Borrajo, Daniel
Generalising Planning Environment Redesign
Pozanco, Alberto, Pereira, Ramon Fraga, Borrajo, Daniel
In Environment Design, one interested party seeks to affect another agent's decisions by applying changes to the environment. Most research on planning environment (re)design assumes the interested party's objective is to facilitate the recognition of goals and plans, and search over the space of environment modifications to find the minimal set of changes that simplify those tasks and optimise a particular metric. This search space is usually intractable, so existing approaches devise metric-dependent pruning techniques for performing search more efficiently. This results in approaches that are not able to generalise across different objectives and/or metrics. In this paper, we argue that the interested party could have objectives and metrics that are not necessarily related to recognising agents' goals or plans. Thus, to generalise the task of Planning Environment Redesign, we develop a general environment redesign approach that is metric-agnostic and leverages recent research on top-quality planning to efficiently redesign planning environments according to any interested party's objective and metric. Experiments over a set of environment redesign benchmarks show that our general approach outperforms existing approaches when using well-known metrics, such as facilitating the recognition of goals, as well as its effectiveness when solving environment redesign tasks that optimise a novel set of different metrics.
Synthetic Data Applications in Finance
Potluru, Vamsi K., Borrajo, Daniel, Coletta, Andrea, Dalmasso, Niccolò, El-Laham, Yousef, Fons, Elizabeth, Ghassemi, Mohsen, Gopalakrishnan, Sriram, Gosai, Vikesh, Kreačić, Eleonora, Mani, Ganapathy, Obitayo, Saheed, Paramanand, Deepak, Raman, Natraj, Solonin, Mikhail, Sood, Srijan, Vyetrenko, Svitlana, Zhu, Haibei, Veloso, Manuela, Balch, Tucker
Synthetic data has made tremendous strides in various commercial settings including finance, healthcare, and virtual reality. We present a broad overview of prototypical applications of synthetic data in the financial sector and in particular provide richer details for a few select ones. These cover a wide variety of data modalities including tabular, time-series, event-series, and unstructured arising from both markets and retail financial applications. Since finance is a highly regulated industry, synthetic data is a potential approach for dealing with issues related to privacy, fairness, and explainability. Various metrics are utilized in evaluating the quality and effectiveness of our approaches in these applications. We conclude with open directions in synthetic data in the context of the financial domain.
Classification of Tabular Data by Text Processing
Ramani, Keshav, Borrajo, Daniel
Natural Language Processing technology has advanced vastly in the past decade. Text processing has been successfully applied to a wide variety of domains. In this paper, we propose a novel framework, Text Based Classification(TBC), that uses state of the art text processing techniques to solve classification tasks on tabular data. We provide a set of controlled experiments where we present the benefits of using this approach against other classification methods. Experimental results on several data sets also show that this framework achieves comparable performance to that of several state of the art models in accuracy, precision and recall of predicted classes.
On the Constrained Time-Series Generation Problem
Coletta, Andrea, Gopalakrishan, Sriram, Borrajo, Daniel, Vyetrenko, Svitlana
Synthetic time series are often used in practical applications to augment the historical time series dataset for better performance of machine learning algorithms, amplify the occurrence of rare events, and also create counterfactual scenarios described by the time series. Distributional-similarity (which we refer to as realism) as well as the satisfaction of certain numerical constraints are common requirements in counterfactual time series scenario generation requests. For instance, the US Federal Reserve publishes synthetic market stress scenarios given by the constrained time series for financial institutions to assess their performance in hypothetical recessions. Existing approaches for generating constrained time series usually penalize training loss to enforce constraints, and reject non-conforming samples. However, these approaches would require re-training if we change constraints, and rejection sampling can be computationally expensive, or impractical for complex constraints. In this paper, we propose a novel set of methods to tackle the constrained time series generation problem and provide efficient sampling while ensuring the realism of generated time series. In particular, we frame the problem using a constrained optimization framework and then we propose a set of generative methods including "GuidedDiffTime", a guided diffusion model to generate realistic time series. Empirically, we evaluate our work on several datasets for financial and energy data, where incorporating constraints is critical. We show that our approaches outperform existing work both qualitatively and quantitatively. Most importantly, we show that our "GuidedDiffTime" model is the only solution where re-training is not necessary for new constraints, resulting in a significant carbon footprint reduction, up to 92% w.r.t. existing deep learning methods.
Contrastive Explanations of Multi-agent Optimization Solutions
Zehtabi, Parisa, Pozanco, Alberto, Bloch, Ayala, Borrajo, Daniel, Kraus, Sarit
In many real-world scenarios, agents are involved in optimization problems. Since most of these scenarios are over-constrained, optimal solutions do not always satisfy all agents. Some agents might be unhappy and ask questions of the form ``Why does solution $S$ not satisfy property $P$?''. In this paper, we propose MAoE, a domain-independent approach to obtain contrastive explanations by (i) generating a new solution $S^\prime$ where the property $P$ is enforced, while also minimizing the differences between $S$ and $S^\prime$; and (ii) highlighting the differences between the two solutions. Such explanations aim to help agents understanding why the initial solution is better than what they expected. We have carried out a computational evaluation that shows that MAoE can generate contrastive explanations for large multi-agent optimization problems. We have also performed an extensive user study in four different domains that shows that, after being presented with these explanations, humans' satisfaction with the original solution increases.
