action space
Insurance Pricing Optimization via Off-Policy Evaluation
Günther, Sascha, Semenovich, Dimitri, Wüthrich, Mario V.
Traditional insurance pricing relies on risk-based principles that ensure actuarial fairness and solvency but do not explicitly account for policyholders' price sensitivity. We formulate insurance pricing as a decision-making problem and study it using tools from off-policy evaluation and stochastic control. We propose a kernelized inverse propensity score estimator that exploits local structure in the action space and yields variance reduction compared to the classical inverse propensity score estimator. Building on these value estimates, we investigate policy optimization and present two practical approaches for computing optimal pricing rules: an interpretable data-shared Lasso formulation and a flexible policy parameterization based on neural networks. Using a controlled synthetic travel insurance environment, we empirically confirm the theoretical results and show that neural networks outperform existing techniques for policy optimization.
Fast Convergence of Policy Regret in Learning Stochastic Optimal Control
Wang, Shengbo, Blanchet, Jose, Glynn, Peter
Policy learning in modern operations environments faces a fundamental tension between limited operational data and the large, often continuous, state and action spaces over which good decisions must be identified and deployed. We study value-based policy learning in stochastic optimal control: a greedy policy induced by an estimate of the optimal action-value function $Q^*$ is deployed, and its performance is measured by regret. The empirical success of this approach calls for statistical insight into the structures that enable fast regret convergence. We show that, in continuous action spaces, fast policy learning is induced by three geometric structures: a growth exponent $p$, which quantifies how quickly $Q^*$ separates suboptimal actions from its maximizers; a margin-mass exponent $m$, which controls how much deployment mass lies on states with weak growth; and an action-wise regularity exponent $q$, which measures the smoothness of the $Q^*$-estimation error across actions. Given a $n^{-1/2}$-accurate estimator of $Q^*$, we show that the minimax-optimal policy regret convergence rate is \[ \widetildeΘ\left( n^{-\min\left\{\frac{p}{2(p-q)},\frac{m+1}{2m}\right\}} \right), \] up to a logarithmic factor at the boundary between the two regimes. The exponent $q$ is crucial: $q>0$ yields faster-than-$n^{-1/2}$ regret. This regime is natural in operations applications. In particular, we verify $q>0$ under mild regularity conditions in dynamic inventory control and service allocation examples, while the mechanism underlying this fast rate regime extends beyond these settings.
Policy Optimization in Hybrid Discrete-Continuous Action Spaces via Mixed Gradients
Alvo, Matias, Russo, Daniel, Kanoria, Yash
We study reinforcement learning in hybrid discrete-continuous action spaces, such as settings where the discrete component selects a regime (or index) and the continuous component optimizes within it -- a structure common in robotics, control, and operations problems. Standard model-free policy gradient methods rely on score-function (SF) estimators and suffer from severe credit-assignment issues in high-dimensional settings, leading to poor gradient quality. On the other hand, differentiable simulation largely sidesteps these issues by backpropagating through a simulator, but the presence of discrete actions or non-smooth dynamics yields biased or uninformative gradients. To address this, we propose Hybrid Policy Optimization (HPO), which backpropagates through the simulator wherever smoothness permits, using a mixed gradient estimator that combines pathwise and SF gradients while maintaining unbiasedness. We also show how problems with action discontinuities can be reformulated in hybrid form, further broadening its applicability. Empirically, HPO substantially outperforms PPO on inventory control and switched linear-quadratic regulator problems, with performance gaps increasing as the continuous action dimension grows. Finally, we characterize the structure of the mixed gradient, showing that its cross term -- which captures how continuous actions influence future discrete decisions -- becomes negligible near a discrete best response, thereby enabling approximate decentralized updates of the continuous and discrete components and reducing variance near optimality.
A Finite Time Analysis of Thompson Sampling for Bayesian Optimization with Preferential Feedback
Lazzaro, Joseph, Buffelli, Davide, Shiu, Da-shan, Vakili, Sattar
Preference feedback, in the form of pairwise comparisons rather than scalar scores, has seen increasing use in applications such as human-, laboratory-, and expert-in-the-loop design, as well as scientific discovery. We propose a Thompson Sampling (TS) approach to Bayesian optimization with preferential feedback that models comparisons using a monotone link on latent utility differences and leverages the dueling kernel induced by a base kernel. We provide a finite-time analysis showing that the performance of the proposed method matches that of standard TS for conventional Bayesian optimization with scalar feedback. The analysis exploits the anchor invariance of TS for challenger selection and introduces a double-TS pairing variant. We also demonstrate the performance of the method on both synthetic and real-world examples.
ASimple Decentralized Cross-Entropy Method
Cross-Entropy Method (CEM) is commonly used for planning in model-based reinforcement learning (MBRL) where a centralized approach is typically utilized to update the sampling distribution based on only the top-k operations' results on samples. In this paper, we show that such a centralized approach makes CEM vulnerable to local optima, thus impairing its sample efficiency. To tackle this issue, we propose Decentralized CEM (DecentCEM), a simple but effective improvement over classical CEM, by using an ensemble of CEM instances running independently from one another, and each performing a local improvement of its own sampling distribution. We provide both theoretical and empirical analysis to demonstrate the effectiveness of this simple decentralized approach. We empirically show that, compared to the classical centralized approach using either a single or even a mixture of Gaussian distributions, our DecentCEM finds the global optimum much more consistently thus improves the sample efficiency. Furthermore, we plug in our DecentCEM in the planning problem of MBRL, and evaluate our approach in several continuous control environments, with comparison to the stateof-art CEM based MBRL approaches (PETS and POPLIN). Results show sample efficiency improvement by simply replacing the classical CEM module with our DecentCEM module, while only sacrificing a reasonable amount of computational cost. Lastly, we conduct ablation studies for more in-depth analysis.
AThe Algorithm
Construct optimistic MDP fMk and compute optimistic policy πk (Algorithm 5). When the counter is 0 it gets (s,a), i.e., Ωi,e = (s,a,). When the counter is 1, we take (s,a) from ωn and map them to ωn/2 while eliminating half of the factors in consideration with the consistent scope Zi chosen by the policy (stored in factor 2d+ 1 + iof the state). It is handled similarly to the previous item, but considers the reward consistent scope zj chosen by the policy (stored in factor 3d+ 1 + j of the state). For i = 1,...,d, the i-th factor is taken from factor i of the previous state when the counter is not log n + 1, and otherwise performs the optimistic transition of factor i. Denote the value in the last factor of Ωi,e by ve, the policy's chosen scope by Zi (stored in factor 2d+ 1 + iof the state) and the policy's chosen next state direction by s0i (stored in factor d+ 1 + iof the state).