Technology
Online Portfolio Selection with ML Predictions
Online portfolio selection seeks to determine a sequence of allocations to maximize capital growth. Classical universal strategies asymptotically match the best constant-rebalanced portfolio but ignore potential forecasts, whereas heuristic methods often collapse when belief fails. We formalize this tension in a learning-augmented setting in which an investor observes (possibly erroneous) predictions prior to each decision moment, and we introduce the Rebalanced Arithmetic Mean portfolio with predictions (RAM). Under arbitrary return sequences, we prove that RAM captures at least a constant fraction of the hindsight-optimal wealth when forecasts are perfect while still exceeding the geometric mean of the sequence even when the predictions are adversarial. Comprehensive experiments on large-scale equity data strengthen our theory, spanning both synthetic prediction streams and production-grade machine-learning models. RAM advantages over universal-portfolio variants equipped with side information across various regimes. These results demonstrate that modest predictive power can be reliably converted into tangible gains without sacrificing worst-case guarantees.
CURE: Concept Unlearning via Orthogonal Representation Editing in Diffusion Models
Existing safety interventions - ranging from training data curation and model fine-tuning to inference-time filtering and guidance - often suffer from incomplete concept removal, susceptibility to jail-breaking, computational inefficiency, or collateral damage to unrelated capabilities. In this paper, we introduce CURE, a training-free concept unlearning framework that operates directly in the weight space of pre-trained diffusion models, enabling fast, interpretable, and highly specific suppression of undesired concepts. At the core of our method is the Spectral Eraser, a closed-form, orthogonal projection module that identifies discriminative subspaces using Singular Value Decomposition over token embeddings associated with the concepts to forget and retain. Intuitively, the Spectral Eraser identifies and isolates features unique to the undesired concept while preserving safe attributes. This operator is then applied in a single step update to yield an edited model in which the target concept is effectively unlearned - without retraining, supervision, or iterative optimization. To balance the trade-off between filtering toxicity and preserving unrelated concepts, we further introduce an Expansion Mechanism for spectral regularization which selectively modulates singular vectors based on their relative significance to control the strength of forgetting. All the processes above are in closed-form, guaranteeing extremely efficient erasure in only $2$ seconds. Benchmarking against prior approaches, CURE achieves a more efficient and thorough removal for targeted artistic styles, objects, identities, or explicit content, with minor damage to original generation ability and demonstrates enhanced robustness against red-teaming.
On the Integration of Spatial-Temporal Knowledge: A Lightweight Approach to Atmospheric Time Series Forecasting
Transformers have gained attention in atmospheric time series forecasting (ATSF) for their ability to capture global spatial-temporal correlations. However, their complex architectures lead to excessive parameter counts and extended training times, limiting their scalability to large-scale forecasting. In this paper, we revisit ATSF from a theoretical perspective of atmospheric dynamics and uncover a key insight: spatial-temporal position embedding (STPE) can inherently model spatial-temporal correlations even without attention mechanisms. Its effectiveness arises from integrating geographical coordinates and temporal features, which are intrinsically linked to atmospheric dynamics.
GeneMAN: Generalizable Single-Image 3D Human Reconstruction from Multi-Source Human Data
Given a single in-the-wild human photo, it remains a challenging task to reconstruct a high-fidelity 3D human model. Existing methods face difficulties including a) the varying body proportions captured by in-the-wild human images; b) diverse personal belongings within the shot; and c) ambiguities in human postures and inconsistency in human textures.
