Parti-game (Moore 1994a; Moore 1994b; Moore and Atkeson 1995) is a reinforcement learning (RL) algorithm that has a lot of promise in overcoming the curse of dimensionality that can plague RL algorithms when applied to high-dimensional problems. In this paper we introduce modifications to the algorithm that further improve its performance and robustness. In addition, while parti-game solutions can be improved locally by standard local path-improvement techniques, we introduce an add-on algorithm in the same spirit as parti-game that instead tries to improve solutions in a non-local manner. 1 INTRODUCTION Parti-game operates on goal problems by dynamically partitioning the space into hyperrectangular cells of varying sizes, represented using a k-d tree data structure. It assumes the existence of a pre-specified local controller that can be commanded to proceed from the current state to a given state. The algorithm uses a game-theoretic approach to assign costs to cells based on past experiences using a minimax algorithm.

A COllective INtelligence (COIN) is a set of interacting reinforcement learning (RL) algorithms designed in an automated fashion so that their collective behavior optimizes a global utility function. We summarize the theory of COINs, then present experiments using that theory to design COINs to control internet traffic routing. These experiments indicate that COINs outperform all previously investigated RL-based, shortest path routing algorithms. 1 INTRODUCTION COllective INtelligences (COINs) are large, sparsely connected recurrent neural networks, whose "neurons" are reinforcement learning (RL) algorithms. The distinguishing feature of COINs is that their dynamics involves no centralized control, but only the collective effects of the individual neurons each modifying their behavior via their individual RL algorithms. This restriction holds even though the goal of the COIN concerns the system's global behavior.

This paper applies the Mixture of Gaussians probabilistic model, combined with Expectation Maximization optimization to the task of summarizing three dimensional range data for a mobile robot. This provides a flexible way of dealing with uncertainties in sensor information, and allows the introduction of prior knowledge into low-level perception modules. Problems with the basic approach were solved in several ways: the mixture of Gaussians was reparameterized to reflect the types of objects expected in the scene, and priors on model parameters were included in the optimization process. Both approaches force the optimization to find'interesting' objects, given the sensor and object characteristics. A higher level classifier was used to interpret the results provided by the model, and to reject spurious solutions.

These Ca2 signals are often organized in complex temporal and spatial patterns even under conditions of sustained stimulation.

We describe a real-time computer vision and machine learning system for modeling and recognizing human behaviors in two different scenarios: (1) complex, twohanded action recognition in the martial art of Tai Chi and (2) detection and recognition of individual human behaviors and multiple-person interactions in a visual surveillance task. In the latter case, the system is particularly concerned with detecting when interactions between people occur, and classifying them. Graphical models, such as Hidden Markov Models (HMMs) [6] and Coupled Hidden Markov Models (CHMMs) [3, 2], seem appropriate for modeling and, classifying human behaviors because they offer dynamic time warping, a well-understood training algorithm, and a clear Bayesian semantics for both individual (HMMs) and interacting or coupled (CHMMs) generative processes. A major problem with this data-driven statistical approach, especially when modeling rare or anomalous behaviors, is the limited number of training examples. A major emphasis of our work, therefore, is on efficient Bayesian integration of both prior knowledge with evidence from data. We will show that for situations involving multiple independent (or partially independent) agents the Coupled HMM approach generates much better results than traditional HMM methods. In addition, we have developed a synthetic agent or Alife modeling environment for building and training flexible a priori models of various behaviors using software agents. Simulation with these software agents yields synthetic data that can be used to train prior models. These prior models can then be used recursively in a Bayesian framework to fit real behavioral data.

In this paper, we propose to use recurrent reinforcement learning to directly optimize such trading system performance functions, and we compare two different reinforcement learning methods. The first, Recurrent Reinforcement Learning, uses immediate rewards to train the trading systems, while the second (Q-Learning (Watkins 1989)) approximates discounted future rewards. These methodologies can be applied to optimizing systems designed to trade a single security or to trade portfolios . In addition, we propose a novel value function for risk-adjusted return that enables learning to be done online: the differential Sharpe ratio. Trading system profits depend upon sequences of interdependent decisions, and are thus path-dependent. Optimal trading decisions when the effects of transactions costs, market impact and taxes are included require knowledge of the current system state. In Moody, Wu, Liao & Saffell (1998), we demonstrate that reinforcement learning provides a more elegant and effective means for training trading systems when transaction costs are included, than do more standard supervised approaches.

In previous work [6, 9, 10], we advanced a new technique for direct visual matching of images for the purposes of face recognition and image retrieval, using a probabilistic measure of similarity based primarily on a Bayesian (MAP) analysis of image differences, leading to a "dual" basis similar to eigenfaces [13]. The performance advantage of this probabilistic matching technique over standard Euclidean nearest-neighbor eigenface matching was recently demonstrated using results from DARPA's 1996 "FERET" face recognition competition, in which this probabilistic matching algorithm was found to be the top performer. We have further developed a simple method of replacing the costly com put ion of nonlinear (online) Bayesian similarity measures by the relatively inexpensive computation of linear (offline) subspace projections and simple (online) Euclidean norms, thus resulting in a significant computational speedup for implementation with very large image databases as typically encountered in real-world applications.

In 1986, Tanner and Mead [1] implemented an interesting constraint satisfaction circuit for global motion sensing in a VLSI. We report here a new and improved a VLSI implementation that provides smooth optical flow as well as global motion in a two dimensional visual field. The computation of optical flow is an ill-posed problem, which expresses itself as the aperture problem. However, the optical flow can be estimated by the use of regularization methods, in which additional constraints are introduced in terms of a global energy functional that must be minimized. We show how the algorithmic constraints of Hom and Schunck [2] on computing smooth optical flow can be mapped onto the physical constraints of an equivalent electronic network.

We propose a new in-sample cross validation based method (randomized GACV) for choosing smoothing or bandwidth parameters that govern the bias-variance or fit-complexity tradeoff in'soft' classification. Soft classification refers to a learning procedure which estimates the probability that an example with a given attribute vector is in class 1 vs class O. The target for optimizing the the tradeoff is the Kullback-Liebler distance between the estimated probability distribution and the'true' probability distribution, representing knowledge of an infinite population. The method uses a randomized estimate of the trace of a Hessian and mimics cross validation at the cost of a single relearning with perturbed outcome data.

Fraud causes substantial losses to telecommunication carriers. Detection systems which automatically detect illegal use of the network can be used to alleviate the problem. Previous approaches worked on features derived from the call patterns of individual users. In this paper we present a call-based detection system based on a hierarchical regime-switching model. The detection problem is formulated as an inference problem on the regime probabilities.