What Does the Humbling of Leopold Aschenbrenner Mean for the A.I. Bubble?

The New Yorker 

What Does the Humbling of Leopold Aschenbrenner Mean for the A.I. Bubble? In the classic book " Manias, Panics, and Crashes: A History of Financial Crises," the economic historian Charles Kindleberger divided episodes of speculation into five stages. Citing the work of Hyman Minsky, the post-Keynesian theorist, Kindleberger writes that the process begins with a displacement, such as the emergence of an important new technology, or a major policy shift, that gets investors excited about the future. They start to bid up asset prices, and capital floods into the affected sector. As optimism spreads, an investment boom--the next stage--develops, much of it facilitated by credit expansion, and the repercussions are felt in the broader economy.