Helping decision-makers manage resilience under different climate change scenarios: global vs local

The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) fifth assessment report states that warming of the climate system is unequivocal and notes that each of the last three decades has been successively warmer at the Earth's surface than any preceding decade since 1850. The projections of the IPCC Report regarding future global temperature change range from 1.1 to 4 C, but that temperatures increases of more than 6 C cannot be ruled out [1]. This wide range of values reflects our limitations in performing accurate projections of future climate change produced by different potential pathways of greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions. The sources of the uncertainty that prevent us from obtaining better precision are diverse. One of them is related to the computer models used to project future climate change.