A Look into Causal Effects under Entangled Treatment in Graphs: Investigating the Impact of Contact on MRSA Infection
Ma, Jing, Chen, Chen, Vullikanti, Anil, Mishra, Ritwick, Madden, Gregory, Borrajo, Daniel, Li, Jundong
Methicillin-resistant Staphylococcus aureus (MRSA) is a type of bacteria resistant to certain antibiotics, making it difficult to prevent MRSA infections. Among decades of efforts to conquer infectious diseases caused by MRSA, many studies have been proposed to estimate the causal effects of close contact (treatment) on MRSA infection (outcome) from observational data. In this problem, the treatment assignment mechanism plays a key role as it determines the patterns of missing counterfactuals -- the fundamental challenge of causal effect estimation. Most existing observational studies for causal effect learning assume that the treatment is assigned individually for each unit. However, on many occasions, the treatments are pairwisely assigned for units that are connected in graphs, i.e., the treatments of different units are entangled. Neglecting the entangled treatments can impede the causal effect estimation. In this paper, we study the problem of causal effect estimation with treatment entangled in a graph. Despite a few explorations for entangled treatments, this problem still remains challenging due to the following challenges: (1) the entanglement brings difficulties in modeling and leveraging the unknown treatment assignment mechanism; (2) there may exist hidden confounders which lead to confounding biases in causal effect estimation; (3) the observational data is often time-varying. To tackle these challenges, we propose a novel method NEAT, which explicitly leverages the graph structure to model the treatment assignment mechanism, and mitigates confounding biases based on the treatment assignment modeling. We also extend our method into a dynamic setting to handle time-varying observational data. Experiments on both synthetic datasets and a real-world MRSA dataset validate the effectiveness of the proposed method, and provide insights for future applications.
Fairness in Multi-Agent Planning
Pozanco, Alberto, Borrajo, Daniel
In cooperative Multi-Agent Planning (MAP), a set of goals has to be achieved by a set of agents. Independently of whether they perform a pre-assignment of goals to agents or they directly search for a solution without any goal assignment, most previous works did not focus on a fair distribution/achievement of goals by agents. This paper adapts well-known fairness schemes to MAP, and introduces two novel approaches to generate cost-aware fair plans. The first one solves an optimization problem to pre-assign goals to agents, and then solves a centralized MAP task using that assignment. The second one consists of a planning-based compilation that allows solving the joint problem of goal assignment and planning while taking into account the given fairness scheme. Empirical results in several standard MAP benchmarks show that these approaches outperform different baselines. They also show that there is no need to sacrifice much plan cost to generate fair plans.
Inapplicable Actions Learning for Knowledge Transfer in Reinforcement Learning
Ardon, Leo, Pozanco, Alberto, Borrajo, Daniel, Ganesh, Sumitra
Reinforcement Learning (RL) algorithms are known to scale poorly to environments with many available actions, requiring numerous samples to learn an optimal policy. The traditional approach of considering the same fixed action space in every possible state implies that the agent must understand, while also learning to maximize its reward, to ignore irrelevant actions such as $\textit{inapplicable actions}$ (i.e. actions that have no effect on the environment when performed in a given state). Knowing this information can help reduce the sample complexity of RL algorithms by masking the inapplicable actions from the policy distribution to only explore actions relevant to finding an optimal policy. While this technique has been formalized for quite some time within the Automated Planning community with the concept of precondition in the STRIPS language, RL algorithms have never formally taken advantage of this information to prune the search space to explore. This is typically done in an ad-hoc manner with hand-crafted domain logic added to the RL algorithm. In this paper, we propose a more systematic approach to introduce this knowledge into the algorithm. We (i) standardize the way knowledge can be manually specified to the agent; and (ii) present a new framework to autonomously learn the partial action model encapsulating the precondition of an action jointly with the policy. We show experimentally that learning inapplicable actions greatly improves the sample efficiency of the algorithm by providing a reliable signal to mask out irrelevant actions. Moreover, we demonstrate that thanks to the transferability of the knowledge acquired, it can be reused in other tasks and domains to make the learning process more efficient.
Advising Agent for Service-Providing Live-Chat Operators
Aviv, Aviram, Oshrat, Yaniv, Assefa, Samuel A., Mustapha, Tobi, Borrajo, Daniel, Veloso, Manuela, Kraus, Sarit
Call centers, in which human operators attend clients using textual chat, are very common in modern e-commerce. Training enough skilled operators who are able to provide good service is a challenge. We suggest an algorithm and a method to train and implement an assisting agent that provides on-line advice to operators while they attend clients. The agent is domain-independent and can be introduced to new domains without major efforts in design, training and organizing structured knowledge of the professional discipline. We demonstrate the applicability of the system in an experiment that realizes its full life-cycle on a specific domain and analyze its capabilities.
Goal recognition via model-based and model-free techniques
Borrajo, Daniel, Gopalakrishnan, Sriram, Potluru, Vamsi K.
Humans interact with the world based on their inner motivations (goals) by performing actions. Those actions might be observable by financial institutions. In turn, financial institutions might log all these observed actions for better understanding human behavior. Examples of such interactions are investment operations (buying or selling options), account-related activities (creating accounts, making transactions, withdrawing money), digital interactions (utilizing the bank's web or mobile app for configuring alerts, or applying for a new credit card), or even illicit operations (such as fraud or money laundering). Once human behavior can be better understood, financial institutions can improve their processes allowing them to deepen the relationship with clients, offering targeted services (marketing), handling complaints-related interactions (operations), or performing fraud or money laundering investigations (compliance) [Borrajo et al., 2020].