AI models are rapidly becoming embedded in all aspects of nuclear energy research and work but the safety, security, and safeguards consequences of this embedding are not well understood. In this paper, we call for the creation of an anticipatory system of governance for AI in the nuclear sector as well as the creation of a global AI observatory as a means for operationalizing anticipatory governance. The paper explores the contours of the nuclear AI observatory and an anticipatory system of governance by drawing on work in science and technology studies, public policy, and foresight studies.

With the rapid pace of technological innovation, traditional methods of policy formation and legislating are becoming conspicuously anachronistic. The need for regulatory choices to be made to counter the deadening effect of regulatory lag is more important to developing markets and fostering growth than achieving one off regulatory perfection. This article advances scholarship on innovation policy and the regulation of technological innovation in the European Union. It does so by considering what building an agile yet robust anticipatory governance regulatory culture involves. It systematically excavates a variety of tools and elements that are being put into use in inventive ways and argues that these need to be more cohesively and systemically integrated into the regulatory toolbox. Approaches covered include strategic foresight, the critical embrace of iterative policy development and regulatory learning in the face of uncertainty and the embrace of bottom up approaches to cocreation of policy such as Policy Labs and the testing and regulatory learning through pilot regulation and experimentation. The growing use of regulatory sandboxes as an EU policy tool to boost innovation and navigate regulatory complexity as seen in the EU AI Act is also probed

Anticipating the negative impacts of emerging AI technologies is a challenge, especially in the early stages of development. An understudied approach to such anticipation is the use of LLMs to enhance and guide this process. Despite advancements in LLMs and evaluation metrics to account for biases in generated text, it is unclear how well these models perform in anticipatory tasks. Specifically, the use of LLMs to anticipate AI impacts raises questions about the quality and range of categories of negative impacts these models are capable of generating. In this paper we leverage news media, a diverse data source that is rich with normative assessments of emerging technologies, to formulate a taxonomy of impacts to act as a baseline for comparing against. By computationally analyzing thousands of news articles published by hundreds of online news domains around the world, we develop a taxonomy consisting of ten categories of AI impacts. We then evaluate both instruction-based (GPT-4 and Mistral-7B-Instruct) and fine-tuned completion models (Mistral-7B and GPT-3) using a sample from this baseline. We find that the generated impacts using Mistral-7B, fine-tuned on impacts from the news media, tend to be qualitatively on par with impacts generated using a larger scale model such as GPT-4. Moreover, we find that these LLMs generate impacts that largely reflect the taxonomy of negative impacts identified in the news media, however the impacts produced by instruction-based models had gaps in the production of certain categories of impacts in comparison to fine-tuned models. This research highlights a potential bias in state-of-the-art LLMs when used for anticipating impacts and demonstrates the advantages of aligning smaller LLMs with a diverse range of impacts, such as those reflected in the news media, to better reflect such impacts during anticipatory exercises.