Predictive multiplicity refers to the phenomenon in which classification tasks may admit multiple competing models that achieve almost-equally-optimal performance, yet generate conflicting outputs for individual samples. This presents significant concerns, as it can potentially result in systemic exclusion, inexplicable discrimination, and unfairness in practical applications. Measuring and mitigating predictive multiplicity, however, is computationally challenging due to the need to explore all such almost-equally-optimal models, known as the Rashomon set, in potentially huge hypothesis spaces. To address this challenge, we propose a novel framework that utilizes dropout techniques for exploring models in the Rashomon set. We provide rigorous theoretical derivations to connect the dropout parameters to properties of the Rashomon set, and empirically evaluate our framework through extensive experimentation. Numerical results show that our technique consistently outperforms baselines in terms of the effectiveness of predictive multiplicity metric estimation, with runtime speedup up to $20\times \sim 5000\times$. With efficient Rashomon set exploration and metric estimation, mitigation of predictive multiplicity is then achieved through dropout ensemble and model selection.

Context: Navigating the knowledge of Stack Overflow (SO) remains challenging. To make the posts vivid to users, SO allows users to write and edit posts with Markdown or HTML so that users can leverage various formatting styles (e.g., bold, italic, and code) to highlight the important information. Nonetheless, there have been limited studies on the highlighted information. Objective: We carried out the first large-scale exploratory study on the information highlighted in SO answers in our recent study. To extend our previous study, we develop approaches to automatically recommend highlighted content with formatting styles using neural network architectures initially designed for the Named Entity Recognition task. Method: In this paper, we studied 31,169,429 answers of Stack Overflow. For training recommendation models, we choose CNN and BERT models for each type of formatting (i.e., Bold, Italic, Code, and Heading) using the information highlighting dataset we collected from SO answers. Results: Our models based on CNN architecture achieve precision ranging from 0.71 to 0.82. The trained model for automatic code content highlighting achieves a recall of 0.73 and an F1 score of 0.71, outperforming the trained models for other formatting styles. The BERT models have even lower recalls and F1 scores than the CNN models. Our analysis of failure cases indicates that the majority of the failure cases are missing identification (i.e., the model misses the content that is supposed to be highlighted) due to the models tend to learn the frequently highlighted words while struggling to learn less frequent words. Conclusion: Our findings suggest that it is possible to develop recommendation models for highlighting information for answers with different formatting styles on Stack Overflow.

Technical question and answering (Q&A) sites such as Stack Overflow have become an important source for software developers to seek knowledge. However, code snippets on Q&A sites are usually uncompilable and semantically incomplete for compilation due to unresolved types and missing dependent libraries, which raises the obstacle for users to reuse or analyze Q&A code snippets. Prior approaches either are not designed for synthesizing compilable code or suffer from a low compilation success rate. To address this problem, we propose ZS4C, a lightweight approach to perform zero-shot synthesis of compilable code from incomplete code snippets using Large Language Model (LLM). ZS4C operates in two stages. In the first stage, ZS4C utilizes an LLM, i.e., ChatGPT, to identify missing import statements for a given code snippet, leveraging our designed task-specific prompt template. In the second stage, ZS4C fixes compilation errors caused by incorrect import statements and syntax errors through collaborative work between ChatGPT and a compiler. We thoroughly evaluated ZS4C on a widely used benchmark called StatType-SO against the SOTA approach SnR. Compared with SnR, ZS4C improves the compilation rate from 63% to 87.6%, with a 39.3% improvement. On average, ZS4C can infer more accurate import statements than SnR, with an improvement of 6.6% in the F1.

We study recent research advances that improve large language models through efficient pre-training and scaling, and open datasets and tools. We combine these advances to introduce Cerebras-GPT, a family of open compute-optimal language models scaled from 111M to 13B parameters. We train Cerebras-GPT models on the Eleuther Pile dataset following DeepMind Chinchilla scaling rules for efficient pre-training (highest accuracy for a given compute budget). We characterize the predictable power-law scaling and compare Cerebras-GPT with other publicly-available models to show all Cerebras-GPT models have state-of-the-art training efficiency on both pre-training and downstream objectives. We describe our learnings including how Maximal Update Parameterization ($\mu$P) can further improve large model scaling, improving accuracy and hyperparameter predictability at scale. We release our pre-trained models and code, making this paper the first open and reproducible work comparing compute-optimal model scaling to models trained on fixed dataset sizes. Cerebras-GPT models are available on HuggingFace: https://huggingface.co/cerebras.

