Department of Mathematics University of California, San Diego La Jolla, CA 92093-0112 Abstract We propose diffusion networks, a type of recurrent neural network with probabilistic dynamics, as models for learning natural signals that are continuous in time and space. We give a formula for the gradient of the log-likelihood of a path with respect to the drift parameters for a diffusion network. This gradient can be used to optimize diffusion networks in the nonequilibrium regime for a wide variety of problems paralleling techniques which have succeeded in engineering fields such as system identification, state estimation and signal filtering. An aspect of this work which is of particular interest to computational neuroscience and hardware design is that with a suitable choice of activation function, e.g., quasi-linear sigmoidal, the gradient formula is local in space and time. 1 Introduction Many natural signals, like pixel gray-levels, line orientations, object position, velocity and shape parameters, are well described as continuous-time continuous-valued stochastic processes; however, the neural network literature has seldom explored the continuous stochastic case. Since the solutions to many decision theoretic problems of interest are naturally formulated using probability distributions, it is desirable to have a flexible framework for approximating probability distributions on continuous path spaces.

Monotonicity is a constraint which arises in many application domains. We present a machine learning model, the monotonic network, for which monotonicity can be enforced exactly, i.e., by virtue offunctional form. A straightforward method for implementing and training a monotonic network is described. Monotonic networks are proven to be universal approximators of continuous, differentiable monotonic functions. We apply monotonic networks to a real-world task in corporate bond rating prediction and compare them to other approaches. 1 Introduction Several recent papers in machine learning have emphasized the importance of priors and domain-specific knowledge. In their well-known presentation of the biasvariance tradeoff (Geman and Bienenstock, 1992)' Geman and Bienenstock conclude by arguing that the crucial issue in learning is the determination of the "right biases" which constrain the model in the appropriate way given the task at hand.

This paper presents a new approach to the problem of modelling daily rainfall using neural networks. We first model the conditional distributions of rainfall amounts, in such a way that the model itself determines the order of the process, and the time-dependent shape and scale of the conditional distributions. After integrating over particular weather patterns, we are able to extract seasonal variations and long-term trends. 1 Introduction Analysis of rainfall data is important for many agricultural, ecological and engineering activities. Design of irrigation and drainage systems, for instance, needs to take account not only of mean expected rainfall, but also of rainfall volatility. Estimates of crop yields also depend on the distribution of rainfall during the growing season, as well as on the overall amount.

We study several statistically and biologically motivated learning rules using the same visual environment, one made up of natural scenes, and the same single cell neuronal architecture. This allows us to concentrate on the feature extraction and neuronal coding properties of these rules. Included in these rules are kurtosis and skewness maximization, the quadratic form of the BCM learning rule, and single cell ICA. Using a structure removal method, we demonstrate that receptive fields developed using these rules depend on a small portion of the distribution. We find that the quadratic form of the BCM rule behaves in a manner similar to a kurtosis maximization rule when the distribution contains kurtotic directions, although the BCM modification equations are computationally simpler.

Here we sudy the continuous time, continuous state-space stochastic case, which covers a wide variety of control problems including target, viability, optimization problems (see [FS93], [KP95])}or which a formalism is the following.

Until recently, artificial intelligence researchers have frowned upon the application of probability propagation in Bayesian belief networks that have cycles. The probability propagation algorithm is only exact in networks that are cycle-free. However, it has recently been discovered that the two best error-correcting decoding algorithms are actually performing probability propagation in belief networks with cycles. 1 Communicating over a noisy channel Our increasingly wired world demands efficient methods for communicating bits of information over physical channels that introduce errors. Examples of real-world channels include twisted-pair telephone wires, shielded cable-TV wire, fiberoptic cable, deep-space radio, terrestrial radio, and indoor radio. Engineers attempt to correct the errors introduced by the noise in these channels through the use of channel coding which adds protection to the information source, so that some channel errors can be corrected.

We have studied the application of an independent component analysis (ICA) approach to the identification and possible removal of artifacts from a magnetoencephalographic (MEG) recording.

An emerging use of reinforcement learning (RL) is to approximate optimal policies for large-scale control problems through extensive simulated control experience. Described here are initial experiments directed toward the development of an automated recovery system (ARS) for high-agility aircraft. An ARS is an outer-loop flight control system designed to bring the aircraft from a range of initial states to straight, level, and non-inverted flight in minimum time while satisfying constraints such as maintaining altitude and accelerations within acceptable limits. Here we describe the problem and present initial results involving only single-axis (pitch) recoveries. Through extensive simulated control experience using a medium-fidelity simulation of an F-16, the RL system approximated an optimal policy for longitudinal-stick inputs to produce near-minimum-time transitions to straight and level flight in unconstrained cases, as well as while meeting a pilot-station acceleration constraint. 2 AIRCRAFT MODEL

Classification of finite sequences without explicit knowledge of their statistical nature is a fundamental problem with many important applications. We propose a new information theoretic approach to this problem which is based on the following ingredients: (i) sequences are similar when they are likely to be generated by the same source; (ii) cross entropies can be estimated via "universal compression"; (iii) Markovian sequences can be asymptotically-optimally merged. With these ingredients we design a method for the classification of discrete sequences whenever they can be compressed. We introduce the method and illustrate its application for hierarchical clustering of languages and for estimating similarities of protein sequences.

We have developed a neural network architecture that implements a theory of attention, learning, and trans-cortical communication based on adaptive synchronization of 5-15 Hz and 30-80 Hz oscillations between cortical areas.