2025: The Year of the AI App

What a great idea I had for the first Plaintext of 2025. After following the frantic competition between OpenAI, Google, Meta, and Anthropic to churn out brainier and deeper "frontier" foundation models, I settled on a thesis about what's ahead: In the new year, those mighty trailblazers will consume billions of dollars, countless gigawatts, and all the silicon Nvidia can muster in their pursuit of AGI. We'll be bombarded by press releases boasting advanced reasoning, more tokens, and maybe even assurances that their models won't make up crazy facts. But people are tired of hearing about how AI is transformational and seeing few transformations to their day-to-day existence. Getting an AI summary of Google search results or having Facebook ask if you want to pose a follow-up question on a post doesn't make you a traveler to the neo-human future.