This paper focuses on supervised and unsupervised online label shift, where the class marginals Q(y) varies but the class-conditionals Q(x|y) remain invariant. In the unsupervised setting, our goal is to adapt a learner, trained on some offline labeled data, to changing label distributions given unlabeled online data. In the supervised setting, we must both learn a classifier and adapt to the dynamically evolving class marginals given only labeled online data. We develop novel algorithms that reduce the adaptation problem to online regression and guarantee optimal dynamic regret without any prior knowledge of the extent of drift in the label distribution. Our solution is based on bootstrapping the estimates of online regression oracles that track the drifting proportions. Experiments across numerous simulated and real-world online label shift scenarios demonstrate the superior performance of our proposed approaches, often achieving 1-3% improvement in accuracy while being sample and computationally efficient. Code is publicly available at this url.

For a sequence of classification tasks that arrive over time, it is common that tasks are evolving in the sense that consecutive tasks often have a higher similarity. The incremental learning of a growing sequence of tasks holds promise to enable accurate classification even with few samples per task by leveraging information from all the tasks in the sequence (forward and backward learning). However, existing techniques developed for continual learning and concept drift adaptation are either designed for tasks with time-independent similarities or only aim to learn the last task in the sequence. This paper presents incremental minimax risk classifiers (IMRCs) that effectively exploit forward and backward learning and account for evolving tasks. In addition, we analytically characterize the performance improvement provided by forward and backward learning in terms of the tasks' expected quadratic change and the number of tasks. The experimental evaluation shows that IMRCs can result in a significant performance improvement, especially for reduced sample sizes.

In this work, we study the effect of occlusion on video action recognition. To facilitate this study, we propose three benchmark datasets and experiment with seven different video action recognition models. These datasets include two synthetic benchmarks, UCF-101-O and K-400-O, which enabled understanding the effects of fundamental properties of occlusion via controlled experiments. We also propose a real-world occlusion dataset, UCF-19-Y-OCC, which helps in further validating the findings of this study. We find several interesting insights such as 1) transformers are more robust than CNN counterparts, 2) pretraining make models robust against occlusions, and 3) augmentation helps, but does not generalize well to real-world occlusions. In addition, we propose a simple transformer based compositional model, termed as CTx-Net, which generalizes well under this distribution shift. We observe that CTx-Net outperforms models which are trained using occlusions as augmentation, performing significantly better under natural occlusions. We believe this benchmark will open up interesting future research in robust video action recognition. Code is publicly available at https://shroglck.github.io/rev_unseen.

We reconsider the challenge of non-convex optimization under differential privacy constraint. Building upon the previous variance-reduced algorithm SpiderBoost, we propose a novel framework that employs two types of gradient oracles: one that estimates the gradient at a single point and a more cost-effective option that calculates the gradient difference between two points. Our framework can ensure continuous accuracy of gradient estimations and subsequently enhances the rates of identifying second-order stationary points. Additionally, we consider a more challenging task by attempting to locate the global minima of a nonconvex objective via the exponential mechanism without almost any assumptions. Our preliminary results suggest that the regularized exponential mechanism can effectively emulate previous empirical and population risk bounds, negating the need for smoothness assumptions for algorithms with polynomial running time. Furthermore, with running time factors excluded, the exponential mechanism demonstrates promising population risk bound performance, and we provide a nearly matching lower bound.

Conformal inference provides a general distribution-free method to rigorously calibrate the output of any machine learning algorithm for novelty detection. While this approach has many strengths, it has the limitation of being randomized, in the sense that it may lead to different results when analyzing twice the same data, and this can hinder the interpretation of any findings. We propose to make conformal inferences more stable by leveraging suitable conformal e-values instead of p-values to quantify statistical significance. This solution allows the evidence gathered from multiple analyses of the same data to be aggregated effectively while provably controlling the false discovery rate. Further, we show that the proposed method can reduce randomness without much loss of power compared to standard conformal inference, partly thanks to an innovative way of weighting conformal e-values based on additional side information carefully extracted from the same data. Simulations with synthetic and real data confirm this solution can be effective at eliminating random noise in the inferences obtained with state-of-the-art alternative techniques, sometimes also leading to higher power.

We propose Neural Priming, a technique for adapting large pretrained models to distribution shifts and downstream tasks given few or no labeled examples. Presented with class names or unlabeled test samples, Neural Priming enables the model to recall and conditions its parameters on relevant data seen throughout pretraining, thereby priming it for the test distribution. Neural Priming can be performed at inference, even for pretraining datasets as large as LAION-2B. Performing lightweight updates on the recalled data significantly improves accuracy across a variety of distribution shift and transfer learning benchmarks. Concretely, in the zero-shot setting, we see a 2.45% improvement in accuracy on ImageNet and 3.81% accuracy improvement on average across standard transfer learning benchmarks. Further, using Neural Priming at inference to adapt to distribution shift, we see a 1.41% accuracy improvement on ImageNetV2. These results demonstrate the effectiveness of Neural Priming in addressing the challenge of limited labeled data and changing distributions.