We sincerely thank all reviewers for the insightful comments and feedback on our work of learning from failure (LfF). We do not interpret this as a "true" trade-off, as debiasing does not degrade the model's Instead, we view the apparent underperformance as a result of "not utilizing a (delusional) spurious correlation." Following R1's suggestion, we additionally test ReBias [2] (SOT A among This is also consistent with our claim that LfF is not "domain-specific" However, this consistency may not hold depending on the definition of "domain." Hence, we deeply resonate with R2's concern, and we will further clarify the type of knowledge used by LfF and For example, we will modify L2-5 in the abstract by "In this work, we propose a new algorithm utilizing a However, we only use the LfF's yes/no type of knowledge for choosing one of the attributes as an undesired Following R2's suggestion, we further verify Our LfF combination rule achieves 74.01% We will add more discussions and experiments in the final draft.

The Dempster-Shafer theory of evidence has been widely applied in the field of information fusion under uncertainty. Most existing research focuses on combining evidence within the same frame of discernment. However, in real-world scenarios, trained algorithms or data often originate from different regions or organizations, where data silos are prevalent. As a result, using different data sources or models to generate basic probability assignments may lead to heterogeneous frames, for which traditional fusion methods often yield unsatisfactory results. To address this challenge, this study proposes an open-world information fusion method, termed Full Negation Belief Transformation (FNBT), based on the Dempster-Shafer theory. More specially, a criterion is introduced to determine whether a given fusion task belongs to the open-world setting. Then, by extending the frames, the method can accommodate elements from heterogeneous frames. Finally, a full negation mechanism is employed to transform the mass functions, so that existing combination rules can be applied to the transformed mass functions for such information fusion. Theoretically, the proposed method satisfies three desirable properties, which are formally proven: mass function invariance, heritability, and essential conflict elimination. Empirically, FNBT demonstrates superior performance in pattern classification tasks on real-world datasets and successfully resolves Zadeh's counterexample, thereby validating its practical effectiveness.

The transferable belief model, as a semantic interpretation of Dempster-Shafer theory, enables agents to perform reasoning and decision making in imprecise and incomplete environments. The model offers distinct semantics for handling unreliable testimonies, allowing for a more reasonable and general process of belief transfer compared to the Bayesian approach. However, because both the belief masses and the structure of focal sets must be considered when updating belief functions-leading to extra computational complexity during reasoning-the transferable belief model has gradually lost favor among researchers in recent developments. In this paper, we implement the transferable belief model on quantum circuits and demonstrate that belief functions offer a more concise and effective alternative to Bayesian approaches within the quantum computing framework. Furthermore, leveraging the unique characteristics of quantum computing, we propose several novel belief transfer approaches. More broadly, this paper introduces a new perspective on basic information representation for quantum AI models, suggesting that belief functions are more suitable than Bayesian approach for handling uncertainty on quantum circuits.

Developing a general information processing model in uncertain environments is fundamental for the advancement of explainable artificial intelligence. Dempster-Shafer theory of evidence is a well-known and effective reasoning method for representing epistemic uncertainty, which is closely related to subjective probability theory and possibility theory. Although they can be transformed to each other under some particular belief structures, there remains a lack of a clear and interpretable transformation process, as well as a unified approach for information processing. In this paper, we aim to address these issues from the perspectives of isopignistic belief functions and the hyper-cautious transferable belief model. Firstly, we propose an isopignistic transformation based on the belief evolution network. This transformation allows for the adjustment of the information granule while retaining the potential decision outcome. The isopignistic transformation is integrated with a hyper-cautious transferable belief model to establish a new canonical decomposition. This decomposition offers a reverse path between the possibility distribution and its isopignistic mass functions. The result of the canonical decomposition, called isopignistic function, is an identical information content distribution to reflect the propensity and relative commitment degree of the BPA. Furthermore, this paper introduces a method to reconstruct the basic belief assignment by adjusting the isopignistic function. It explores the advantages of this approach in modeling and handling uncertainty within the hyper-cautious transferable belief model. More general, this paper establishes a theoretical basis for building general models of artificial intelligence based on probability theory, Dempster-Shafer theory, and possibility theory. Introduction Dempster-Shafer (DS) theory of evidence, also known as belief function theory, is an effective artificial intelligence tool for modeling and handling uncertainty in partial knowledge environments.

This paper studies the application of ensembles composed of multi-output models for multi-step ahead forecasting problems. Dynamic ensembles have been commonly used for forecasting. However, these are typically designed for one-step-ahead tasks. On the other hand, the literature regarding the application of dynamic ensembles for multi-step ahead forecasting is scarce. Moreover, it is not clear how the combination rule is applied across the forecasting horizon. We carried out extensive experiments to analyze the application of dynamic ensembles for multi-step forecasting. We resorted to a case study with 3568 time series and an ensemble of 30 multi-output models. We discovered that dynamic ensembles based on arbitrating and windowing present the best performance according to average rank. Moreover, as the horizon increases, most approaches struggle to outperform a static ensemble that assigns equal weights to all models. The experiments are publicly available in a repository.

Random permutation set (RPS), as a recently proposed theory, enables powerful information representation by traversing all possible permutations. However, the repetition of items is not allowed in RPS while it is quite common in real life. To address this issue, we propose repeatable random permutation set ($\rm R^2PS$) which takes the repetition of items into consideration. The right and left junctional sum combination rules are proposed and their properties including consistency, pseudo-Matthew effect and associativity are researched. Based on these properties, a decision support system application is simulated to show the effectiveness of $\rm R^2PS$.

Abstract-- Deep Reinforcement Learning (or just "RL") is In this paper, we aim to answer them. Then, we aspects: intermittent nature of renewable energy, variations evaluate the computing cost of the building phase and the in demand, low storage abilities, [1] [2] significant room inference phase running on modern computing nodes. Deep This paper first demonstrates experimental evidence that Reinforcement Learning has shown great success in scaling homogeneous ensembles with averaging as a combination up model-free reinforcement learning algorithms to the rule are more performant and stabler than one individual RL challenging Markov Decision Processes [4] [5] and is a agent and other ensemble procedures. Second, we perform promising method to solve issues of electricity control [6]. Finally, due to the simplicity To alleviate this, we analyze and propose an ensemble of of the proposed procedure and the stabilization effects, our deep reinforcement learning agent procedures and discuss its experiments are easily reproducible.

We give a new interpretation of basic belief assignment transformation into probability distribution, and use directed acyclic network called belief evolution network to describe the causality between the focal elements of a BBA. On this basis, a new probability transformations method called full causality probability transformation is proposed, and this method is superior to all previous method after verification from the process and the result. In addition, using this method combined with disjunctive combination rule, we propose a new probabilistic combination rule called disjunctive transformation combination rule. It has an excellent ability to merge conflicts and an interesting pseudo-Matthew effect, which offer a new idea to information fusion besides the combination rule of Dempster.

In the framework of evidence theory, data fusion combines the confidence functions of multiple different information sources to obtain a combined confidence function. Stock price prediction is the focus of economics. Stock price forecasts can provide reference data. The Dempster combination rule is a classic method of fusing different information. By using the Dempster combination rule and confidence function based on the entire time series fused at each time point and future time points, and the preliminary forecast value obtained through the time relationship, the accurate forecast value can be restored. This article will introduce the prediction method of evidence theory. This method has good running performance, can make a rapid response on a large amount of stock price data, and has far-reaching significance.