Probability concepts for ruled-based expert systems are developed that are compatible with probability used in data fusion of imprecise information. Procedures for treating probabilistic evidence are presented, which include the effects of statistical dependence. Confidence limits are defined as being proportional to root-mean-square errors in estimates, and a method is outlined that allows the confidence limits in the probability estimate of the hypothesis to be expressed in terms of the confidence limits in the estimate of the evidence. Procedures are outlined for weighting and combining multiple reports that pertain to the same item of evidence. The illustrative examples apply to tactical data fusion, but the same probability procedures can be applied to other expert systems.

Research in the field of artificial intelligence is developing rapidly at the various NASA centers, including Langley research Center in Hampton, Virginia. AI studies at Langley involve research for application in aircraft flight management, remote space teleoperators and robots, and structural optimization.

GTE Laboratories is the central corporate research and development facility for the sixty subsidiaries of the worldwide GTE corporation. Located in the Massachusetts Route 128 high technology area, the five laboratories that comprise GTE Laboratories generate the ideas, products, systems, and services that provide technical leadership for GTE. The two laboratories which conduct artificial intelligence research are the Computer Science Laboratory (CSL) and the Fundamental Research Laboratory (FRL). Artificial Intelligence projects within the CSL are directed towards the research techniques used in expert systems, and their application to GTE products and services. AI projects within FRL have longer-term AI research goals.

Originally it was Complex Information Processing. That was the name Herb Simon and I chose in 1956 to describe the area in which we are working. It didn't take long before it became Artificial Intelligence (AI). Coined by John McCarthy, that term has stuck firmly, despite continual grumblings that any other name would be twice as fair (though no grumblings by me; I like the present name). Complex Information processing lives on now only in the title of the CIP Working Papers, a series started by Herb Simon in 1956 and still accumulating entries (to 447). However, from about 1965 much of the work on artificial intelligence that was not related to psychology began to appear in technical reports of the Computer Science Department. These reports, never part of a coherent numbered series until 1978, proliferated in all directions. Starting in the early 1970s (on one can recall exactly when), they did become the subject of a general mailing and thus began to form what everyone thinks of as the CMU Computer Science Technical Reports.

The state of the art in any science includes the criteria for evaluating research. Like every other aspect of the science, it An example is the alpha-beta heuristic for game playing. The criteria for evaluating AI research Humans use it, but it wasn't identified by the writers of the are not in very good shape. I had intended to produce four first chess programs. It doesn't constitute a game playing presidential messages during my term but have managed only program, but it seems clearly necessary, because without two, because this one has proved so difficult to write.

I suspect that their motive was summary 3. the agent can justify its belief that s is true, i e., rejection of newfangled techniques, not eymological In any case I answered them. Perhaps your readers may be interested in the knows s]). An agent's problem-solving behavior is intelligent if (and to the extent that) the agent's problemsolving Sincerely yours, An agent's problem-solving behavior is artificially intelligent if the behavior is intelligent and the Definition 1. An agent lcnows some statements if the agent is a machine. Remark: It is a consequence of this definition of artificial 1. s is true, i.e, s is either a logical truth (a theorem intelligence that artificial intelligence does not equal artificial or a tautology) or a factual truth (a correspondence endocrinology! with fact);

The prototype system is written in Prolog, a language that has proved to be very powerful and easy to use for problem /rule development. The resulting prototype system (called EXPRS-Expert Prolog System) uses English-like rule constructs of Prolog code. This approach enables the system to generate answers automatically to "why" a ruled fired, and "how" that rule fired. In addition, a rule clause construct is provided which allows direct access to Prolog code routines.

AI technology transfer Is the diffusion of AI research techniques into commercial products. In this article, I will discuss AI technology transfer with particular reference to my experiences with the commercialization of INTELLECT. Next, I will describe my interpretation of the present market structure for AI products and some specific marketing perspectives. I will then briefly describe the product INTELLECT and its capabilities as an example of a state-of-the-art commercial system.

Artificial intelligence (AI) will have profound societal effects. It promises potential benefits (and may also pose risks) in education, defense, business, law and science. In this article we explore how AI is likely to affect employment and the distribution of income. We argue that AI will indeed reduce drastically the need of human toil.

Many techniques for representing knowledge have been proposed, but there have been few reports that compare their application. This article presents an experimental comparison of four knowledge representation schemes: a simple production system, a structured production system. We built four pilot expert systems to solve the same problem: risk management of a large construction project. Observations are made about hoe the structure of the domain knowledge affects the implementation of expert systems and their run time efficiency.