This article examines the near-term impact of expert system technology on work and the organization. First, an approach is taken for forecasting the likely extent of the diffusion, or success, of the technology. Next, the case of advanced manufacturing technologies and their effects is considered. From this analysis, a framework is constructed for viewing the impact of these technologies -- and technologies in general -- as a function of the technology itself; market realities; and personal, organizational, and societal values and policy choices. Two scenarios are proposed with respect to the application of this framework to expert systems. The first concludes that expert systems will have little impact on the nature of work and the organization. The second scenario posits that expert system diffusion will be pulled by, and will be a contributing factor toward, the evolution of the lean, flexible, knowledge-intensive, postindustrial organization.

Many barriers exist today that prevent effective industrial exploitation of current and future AI research. These barriers can only be removed by people who are working at the scientific forefront in AI and know potential industrial needs. The Knowledge Processing Laboratory's research and development concentrates in the following areas: (1) natural language interfaces to knowledge-based systems and databases; (2) theoretical and experimental work on qualitative modeling and nonmonotonic reasoning for future knowledge-based systems; (3) application-specific language design, in particular, Prolog extensions; and (4) desi gn and analysis of neural networks. This article gives the reader an overview of the main topics currently being pursued in each of these areas.

In the last few years, interest has grown in exploring AI approaches to design problems, both because of the enormous potential impact on productivity of improved design tools and because of the interesting basic AI issues that these problems raise. In particular, a number of ship designers and AI researchers recently became interested in applying AI to the hydrodynamic design of ship hulls. A typical problem here is to design the shape of a ship's hull in response to desired hydrodynamic properties such as drag and stability, taking into consideration a variety of design constraints, such as total hull volume.

Part of the Media Laboratory's Steve Benton on an advanced beammixing information. Like Richard Feynman's heritage (its origins are in the television display), (4) movies two books of memoirs and School of Architecture) is a startling of the future (putting feature-length Gleick's Chaos, this book will be receptivity to the arts, especially movies on laser disks, thereby ushering passed among workers in computer music and the visual arts, and Brand in paperback movies), (5) the visible and engineering departments as a repeatedly returns to this subject.

Stewart Brand, of Whole Earth Catalog fame, is a technology enthusiast. In 1986, he spent three months in the fantasyland of his choice, MIT's Media Laboratory (formerly the Architecture Machine Group). In his latest book, The Media Lab: Inventing the Future at MIT (Viking/ Penguin, New York, 1988, 285 pp., $10, ISBN 0-14-009701-5), he tells the world what he found.

To be considered exceptional, a textbook must satisfy three basic requirements. First, it must be authoritative, written by one with a broad range of experience in, and knowledge of, a subject. Second, it must effectively communicate to the reader, in the same manner in which a course instructor must be capable of imparting knowledge to students in a classroom. Third, it must stimulate the reader into thinking more deeply about the subject and into viewing it from fresh perspectives. In Artificial Intelligence: A Knowledge-Based Approach (Boyd and Fraser, Boston, 740 pp., $48.95), author Morris W. Firebaugh has succeeded in meeting each of these requirements.

In Expert Planning Systems, pp. 245–250. Institute of Electrical Engineers.

Oxford University Press

In AAAI-90, Vol. 2, pp. 1010–1015.

Available for a fee. Artificial Intelligence, vol. 43, no. 1, 1990