As the Primary season progresses there's been no end of political pundits backpedaling and mea-culpa-ing over their previous inability to predict the rise of Donald Trump to become the frontrunner in the GOP. From Charles Krauthammer admitting that it was wrong to laugh at The Donald to innumerable others, both liberal and conservative, wishing they'd take Trump seriously, it seems like just about everyone in the Predictive Class will be dining on roast crow this Easter. But why did they get things so wrong? Was it because they assumed that he'd "crash and burn" like John Podhoretz did? Was it because they assumed that he couldn't win because Republican voters hated him, as implied by Patrick Murray of Monmouth University when releasing early poll results in June of 2015?

A group of logistics entrepreneurs is launching a Silicon Valley-style accelerator for supply-chain technology startups, aiming to draw new investment and talent to the freight business. The founders say they will run the Dynamo program alongside a 12 million logistics venture fund in Chattanooga, Tenn. The accelerator will have a 3 million budget raised from the fund and other partners to put toward startups focused on logistics-oriented technologies such as autonomous-truck operations, drones and software. The startups will participate in a three-month program that will include testing their ideas with businesses in the Chattanooga area. The city has a growing manufacturing base, and is close to distribution hubs.

Top Machine Learning & Data Mining Books - for this post, we have scraped various signals (e.g. We have combined all signals to compute a Quality Score for each book and publish the list of top Machine Learning and Data Mining books. The readers will love the list because it is data-driven & objective. This book is very well rated on Amazon website and is written by three professors from USC, Stanford and University of Washington. The three authors: Gareth James, Daniela Witten, & Trevor Hastie all have backgrounds in statistics.

An Iranian charged with hacking the computer system that controlled a New York dam used a readily available Google search process to identify the vulnerable system, according to people familiar with the federal investigation. The process, known as "Google dorking," isn't as simple as an ordinary online search. Yet anyone with a computer and Internet access can perform it with a few special techniques. Federal authorities say it is...

The problem of recovering a structured signal $\mathbf{x} \in \mathbb{C}^p$ from a set of dimensionality-reduced linear measurements $\mathbf{b} = \mathbf {A}\mathbf {x}$ arises in a variety of applications, such as medical imaging, spectroscopy, Fourier optics, and computerized tomography. Due to computational and storage complexity or physical constraints imposed by the problem, the measurement matrix $\mathbf{A} \in \mathbb{C}^{n \times p}$ is often of the form $\mathbf{A} = \mathbf{P}_{\Omega}\boldsymbol{\Psi}$ for some orthonormal basis matrix $\boldsymbol{\Psi}\in \mathbb{C}^{p \times p}$ and subsampling operator $\mathbf{P}_{\Omega}: \mathbb{C}^{p} \rightarrow \mathbb{C}^{n}$ that selects the rows indexed by $\Omega$. This raises the fundamental question of how best to choose the index set $\Omega$ in order to optimize the recovery performance. Previous approaches to addressing this question rely on non-uniform \emph{random} subsampling using application-specific knowledge of the structure of $\mathbf{x}$. In this paper, we instead take a principled learning-based approach in which a \emph{fixed} index set is chosen based on a set of training signals $\mathbf{x}_1,\dotsc,\mathbf{x}_m$. We formulate combinatorial optimization problems seeking to maximize the energy captured in these signals in an average-case or worst-case sense, and we show that these can be efficiently solved either exactly or approximately via the identification of modularity and submodularity structures. We provide both deterministic and statistical theoretical guarantees showing how the resulting measurement matrices perform on signals differing from the training signals, and we provide numerical examples showing our approach to be effective on a variety of data sets.

We analyze a plug-in estimator for a large class of integral functionals of one or more continuous probability densities. This class includes important families of entropy, divergence, mutual information, and their conditional versions. For densities on the $d$-dimensional unit cube $[0,1]^d$ that lie in a $\beta$-H\"older smoothness class, we prove our estimator converges at the rate $O \left( n^{-\frac{\beta}{\beta + d}} \right)$. Furthermore, we prove the estimator is exponentially concentrated about its mean, whereas most previous related results have proven only expected error bounds on estimators.