Feature selection is an effective preprocessing technique to reduce data dimension. For feature selection, rough set theory provides many measures, among which mutual information is one of the most important attribute measures. However, mutual information based importance measures are computationally expensive and inaccurate, especially in hypersample instances, and it is undoubtedly a NP-hard problem in high-dimensional hyperhigh-dimensional data sets. Although many representative group intelligent algorithm feature selection strategies have been proposed so far to improve the accuracy, there is still a bottleneck when using these feature selection algorithms to process high-dimensional large-scale data sets, which consumes a lot of performance and is easy to select weakly correlated and redundant features. In this study, we propose an incremental mutual information based improved swarm intelligent optimization method (IMIICSO), which uses rough set theory to calculate the importance of feature selection based on mutual information. This method extracts decision table reduction knowledge to guide group algorithm global search. By exploring the computation of mutual information of supersamples, we can not only discard the useless features to speed up the internal and external computation, but also effectively reduce the cardinality of the optimal feature subset by using IMIICSO method, so that the cardinality is minimized by comparison. The accuracy of feature subsets selected by the improved cockroach swarm algorithm based on incremental mutual information is better or almost the same as that of the original swarm intelligent optimization algorithm. Experiments using 10 datasets derived from UCI, including large scale and high dimensional datasets, confirmed the efficiency and effectiveness of the proposed algorithm.

The fluctuation effect of gradient expectation and variance caused by parameter update between consecutive iterations is neglected or confusing by current mainstream gradient optimization algorithms.Using this fluctuation effect, combined with the stratified sampling strategy, this paper designs a novel \underline{M}emory \underline{S}tochastic s\underline{T}ratified Gradient Descend(\underline{MST}GD) algorithm with an exponential convergence rate. Specifically, MSTGD uses two strategies for variance reduction: the first strategy is to perform variance reduction according to the proportion p of used historical gradient, which is estimated from the mean and variance of sample gradients before and after iteration, and the other strategy is stratified sampling by category. The statistic \ $\bar{G}_{mst}$\ designed under these two strategies can be adaptively unbiased, and its variance decays at a geometric rate. This enables MSTGD based on $\bar{G}_{mst}$ to obtain an exponential convergence rate of the form $\lambda^{2(k-k_0)}$($\lambda\in (0,1)$,k is the number of iteration steps,$\lambda$ is a variable related to proportion p).Unlike most other algorithms that claim to achieve an exponential convergence rate, the convergence rate is independent of parameters such as dataset size N, batch size n, etc., and can be achieved at a constant step size.Theoretical and experimental results show the effectiveness of MSTGD

Source code authorship attribution is an important problem often encountered in applications such as software forensics, bug fixing, and software quality analysis. Recent studies show that current source code authorship attribution methods can be compromised by attackers exploiting adversarial examples and coding style manipulation. This calls for robust solutions to the problem of code authorship attribution. In this paper, we initiate the study on making Deep Learning (DL)-based code authorship attribution robust. We propose an innovative framework called Robust coding style Patterns Generation (RoPGen), which essentially learns authors' unique coding style patterns that are hard for attackers to manipulate or imitate. The key idea is to combine data augmentation and gradient augmentation at the adversarial training phase. This effectively increases the diversity of training examples, generates meaningful perturbations to gradients of deep neural networks, and learns diversified representations of coding styles. We evaluate the effectiveness of RoPGen using four datasets of programs written in C, C++, and Java. Experimental results show that RoPGen can significantly improve the robustness of DL-based code authorship attribution, by respectively reducing 22.8% and 41.0% of the success rate of targeted and untargeted attacks on average.

In this paper, we study the learning problem in contextual search, which is motivated by applications such as first-price auction, personalized medicine experiments, and feature-based pricing experiments. In particular, for a sequence of arriving context vectors, with each context associated with an underlying value, the decision-maker either makes a query at a certain point or skips the context. The decision-maker will only observe the binary feedback on the relationship between the query point and the value associated with the context. We study a PAC learning setting, where the goal is to learn the underlying mean value function in context with a minimum number of queries. To address this challenge, we propose a tri-section search approach combined with a margin-based active learning method. We show that the algorithm only needs to make $O(1/\varepsilon^2)$ queries to achieve an $\epsilon$-estimation accuracy. This sample complexity significantly reduces the required sample complexity in the passive setting, at least $\Omega(1/\varepsilon^4)$.

Experiments that study neural encoding of stimuli at the level of individual neurons typically choose a small set of features present in the world --- contrast and luminance for vision, pitch and intensity for sound --- and assemble a stimulus set that systematically varies along these dimensions. Subsequent analysis of neural responses to these stimuli typically focuses on regression models, with experimenter-controlled features as predictors and spike counts or firing rates as responses. Unfortunately, this approach requires knowledge in advance about the relevant features coded by a given population of neurons. For domains as complex as social interaction or natural movement, however, the relevant feature space is poorly understood, and an arbitrary \emph{a priori} choice of features may give rise to confirmation bias. Here, we present a Bayesian model for exploratory data analysis that is capable of automatically identifying the features present in unstructured stimuli based solely on neuronal responses. Our approach is unique within the class of latent state space models of neural activity in that it assumes that firing rates of neurons are sensitive to multiple discrete time-varying features tied to the \emph{stimulus}, each of which has Markov (or semi-Markov) dynamics. That is, we are modeling neural activity as driven by multiple simultaneous stimulus features rather than intrinsic neural dynamics. We derive a fast variational Bayesian inference algorithm and show that it correctly recovers hidden features in synthetic data, as well as ground-truth stimulus features in a prototypical neural dataset. To demonstrate the utility of the algorithm, we also apply it to cluster neural responses and demonstrate successful recovery of features corresponding to monkeys and faces in the image set.