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Null Measurability at the Symmetrization Interface in VC Learning

arXiv.org Machine Learning

Recent work revisiting measurability in the fundamental theorem of statistical learning imposes Borel measurability of ghost-gap suprema. We show that, at the one-sided ghost-gap interface actually used by the standard symmetrization proof, this requirement is stronger than necessary. For any Borel-parameterized concept class on a Polish domain, the bad event "there exists a hypothesis whose ghost empirical error exceeds its training empirical error by at least ฮต/2" is analytic. By Choquet capacitability, it is therefore measurable in the completion of every finite Borel measure. We then construct a concept class whose bad event is null-measurable but not Borel, giving a strict separation from the Borel supremum condition. Finally, we prove closure under patching, fixed and countable interpolation, and fiber-product amalgamation, showing that the weaker regularity level is stable under natural concept-class constructors. In the realizable setting, where targets belong to the class and are measurable, these results weaken the measurability hypothesis needed by the symmetrization route from finite VC dimension to PAC learnability. The main results and the descriptive-set-theoretic infrastructure used by them are formalized in Lean 4.


Rate-Optimal Contextual Online Matching Bandit

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Two-sided online matching platforms have been employed in various markets. However, agents' preferences in present market are usually implicit and unknown and must be learned from data. With the growing availability of side information involved in the decision process, modern online matching methodology demands the capability to track preference dynamics for agents based on their contextual information. This motivates us to consider a novel Contextual Online Matching Bandit prOblem (COMBO), which allows dynamic preferences in matching decisions. Existing works focus on multi-armed bandit with static preference, but this is insufficient: the two-sided preference changes as along as one-side's contextual information updates, resulting in non-static matching. In this paper, we propose a Centralized Contextual - Explore Then Commit (CC-ETC) algorithm to adapt to the COMBO. CC-ETC solves online matching with dynamic preference. In theory, we show that CC-ETC achieves a sublinear regret upper bound O(log(T)) and is a rate-optimal algorithm by proving a matching lower bound. In the experiments, we demonstrate that CC-ETC is robust to variant preference schemes, dimensions of contexts, reward noise levels, and contexts variation levels.


Double Matching Under Complementary Preferences

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

In this paper, we propose a new algorithm for addressing the problem of matching markets with complementary preferences, where agents' preferences are unknown a priori and must be learned from data. The presence of complementary preferences can lead to instability in the matching process, making this problem challenging to solve. To overcome this challenge, we formulate the problem as a bandit learning framework and propose the Multi-agent Multi-type Thompson Sampling (MMTS) algorithm. The algorithm combines the strengths of Thompson Sampling for exploration with a double matching technique to achieve a stable matching outcome. Our theoretical analysis demonstrates the effectiveness of MMTS as it is able to achieve stability at every matching step, satisfies the incentive-compatibility property, and has a sublinear Bayesian regret over time. Our approach provides a useful method for addressing complementary preferences in real-world scenarios.


Nearest Neighbor and Kernel Survival Analysis: Nonasymptotic Error Bounds and Strong Consistency Rates

arXiv.org Machine Learning

We establish the first nonasymptotic error bounds for Kaplan-Meier-based nearest neighbor and kernel survival probability estimators where feature vectors reside in metric spaces. Our bounds imply rates of strong consistency for these nonparametric estimators and, up to a log factor, match an existing lower bound for conditional CDF estimation. Our proof strategy also yields nonasymptotic guarantees for nearest neighbor and kernel variants of the Nelson-Aalen cumulative hazards estimator. We experimentally compare these methods on four datasets. We find that for the kernel survival estimator, a good choice of kernel is one learned using random survival forests.