In this paper we present a novel agent-based modeling methodology to predict rooftop solar adoptions in the residential energy market. We first applied several linear regression models to estimate missing variables for non-adopters, so that attributes of non-adopters and adopters could be used to train a logistic regression model. Then, we integrated the logistic regression model along with other predictive models into a multi-agent simulation platform and validated our models by comparing the forecast of aggregate adoptions in a typical zip code area with its ground truth. This result shows that the agent-based model can reliably predict future adoptions. Finally, based on the validated agent-based model, we compared the outcome of a hypothesized seeding policy with the original incentive plan, and investigated other alternative seeding policies which could lead to more adopters.

Shared mental models have been shown to improve human team performance. We thus conjecture that shared mental models (SMMs) integrated into cognitive robotic architectures might also improve the performance of mixed human-robot teams. To date, very little research has focused on developing appropriate computational constructs that can support domain independence and generalizability, while also being scalable. In this paper, we outline our proposed development of SMMs for cognitive robots.

An important contribution of our work is to quantitatively The SunShot Initiative (Sunshot 2011) has the goal of reducing assess the impact of peer effects on PV adoption in relationship the total costs for photovoltaic (PV) solar energy systems to other economic and non-economic variables. It has to be "cost-competitive" with other forms of energy. At that long been noted that peer effects play a significant role in cost, PV could be widely adopted and thus allow the United the adoption of new technology. For instance, (Rogers 2003) States (US) increase it's use of clean energy - a goal of the highlights the importance of "opinion leaders" and interpersonal Department of Energy (U.S.

The Educational Advances in Artificial Intelligence column discusses and shares innovative educational approaches that teach or leverage AI and its many subfields at all levels of education (K-12, undergraduate, and graduate levels). I credit these positive changes to the active in-class learning and a new enthusiasm for teaching, as well as the first-rate lectures by Stanford professors Jennifer Wisdom and Andrew Ng. I was showed that students liked this SPOC format, although pleased when students, enrolled in Introduction to there were suggestions for better in-class and Artificial Intelligence Class MOOC CS188x at the MOOC-content coordination. Had I tweaked my University of California, Berkeley, came to my channel course and continued along this path, I might have for remediation, taking word back to the MOOC's achieved phenominal success, but sadly I left the discussion forum. I required students in my graduate SPOC format behind.

Stackelberg games form the core of a number of tools deployed for computing optimal patrolling strategies in adversarial domains, such as the US Federal Air Marshall Service and the US Coast Guard. In traditional Stackelberg security game models the attacker knows only the probability that each target is covered by the defender, but is oblivious to the detailed timing of the coverage schedule. In many real-world situations, however, the attacker can observe the current location of the defender and can exploit this knowledge to reason about the defender’s future moves. We show that this general modeling framework can be captured using adversarial patrolling games (APGs) in which the defender sequentially moves between targets, with moves constrained by a graph, while the attacker can observe the defender’s current location and his (stochastic) policy concerning future moves. We offer a very general model of infinite-horizon discounted adversarial patrolling games. Our first contribution is to show that defender policies that condition only on the previous defense move (i.e., Markov stationary policies) can be arbitrarily suboptimal for general APGs. We then offer a mixed-integer non-linear programming (MINLP) formulation for computing optimal randomized policies for the defender that can condition on history of bounded, but arbitrary, length, as well as a mixed-integer linear programming (MILP) formulation to approximate these, with provable quality guarantees. Additionally, we present a non-linear programming (NLP) formulation for solving zero-sum APGs. We show experimentally that MILP significantly outperforms the MINLP formulation, and is, in turn, significantly outperformed by the NLP specialized to zero-sum games.

We introduce a laboratory text on environmental and societal sustainability applications that can be a supplemental resource for any undergraduate AI course. The lab text, entitled Artificial Intelligence for Computational Sustainability: A Lab Companion, is brand new and incomplete; freely available through Wikibooks; and open to community additions of projects, assignments, and explanatory material on AI for sustainability. The project adds to existing educational efforts of the computational sustainability community, encouraging the flow of knowledge from research to education and public outreach. Besides summarizing the laboratory book, this paper touches on its implications for integration of research and education, for communicating science to the public, and other broader impacts.

The Betty’s Brain computer-based learning system provides an open-ended and choice-rich environment for science learning. Using the learning-by-teaching paradigm paired with feedback and support provided by two pedagogical agents, the system also promotes the development of self-regulated learning strategies to support preparation for future learning. We apply metacognitive learning theories and experiential analysis to interpret the results from previous classroom studies. We propose an integrated cognitive and metacognitive model for effective, self-regulated student learning in the Betty’s Brain environment, and then apply this model to interpret and analyze common suboptimal learning strategies students apply during their learning. This comparison is used to derive feedback for helping learners overcome these difficulties and adopt more effective strategies for regulating their learning. Preliminary results demonstrate that students who were responsive to the feedback had better learning performance.

The Association for the Advancement of Artificial Intelligence, in cooperation with Stanford University's Department of Computer Science, presented the 2011 Spring Symposium Series Monday through Wednesday, March 21–23, 2011 at Stanford University. The titles of the eight symposia were AI and Health Communication, Artificial Intelligence and Sustainable Design, AI for Business Agility, Computational Physiology, Help Me Help You: Bridging the Gaps in Human-Agent Collaboration, Logical Formalizations of Commonsense Reasoning, Multirobot Systems and Physical Data Structures, and Modeling Complex Adaptive Systems As If They Were Voting Processes.

The titles of the eight symposia were Artificial Intelligence and Health Communication, Artificial Intelligence and Sustainable Design, Artificial Intelligence for Business Agility, Computational Physiology, Help Me Help You: Bridging the Gaps in Human-Agent Collaboration, Logical Formalizations of Commonsense Reasoning, Multirobot Systems and Physical Data Structures, and Modeling Complex Adaptive Systems As If They Were Voting Processes. The goal of the Artificial Intelligence and Health Communication symposium was to advance the conceptual design of automated systems that provide health services to patients and consumers through interdisciplinary insight from artificial intelligence, health communication and related areas of communication studies, discourse studies, public health, and psychology. There is a large and growing interest in the development of automated systems to provide health services to patients and consumers. In the last two decades, applications informed by research in health communication have been developed, for example, for promoting healthy behavior and for managing chronic diseases. While the value that these types of applications can offer to the community in terms of cost, access, and convenience is clear, there are still major challenges facing design of effective health communication systems. Overall, the participants found the format of the symposium engaging and constructive, and they The symposium was organized around five main expressed the desire to continue this initiative in concepts: (1) Patient empowerment and education further events.

The Association for the Advancement of Artificial Intelligence was pleased to present the 2010 Fall Symposium Series, held Thursday through Saturday, November 11-13, at the Westin Arlington Gateway in Arlington, Virginia. The titles of the eight symposia are as follows: (1) Cognitive and Metacognitive Educational Systems; (2) Commonsense Knowledge; (3) Complex Adaptive Systems: Resilience, Robustness, and Evolvability; (4) Computational Models of Narrative; (5) Dialog with Robots; (6) Manifold Learning and Its Applications; (7) Proactive Assistant Agents; and (8) Quantum Informatics for Cognitive, Social, and Semantic Processes. The highlights of each symposium are presented in this report.