Sparse Optimistic Information Directed Sampling
Many high-dimensional online decision-making problems can be modeled as stochastic sparse linear bandits. Most existing algorithms are designed to achieve optimal worst-case regret in either the data-rich regime, where polynomial dependence on the ambient dimension is unavoidable, or the data-poor regime, where dimension-independence is possible at the cost of worse dependence on the number of rounds. In contrast, the Bayesian approach of Information Directed Sampling (IDS) achieves the best of both worlds: a Bayesian regret bound that has the optimal rate in both regimes simultaneously. In this work, we explore the use of Sparse Optimistic Information Directed Sampling (SOIDS) to achieve the best of both worlds in the worst-case setting, without Bayesian assumptions. Through a novel analysis that enables the use of a time-dependent learning rate, we show that OIDS can be tuned without prior knowledge to optimally balance information and regret. Our results extend the theoretical guarantees of IDS, providing the first algorithm that simultaneously achieves optimal worst-case regret in both the data-rich and data-poor regimes. We empirically demonstrate the good performance of SOIDS.
A is for Absorption: Studying Feature Splitting and Absorption in Sparse Autoencoders
As we increase the number of features in the SAE, hierarchical features tend to split into finer features ("math" may split into "algebra", "geometry", etc.), a phenomenon referred to as feature splitting. However, we show that sparse decomposition and splitting of hierarchical features is not robust. Specifically, we show that seemingly monosemantic features fail to fire where they should, and instead get "absorbed" into their children features. We coin this phenomenon feature absorption, and show that it is caused by optimizing for sparsity in SAEs whenever the underlying features form a hierarchy. We introduce a metric to detect absorption in SAEs, and validate our findings empirically on hundreds of LLM SAEs. Our investigation suggests that varying SAE sizes or sparsity is insufficient to solve this issue. We discuss the implications of feature absorption in SAEs and some potential approaches to solve the fundamental theoretical issues before SAEs can be used for interpreting LLMs robustly and at scale.
HMARL-CBF – Hierarchical Multi-Agent Reinforcement Learning with Control Barrier Functions for Safety-Critical Autonomous Systems
We address the problem of safe policy learning in multi-agent safety-critical autonomous systems. In such systems, it is necessary for each agent to meet the safety requirements at all times while also cooperating with other agents to accomplish the task. Toward this end, we propose a safe Hierarchical Multi-Agent Reinforcement Learning (HMARL) approach based on Control Barrier Functions (CBFs). Our proposed hierarchical approach decomposes the overall reinforcement learning problem into two levels -- learning joint cooperative behavior at the higher level and learning safe individual behavior at the lower or agent level conditioned on the high-level policy. Specifically, we propose a skill-based HMARL-CBF algorithm in which the higher-level problem involves learning a joint policy over the skills for all the agents and the lower-level problem involves learning policies to execute the skills safely with CBFs. We validate our approach on challenging environment scenarios whereby a large number of agents have to safely navigate through conflicting road networks. Compared with existing state-of-the-art methods, our approach significantly improves the safety achieving near perfect (within $5\%$) success/safety rate while also improving performance across all the environments.
FedFree: Breaking Knowledge-sharing Barriers through Layer-wise Alignment in Heterogeneous Federated Learning
Heterogeneous Federated Learning (HtFL) enables collaborative learning across clients with diverse model architectures and non-IID data distributions, which are prevalent in real-world edge computing applications. Existing HtFL approaches typically employ proxy datasets to facilitate knowledge sharing or implement coarse-grained model-level knowledge transfer. However, such approaches not only elevate risks of user privacy leakage but also lead to the loss of fine-grained model-specific knowledge, ultimately creating barriers to effective knowledge sharing. To address these challenges, we propose FedFree, a novel data-free and model-free HtFL framework featuring two key innovations. First, FedFree introduces a reverse layer-wise knowledge transfer mechanism that aggregates heterogeneous client models into a global model solely using Gaussian-based pseudo data, eliminating reliance on proxy datasets. Second, it leverages Knowledge Gain Entropy (KGE) to guide targeted layer-wise knowledge alignment, ensuring that each client receives the most relevant global updates tailored to its specific architecture. We provide rigorous theoretical convergence guarantees for FedFree and conduct extensive experiments on CIFAR-10 and CIFAR-100. Results demonstrate that FedFree achieves substantial performance gains, with relative accuracy improving up to 46.3% over state-of-the-art baselines.