The number of clinical citations received from clinical guidelines or clinical trials has been considered as one of the most appropriate indicators for quantifying the clinical impact of biomedical papers. Therefore, the early prediction of the clinical citation count of biomedical papers is critical to scientific activities in biomedicine, such as research evaluation, resource allocation, and clinical translation. In this study, we designed a four-layer multilayer perceptron neural network (MPNN) model to predict the clinical citation count of biomedical papers in the future by using 9,822,620 biomedical papers published from 1985 to 2005. We extracted ninety-one paper features from three dimensions as the input of the model, including twenty-one features in the paper dimension, thirty-five in the reference dimension, and thirty-five in the citing paper dimension. In each dimension, the features can be classified into three categories, i.e., the citation-related features, the clinical translation-related features, and the topic-related features. Besides, in the paper dimension, we also considered the features that have previously been demonstrated to be related to the citation counts of research papers. The results showed that the proposed MPNN model outperformed the other five baseline models, and the features in the reference dimension were the most important.

Scientific publications play a vital role in the career of a researcher. However, some articles become more popular than others among the research community and subsequently drive future research directions. One of the indicative signs of popular articles is the number of citations an article receives. The citation count, which is also the basis with various other metrics, such as the journal impact factor score, the $h$-index, is an essential measure for assessing a scientific paper's quality. In this work, we proposed a Graph Convolutional Network (GCN) based framework for estimating future research publication citations for both the short-term (1-year) and long-term (for 5-years and 10-years) duration. We have tested our proposed approach over the AMiner dataset, specifically on research articles from the computer science domain, consisting of more than 0.8 million articles.

With the advancement of science and technology, the number of academic papers published in the world each year has increased almost exponentially. While a large number of research papers highlight the prosperity of science and technology, they also give rise to some problems. As we all know, academic papers are the most intuitive embodiment of the research results of scholars, which can reflect the level of researchers. It is also the evaluation standard for decision-making such as promotion and allocation of funds. Therefore, how to measure the quality of an academic paper is very important. The most common standard for measuring academic papers is the number of citation counts of papers, because this indicator is widely used in the evaluation of scientific publications, and it also serves as the basis for many other indicators (such as the h-index). Therefore, it is very important to be able to accurately predict the citation counts of academic papers. This paper proposes an end-to-end deep learning network, DeepCCP, which combines the effect of information cascade and looks at the citation counts prediction problem from the perspective of information cascade prediction. DeepCCP directly uses the citation network formed in the early stage of the paper as the input, and the output is the citation counts of the corresponding paper after a period of time. DeepCCP only uses the structure and temporal information of the citation network, and does not require other additional information, but it can still achieve outstanding performance. According to experiments on 6 real data sets, DeepCCP is superior to the state-of-the-art methods in terms of the accuracy of citation count prediction.