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 accident rate


Analyzing Transport Policies in Developing Countries with ABM

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Deciphering travel behavior and mode choices is a critical aspect of effective urban transportation system management, particularly in developing countries where unique socio-economic and cultural conditions complicate decision-making. Agent-based simulations offer a valuable tool for modeling transportation systems, enabling a nuanced understanding and policy impact evaluation. This work aims to shed light on the effects of transport policies and analyzes travel behavior by simulating agents making mode choices for their daily commutes. Agents gather information from the environment and their social network to assess the optimal transport option based on personal satisfaction criteria. Our findings, stemming from simulating a free-fare policy for public transit in a developing-country city, reveal a significant influence on decision-making, fostering public service use while positively influencing pollution levels, accident rates, and travel speed.


Few-Shot Scenario Testing for Autonomous Vehicles Based on Neighborhood Coverage and Similarity

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Testing and evaluating the safety performance of autonomous vehicles (AVs) is essential before the large-scale deployment. Practically, the acceptable cost of testing specific AV model can be restricted within an extremely small limit because of testing cost or time. With existing testing methods, the limitations imposed by strictly restricted testing numbers often result in significant uncertainties or challenges in quantifying testing results. In this paper, we formulate this problem for the first time the "few-shot testing" (FST) problem and propose a systematic FST framework to address this challenge. To alleviate the considerable uncertainty inherent in a small testing scenario set and optimize scenario utilization, we frame the FST problem as an optimization problem and search for a small scenario set based on neighborhood coverage and similarity. By leveraging the prior information on surrogate models (SMs), we dynamically adjust the testing scenario set and the contribution of each scenario to the testing result under the guidance of better generalization ability on AVs. With certain hypotheses on SMs, a theoretical upper bound of testing error is established to verify the sufficiency of testing accuracy within given limited number of tests. The experiments of the cut-in scenario using FST method demonstrate a notable reduction in testing error and variance compared to conventional testing methods, especially for situations with a strict limitation on the number of scenarios.


DIT4BEARs Smart Roads Internship

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

The research internship at UiT - The Arctic University of Norway was offered for our team being the winner of the 'Smart Roads - Winter Road Maintenance 2021' Hackathon. The internship commenced on 3 May 2021 and ended on 21 May 2021 with meetings happening twice each week. In spite of having different nationalities and educational backgrounds, we both interns tried to collaborate as a team as much as possible. The most alluring part was working on this project made us realize the critical conditions faced by the arctic people, where it was hard to gain such a unique experience from our residence. We developed and implemented several deep learning models to classify the states (dry, moist, wet, icy, snowy, slushy). Depending upon the best model, the weather forecast app will predict the state taking the Ta, Tsurf, Height, Speed, Water, etc. into consideration. The crucial part was to define a safety metric which is the product of the accident rates based on friction and the accident rates based on states. We developed a regressor that will predict the safety metric depending upon the state obtained from the classifier and the friction obtained from the sensor data. A pathfinding algorithm has been designed using the sensor data, open street map data, weather data.


An adaptive multi-fidelity sampling framework for safety analysis of connected and automated vehicles

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Testing and evaluation are expensive but critical steps in the development of connected and automated vehicles (CAVs). In this paper, we develop an adaptive sampling framework to efficiently evaluate the accident rate of CAVs, particularly for scenario-based tests where the probability distribution of input parameters is known from the Naturalistic Driving Data. Our framework relies on a surrogate model to approximate the CAV performance and a novel acquisition function to maximize the benefit (information to accident rate) of the next sample formulated through an information-theoretic consideration. In addition to the standard application with only a single high-fidelity model of CAV performance, we also extend our approach to the bi-fidelity context where an additional low-fidelity model can be used at a lower computational cost to approximate the CAV performance. Accordingly, for the second case, our approach is formulated such that it allows the choice of the next sample in terms of both fidelity level (i.e., which model to use) and sampling location to maximize the benefit per cost. Our framework is tested in a widely-considered two-dimensional cut-in problem for CAVs, where Intelligent Driving Model (IDM) with different time resolutions are used to construct the high and low-fidelity models. We show that our single-fidelity method outperforms the existing approach for the same problem, and the bi-fidelity method can further save half of the computational cost to reach a similar accuracy in estimating the accident rate.


Predicting the impact of urban change in pedestrian and road safety

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Increased interaction between and among pedestrians and vehicles in the crowded urban environments of today gives rise to a negative side-effect: a growth in traffic accidents, with pedestrians being the most vulnerable elements. Recent work has shown that Convolutional Neural Networks are able to accurately predict accident rates exploiting Street View imagery along urban roads. The promising results point to the plausibility of aided design of safe urban landscapes, for both pedestrians and vehicles. In this paper, by considering historical accident data and Street View images, we detail how to automatically predict the impact (increase or decrease) of urban interventions on accident incidence. The results are positive, rendering an accuracies ranging from 60 to 80%. We additionally provide an interpretability analysis to unveil which specific categories of urban features impact accident rates positively or negatively. Considering the transportation network substrates (sidewalk and road networks) and their demand, we integrate these results to a complex network framework, to estimate the effective impact of urban change on the safety of pedestrians and vehicles. Results show that public authorities may leverage on machine learning tools to prioritize targeted interventions, since our analysis show that limited improvement is obtained with current tools. Further, our findings have a wider application range such as the design of safe urban routes for pedestrians or to the field of driver-assistance technologies.


How artificial intelligence can help curb traffic accidents in cities

#artificialintelligence

Despite pandemic-driven restrictions on movement, there were over 12,000 accidents in Madrid in 2020, leading to 31 fatalities. In Barcelona, there were more than 5,700 collisions, causing 14 deaths. Pedestrian and vehicle safety is a priority, which is why a research project at the Universitat Oberta de Catalunya (UOC) is harnessing artificial intelligence (AI) to make decisions that will make cities safer. The researchers have looked into the correlation between the complexity of certain urban areas and the likelihood of an accident occurring there. According to the researchers, the data they have gathered can be used to train neural networks to detect probable hazards in an area and work out patterns associated with this high risk potential. The researchers, headed by Cristina Bustos and Javier Borge, are working with algorithms that will aid traffic authorities in reducing the likelihood of accidents in urban environments.


You can't eliminate bias from machine learning, but you can pick your bias

#artificialintelligence

Bias is a major topic of concern in mainstream society, which has embraced the concept that certain characteristics -- race, gender, age, or zip code, for example -- should not matter when making decisions about things such as credit or insurance. But while an absence of bias makes sense on a human level, in the world of machine learning, it's a bit different. In machine learning theory, if you can mathematically prove you don't have any bias and if you find the optimal model, the value of the model actually diminishes because you will not be able to make generalizations. What this tells us is that, as unfortunate as it may sound, without any bias built into the model, you cannot learn. Modern businesses want to use machine learning and data mining to make decisions based on what their data tells them, but the very nature of that inquiry is discriminatory.


Automated Driving: How will it affect me?

@machinelearnbot

He enrolled in the NYC Data Science Academy 12-week full time Data Science Bootcamp program taking place between July 5th to September 23rd, 2016. This post is based on their second project - R Shiny, due on 4th week of the program. The original article can be found here. Google, Tesla, and other automakers such as BMW, Daimler-Mercedes, and General Motors are all presenting visions of a future where most or all of the responsibilities and tasks of driving are no longer yours. A big benefit of automated driving will be an anticipated reduction in fatal motor vehicle accidents.