MLP networks provided slightly better risk prediction than conventional logistic regression when used to predict the risk of death, stroke, and renal failure on 1257 patients who underwent coronary artery bypass operations. Bootstrap sampling was required to compare approaches and regularization provided by early stopping was an important component of improved performance. A simplified approach to generating confidence intervals for MLP risk predictions using an auxiliary "confidence MLP" was also developed. The confidence MLP is trained to reproduce the confidence bounds that were generated during training by 50 MLP networks trained using bootstrap samples. Current research is validating these results using larger data sets, exploring approaches to detect outlier patients who are so different from any training patient that accurate risk prediction is suspect, developing approaches to explaining which input features are important for an individual patient, and determining why MLP networks provide improved performance.

K-Means is a popular clustering algorithm used in many applications, including the initialization of more computationally expensive algorithms (Gaussian mixtures, Radial Basis Functions, Learning Vector Quantization and some Hidden Markov Models). The practice of this initialization procedure often gives the frustrating feeling that K-Means performs most of the task in a small fraction of the overall time. This motivated us to better understand this convergence speed. A second reason lies in the traditional debate between hard threshold (e.g.

School of Computer Science School of Computer Science Carnegie Mellon University Carnegie Mellon University Pittsburgh, PA 15213 Pittsburgh, PA 15213 Abstract In many vision based tasks, the ability to focus attention on the important portions of a scene is crucial for good performance on the tasks. In this paper we present a simple method of achieving spatial selective attention through the use of a saliency map. The saliency map indicates which regions of the input retina are important for performing the task. The saliency map is created through predictive auto-encoding. The performance of this method is demonstrated on two simple tasks which have multiple very strong distracting features in the input retina. Architectural extensions and application directions for this model are presented. On some tasks this extra input can easily be ignored. Nonetheless, often the similarity between the important input features and the irrelevant features is great enough to interfere with task performance.

We propose an alternative model for mixtures of experts which uses a different parametric form for the gating network. The modified model is trained by the EM algorithm. In comparison with earlier models-trained by either EM or gradient ascent-there is no need to select a learning stepsize. We report simulation experiments which show that the new architecture yields faster convergence. We also apply the new model to two problem domains: piecewise nonlinear function approximation and the combination of multiple previously trained classifiers. 1 INTRODUCTION For the mixtures of experts architecture (Jacobs, Jordan, Nowlan & Hinton, 1991), the EM algorithm decouples the learning process in a manner that fits well with the modular structure and yields a considerably improved rate of convergence (Jordan & Jacobs, 1994).

We first rederive the known results for the'thermodynamic limit' of infinite perceptron size N and show explicitly that 9

We describe an analog VLSI implementation of the ARTI algorithm (Carpenter, 1987).

Almost all models of orientation and direction selectivity in visual cortex are based on feedforward connection schemes, where geniculate input provides all excitation to both pyramidal and inhibitory neurons. The latter neurons then suppress the response of the former for non-optimal stimuli. However, anatomical studies show that up to 90 % of the excitatory synaptic input onto any cortical cell is provided by other cortical cells. The massive excitatory feedback nature of cortical circuits is embedded in the canonical microcircuit of Douglas &. Martin (1991). We here investigate analytically and through biologically realistic simulations the functioning of a detailed model of this circuitry, operating in a hysteretic mode. In the model, weak geniculate input is dramatically amplified by intracortical excitation, while inhibition has a dual role: (i) to prevent the early geniculate-induced excitation in the null direction and (ii) to restrain excitation and ensure that the neurons fire only when the stimulus is in their receptive-field.

Casting neural network weights in symbolic terms is crucial for interpreting and explaining the behavior of a network. Additionally, in some domains, a symbolic description may lead to more robust generalization. We present a principled approach to symbolic rule extraction based on the notion of weight templates, parameterized regions of weight space corresponding to specific symbolic expressions. With an appropriate choice of representation, we show how template parameters may be efficiently identified and instantiated to yield the optimal match to a unit's actual weights.

An incremental network model is introduced which is able to learn the important topological relations in a given set of input vectors by means of a simple Hebb-like learning rule. In contrast to previous approaches like the "neural gas" method of Martinetz and Schulten (1991, 1994), this model has no parameters which change over time and is able to continue learning, adding units and connections, until a performance criterion has been met. Applications of the model include vector quantization, clustering, and interpolation.

Ni1000 was designed to calculate "city block" distances (Le.