In this study, we present a hybrid CNN-RNN approach to investigate long-term survival of subjects in a lung cancer screening study. Subjects who died of cardiovascular and respiratory causes were identified whereby the CNN model was used to capture imaging features in the CT scans and the RNN model was used to investigate time series and thus global information. The models were trained on subjects who underwent cardiovascular and respiratory deaths and a control cohort matched to participant age, gender, and smoking history. The combined model can achieve an AUC of 0.76 which outperforms humans at cardiovascular mortality prediction. The corresponding F1 and Matthews Correlation Coefficient are 0.63 and 0.42 respectively. The generalisability of the model is further validated on an 'external' cohort. The same models were applied to survival analysis with the Cox Proportional Hazard model. It was demonstrated that incorporating the follow-up history can lead to improvement in survival prediction. The Cox neural network can achieve an IPCW C-index of 0.75 on the internal dataset and 0.69 on an external dataset. Delineating imaging features associated with long-term survival can help focus preventative interventions appropriately, particularly for under-recognised pathologies thereby potentially reducing patient morbidity.

In Reinforcement Learning the Q-learning algorithm provably converges to the optimal solution. However, as others have demonstrated, Q-learning can also overestimate the values and thereby spend too long exploring unhelpful states. Double Q-learning is a provably convergent alternative that mitigates some of the overestimation issues, though sometimes at the expense of slower convergence. We introduce an alternative algorithm that replaces the max operation with an average, resulting also in a provably convergent off-policy algorithm which can mitigate overestimation yet retain similar convergence as standard Q-learning.

Latent variable models like the Variational Auto-Encoder (VAE) are commonly used to learn representations of images. However, for downstream tasks like semantic classification, the representations learned by VAE are less competitive than other non-latent variable models. This has led to some speculations that latent variable models may be fundamentally unsuitable for representation learning. In this work, we study what properties are required for good representations and how different VAE structure choices could affect the learned properties. We show that by using a decoder that prefers to learn local features, the remaining global features can be well captured by the latent, which significantly improves performance of a downstream classification task. We further apply the proposed model to semi-supervised learning tasks and demonstrate improvements in data efficiency.

We propose a new, more general approach to the design of stochastic gradient-based optimization methods for machine learning. In this new framework, optimizers assume access to a batch of gradient estimates per iteration, rather than a single estimate. This better reflects the information that is actually available in typical machine learning setups. To demonstrate the usefulness of this generalized approach, we develop Eve, an adaptation of the Adam optimizer which uses examplewise gradients to obtain more accurate second-moment estimates. We provide preliminary experiments, without hyperparameter tuning, which show that the new optimizer slightly outperforms Adam on a small scale benchmark and performs the same or worse on larger scale benchmarks. Further work is needed to refine the algorithm and tune hyperparameters.

Labelling data is a major practical bottleneck in training and testing classifiers. Given a collection of unlabelled data points, we address how to select which subset to label to best estimate test metrics such as accuracy, $F_1$ score or micro/macro $F_1$. We consider two sampling based approaches, namely the well-known Importance Sampling and we introduce a novel application of Poisson Sampling. For both approaches we derive the minimal error sampling distributions and how to approximate and use them to form estimators and confidence intervals. We show that Poisson Sampling outperforms Importance Sampling both theoretically and experimentally.

Linear chain conditional random fields (CRFs) combined with contextual word embeddings have achieved state of the art performance on sequence labeling tasks. In many of these tasks, the identity of the neighboring words is often the most useful contextual information when predicting the label of a given word. However, contextual embeddings are usually trained in a task-agnostic manner. This means that although they may encode information about the neighboring words, it is not guaranteed. It can therefore be beneficial to design the sequence labeling architecture to directly extract this information from the embeddings. We propose locally-contextual nonlinear CRFs for sequence labeling. Our approach directly incorporates information from the neighboring embeddings when predicting the label for a given word, and parametrizes the potential functions using deep neural networks. Our model serves as a drop-in replacement for the linear chain CRF, consistently outperforming it in our ablation study. On a variety of tasks, our results are competitive with those of the best published methods. In particular, we outperform the previous state of the art on chunking on CoNLL 2000 and named entity recognition on OntoNotes 5.0 English.

In recent years, the collection and sharing of individuals' private data has become commonplace in many industries. Local differential privacy (LDP) is a rigorous approach which uses a randomized algorithm to preserve privacy even from the database administrator, unlike the more standard central differential privacy. For LDP, when applying noise directly to high-dimensional data, the level of noise required all but entirely destroys data utility. In this paper we introduce a novel, application-agnostic privatization mechanism that leverages representation learning to overcome the prohibitive noise requirements of direct methods, while maintaining the strict guarantees of LDP. We further demonstrate that this privatization mechanism can be used to train machine learning algorithms across a range of applications, including private data collection, private novel-class classification, and the augmentation of clean datasets with additional privatized features. We achieve significant gains in performance on downstream classification tasks relative to benchmarks that noise the data directly, which are state-of-the-art in the context of application-agnostic LDP mechanisms for high-dimensional data. The collection of personal data is ubiquitous, and unavoidable for many in everyday life. While this has undeniably improved the quality and user experience of many products and services, evidence of data misuse and data breaches (Sweeney, 1997; Jolly, 2020) have brought the concept of data privacy into sharp focus, fueling both regulatory changes as well as a shift in personal preferences. The onus has now fallen on organizations to determine if they are willing and able to collect personal data under these changing expectations.

Probabilistic models with hierarchical-latent-variable structures provide state-of-the-art results amongst non-autoregressive, unsupervised density-based models. However, the most common approach to training such models based on Variational Autoencoders (VAEs) often fails to leverage deep-latent hierarchies; successful approaches require complex inference and optimisation schemes. Optimal Transport is an alternative, non-likelihood-based framework for training generative models with appealing theoretical properties, in principle allowing easier training convergence between distributions. In this work we propose a novel approach to training models with deep-latent hierarchies based on Optimal Transport, without the need for highly bespoke models and inference networks. We show that our method enables the generative model to fully leverage its deep-latent hierarchy, avoiding the well known "latent variable collapse" issue of VAEs; therefore, providing qualitatively better sample generations as well as more interpretable latent representation than the original Wasserstein Autoencoder with Maximum Mean Discrepancy divergence.

Disentangled representation learning has undoubtedly benefited from objective function surgery. However, a delicate balancing act of tuning is still required in order to trade off reconstruction fidelity versus disentanglement. Building on previous successes of penalizing the total correlation in the latent variables, we propose TCWAE (Total Correlation Wasserstein Autoencoder). Working in the WAE paradigm naturally enables the separation of the total-correlation term, thus providing disentanglement control over the learned representation, while offering more flexibility in the choice of reconstruction cost. We propose two variants using different KL estimators and perform extensive quantitative comparisons on data sets with known generative factors, showing competitive results relative to state-of-the-art techniques. We further study the trade off between disentanglement and reconstruction on more-difficult data sets with unknown generative factors, where the flexibility of the WAE paradigm in the reconstruction term improves reconstructions.

Sequential decision making problems, such as structured prediction, robotic control, and game playing, require a combination of planning policies and generalisation of those plans. Planning new policies is performed by tree search, while a deep neural network generalises those plans. Subsequently, tree search is improved by using the neural network policy to guide search, increasing the strength of new plans. In contrast, standard deep Reinforcement Learning algorithms rely on a neural network not only to generalise plans, but to discover them too. We show that ExIt outperforms REINFORCE for training a neural network to play the board game Hex, and our final tree search agent, trained tabula rasa, defeats MoHex1.0, the most recent Olympiad Champion player to be publicly released.