tighter regret lower bound involving a novel information-theoretic quantity characterising the hardness of ϵ-global DP in stochastic bandits.

Repeated multi-unit auctions, where a seller allocates multiple identical items over many rounds, are common mechanisms in electricity markets and treasury auctions. We compare the two predominant formats: uniform-price and discriminatory auctions, focusing on the perspective of a single bidder learning to bid against stochastic adversaries. We characterize the learning difficulty in each format, showing that the regret scales similarly for both auction formats under both fullinformation and bandit feedback, as Θ( T)and Θ(T2/3), respectively. However, analysis beyond worst-case regret reveals structural differences: uniform-price auctions may admit faster learning rates, with regret scaling as Θ( T)in settings where discriminatory auctions remain at Θ(T2/3). Finally, we provide a specific analysis for auctions in which the other participants are symmetric and have unitdemand, and show that in these instances, a similar regret rate separation appears.

We argue that dependent versions of McDiarmid's inequality are a useful but underutilized tool in mathematical statistics, learning theory and theoretical computer science. To make this point, we first highlight that approximate tensorization of entropy (ATE) implies McDiarmid's via the Entropy Method. Second, we derive McDiarmid's inequality for non-isotropic Gaussian random vectors $X \sim \mathcal N(μ, Σ)$ through ATE with a constant of the order of the condition number of $Σ$. We both independently obtain this ATE through a simple application of stochastic localization and also discuss how a more general ATE for the Gibbs sampler due to Ascolani et al., 2026 generalizes McDiarmid's-like concentration to strongly log-concave and log-smooth probability measures. We then apply the resulting concentration inequalities to resolve a question on the concentration of $\operatorname{sign}(X)$ posed by Simone Bombari, investigate Erdős-Rényi graphs under dependence and prove a Dvoretzky-Kiefer-Wolfowitz-type inequality for observations from a joint measure fulfilling ATE and continuous marginal CDFs. For the class of strongly log-concave and log-smooth measures, this result improves upon a prior Dvoretzky-Kiefer-Wolfowitz-type inequality for non-i.i.d. observations due to Bobkov and Götze, 2010, by establishing the expected $1/\sqrt{n}$-rate of convergence under weak dependence instead of $n^{-1/3}$.

E-values have recently emerged as a versatile alternative to p-values for statistical inference (Ramdas and Wang, 2025). They offer several advantages: they remain valid under optional stopping (Grünwald et al., 2024a), combine easily under arbitrary dependence, and exist for irregular problems where no other inferential method is known (Wasserman et al., 2020), among others. Beyond being useful, they have also proven necessary in various problems, such as multiple testing (Wang and Ramdas, 2022; Fischer and Ramdas, 2024; Xu et al., 2025), statistical contract theory (Bates et al., 2022), and post-hoc inference (Grünwald, 2024). Formally, an e-value is a nonnegative test statistic whose expected value is at most one under the null hypothesis. Ideally, analysts want e-values that are large under the alternative--that is, e-values with high power.

In this work, we revisit the generalization error of stochastic mirror descent for quadratically bounded losses studied in Telgarsky (2022). Quadratically bounded losses is a broad class of loss functions, capturing both Lipschitz and smooth functions, for both regression and classification problems. We study the high probability generalization for this class of losses on linear predictors in both realizable and non-realizable cases when the data are sampled IID or from a Markov chain. The prior work relies on an intricate coupling argument between the iterates of the original problem and those projected onto a bounded domain. This approach enables blackbox application of concentration inequalities, but also leads to suboptimal guarantees due in part to the use of a union bound across all iterations.

Importance Sampling (IS) is a widely used building block for a large variety of off-policy estimation and learning algorithms. However, empirical and theoretical studies have progressively shown that vanilla IS leads to poor estimations whenever the behavioral and target policies are too dissimilar. In this paper, we analyze the theoretical properties of the IS estimator by deriving a novel anticoncentration bound that formalizes the intuition behind its undesired behavior. Then, we propose a new class of IS transformations, based on the notion of power mean. To the best of our knowledge, the resulting estimator is the first to achieve, under certain conditions, two key properties: (i) it displays a subgaussian concentration rate; (ii) it preserves the differentiability in the target distribution. Finally, we provide numerical simulations on both synthetic examples and contextual bandits, in comparison with off-policy evaluation and learning baselines.

We prove analogues of the popular bounded difference inequality (also called McDiarmid's inequality) for functions of independent random variables under subGaussian and sub-exponential conditions. Applied to vector-valued concentration and the method of Rademacher complexities these inequalities allow an easy extension of uniform convergence results for PCA and linear regression to the case potentially unbounded input-and output variables.

We analyze graph smoothing with mean aggregation, where each node successively receives the average of the features of its neighbors. Indeed, it has quickly been observed that Graph Neural Networks (GNNs), which generally follow some variant of Message-Passing (MP) with repeated aggregation, may be subject to the oversmoothing phenomenon: by performing too many rounds of MP, the node features tend to converge to a non-informative limit. In the case of mean aggregation, for connected graphs, the node features become constant across the whole graph. At the other end of the spectrum, it is intuitively obvious that some MP rounds are necessary, but existing analyses do not exhibit both phenomena at once: beneficial "finite" smoothing and oversmoothing in the limit. In this paper, we consider simplified linear GNNs, and rigorously analyze two examples for which a finite number of mean aggregation steps provably improves the learning performance, before oversmoothing kicks in. We consider a latent space random graph model, where node features are partial observations of the latent variables and the graph contains pairwise relationships between them. We show that graph smoothing restores some of the lost information, up to a certain point, by two phenomena: graph smoothing shrinks non-principal directions in the data faster than principal ones, which is useful for regression, and shrinks nodes within communities faster than they collapse together, which improves classification.