Review for NeurIPS paper: X-CAL: Explicit Calibration for Survival Analysis
–Neural Information Processing Systems
Weaknesses: Any kind of predictive model, and especially deep neural networks, will tend to overfit to the training set, generally causing predictions on a separate test set to be too extreme (shrinkage, or calibration slope of less than 1). The authors' X-cal procedure ensures good calibration on the training set. But that could result in disappointing calibration when applied to the test set. It seems to me that one would want a procedure to maximize calibration on a validation set, not the training set. That would then lead to good calibration on the separate test set.
Neural Information Processing Systems
Feb-6-2025, 17:21:14 GMT
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