Do machines actually beat doctors? ROC curves and performance metrics

@machinelearnbot 

Deep learning research in medicine is a bit like the Wild West at the moment; sometimes you find gold, sometimes a giant steampunk spider-bot causes a ruckus. This has derailed my series on whether AI will be replacing doctors soon, as I have felt the need to focus a bit more on how to assess the quality of medical AI research. I wanted to start closing out my series on the role of AI in medicine. What has happened instead is that several papers have claimed to beat doctors, and have failed to justify these claims. Despite this, and despite not going through peer review, the groups involved have issued press releases about their achievements, marketing the results direct to the public and the media. I don't think this is malicious. I think there is a cultural divide between the machine learning and the medical communities, a different way of doing research, and a different level of evidence required for making strong claims. If I have to be honest, I think the machine learning community has a fair bit to learn from medical research in this regard. Last time I made a set of three rules about how to assess medical AI research, and the third was a glib recommendation to "actually read the paper".

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