Estimating divergences in a consistent way is of great importance in many machine learning tasks. Although this is a fundamental problem in nonparametric statistics, to the best of our knowledge there has been no finite sample exponential inequality convergence bound derived for any divergence estimators. The main contribution of our work is to provide such a bound for an estimator of R\'enyi-$\alpha$ divergence for a smooth H\"older class of densities on the $d$-dimensional unit cube $[0, 1]^d$. We also illustrate our theoretical results with a numerical experiment.

The paper proposes a novel Kernelized image segmentation scheme for noisy images that utilizes the concept of Smallest Univalue Segment Assimilating Nucleus (SUSAN) and incorporates spatial constraints by computing circular colour map induced weights. Fuzzy damping coefficients are obtained for each nucleus or center pixel on the basis of the corresponding weighted SUSAN area values, the weights being equal to the inverse of the number of horizontal and vertical moves required to reach a neighborhood pixel from the center pixel. These weights are used to vary the contributions of the different nuclei in the Kernel based framework. The paper also presents an edge quality metric obtained by fuzzy decision based edge candidate selection and final computation of the blurriness of the edges after their selection. The inability of existing algorithms to preserve edge information and structural details in their segmented maps necessitates the computation of the edge quality factor (EQF) for all the competing algorithms. Qualitative and quantitative analysis have been rendered with respect to state-of-the-art algorithms and for images ridden with varying types of noises. Speckle noise ridden SAR images and Rician noise ridden Magnetic Resonance Images have also been considered for evaluating the effectiveness of the proposed algorithm in extracting important segmentation information.

Mixture modeling is a general technique for making any simple model more expressive through weighted combination. This generality and simplicity in part explains the success of the Expectation Maximization (EM) algorithm, in which updates are easy to derive for a wide class of mixture models. However, the likelihood of a mixture model is non-convex, so EM has no known global convergence guarantees. Recently, method of moments approaches offer global guarantees for some mixture models, but they do not extend easily to the range of mixture models that exist. In this work, we present Polymom, an unifying framework based on method of moments in which estimation procedures are easily derivable, just as in EM. Polymom is applicable when the moments of a single mixture component are polynomials of the parameters. Our key observation is that the moments of the mixture model are a mixture of these polynomials, which allows us to cast estimation as a Generalized Moment Problem. We solve its relaxations using semidefinite optimization, and then extract parameters using ideas from computer algebra. This framework allows us to draw insights and apply tools from convex optimization, computer algebra and the theory of moments to study problems in statistical estimation.

The goal of this paper is to analyze an intriguing phenomenon recently discovered in deep networks, namely their instability to adversarial perturbations (Szegedy et. al., 2014). We provide a theoretical framework for analyzing the robustness of classifiers to adversarial perturbations, and show fundamental upper bounds on the robustness of classifiers. Specifically, we establish a general upper bound on the robustness of classifiers to adversarial perturbations, and then illustrate the obtained upper bound on the families of linear and quadratic classifiers. In both cases, our upper bound depends on a distinguishability measure that captures the notion of difficulty of the classification task. Our results for both classes imply that in tasks involving small distinguishability, no classifier in the considered set will be robust to adversarial perturbations, even if a good accuracy is achieved. Our theoretical framework moreover suggests that the phenomenon of adversarial instability is due to the low flexibility of classifiers, compared to the difficulty of the classification task (captured by the distinguishability). Moreover, we show the existence of a clear distinction between the robustness of a classifier to random noise and its robustness to adversarial perturbations. Specifically, the former is shown to be larger than the latter by a factor that is proportional to \sqrt{d} (with d being the signal dimension) for linear classifiers. This result gives a theoretical explanation for the discrepancy between the two robustness properties in high dimensional problems, which was empirically observed in the context of neural networks. To the best of our knowledge, our results provide the first theoretical work that addresses the phenomenon of adversarial instability recently observed for deep networks. Our analysis is complemented by experimental results on controlled and real-world data.