Technology
Dynamic Programming Approximations for Partially Observable Stochastic Games
Kumar, Akshat (University of Massachusetts Amherst) | Zilberstein, Shlomo (University of Massachusetts Amherst)
Partially observable stochastic games (POSGs) provide a rich mathematical framework for planning under uncertainty by a group of agents. However, this modeling advantage comes with a price, namely computation cost. Solving POSGs optimally quickly becomes intractable after a few decision cycles. Our main contribution is to provide bounded approximation techniques which enable us to scale POSG algorithms by several orders of magnitude. We study both the general POSGs and its cooperative counterpart DEC-POMDPs. Experiments on a number of problems confirm the scalability of our approach while still providing useful policies.
Mining Default Rules from Statistical Data
Kern-Isberner, Gabriele (Technische Universitรคt Dortmund) | Thimm, Matthias (Technische Universitรคt Dortmund) | Finthammer, Marc (FernUniversitรคt in Hagen) | Fisseler, Jens (FernUniversitรคt in Hagen)
In this paper, we are interested in the qualitative knowledge that underlies some given probabilistic information. To represent such qualitative structures, we use ordinal conditional functions, OCFs, (or ranking functions) as a qualitative abstraction of probability functions. The basic idea for transforming probabilities into ordinal rankings is to find well-behaved clusterings of the negative logarithms of the probabilities. We show how popular clustering tools can be used for this, and propose measures for the evaluation of the clustering results in this context. From the so obtained ranking functions, we extract conditionals that may serve as a base for inductive default reasoning.
Probabilistic Reasoning at Optimum Entropy with the MEcore System
Finthammer, Marc (FernUniversitรคt in Hagen) | Beierle, Christoph (FernUniversitรคt in Hagen) | Berger, Benjamin (FernUniversitรคt in Hagen) | Kern-Isberner, Gabriele (TU Dortmund)
Augmenting probabilities to conditional logic yields an expressive mechanism for representing uncertainty. The principle of optimum entropy allows one to reason in probabilistic logic in an information-theoretic optimal way by completing the given information as unbiasedly as possible. In this paper, we introduce the MEcore system that realises the core functionalities for an intelligent agent reasoning at optimum entropy and that provides powerful mechanisms for belief management operations like revision, update, diagnosis, or hypothetical what-if-analysis.
Constraint-based Approach to Discovery of Inter Module Dependencies in Modular Bayesian Networks
Oude, Patrick de (University of Amsterdam) | Pavlin, Gregor (Thales Research &)
This paper introduces an information theoretic approach to verification of modular causal probabilistic models. We assume systems which are gradually extended by adding new functional modules, each having a limited domain knowledge captured by a local Bayesian network. Different modules originate from independent design processes. We assume that the local models are correct, which, however does not guarantee globally coherent inference in composed systems. The introduced method supports discovery of significant inter module dependencies which are ignored in the assembled Bayesian network.
Join Tree Propagation Utilizing Both Arc Reversal and Variable Elimination
Butz, Cory James (University of Regina) | Konkel, Ken (University of Regina) | Lingras, Pawan (Saint Mary's University)
In this paper, we put forth the first join tree propagation algorithmย that selectively applies eitherย arc reversal (AR) orย variable elimination (VE) to build the propagated messages. Our approach utilizes a recent method for identifying the propagated join tree messages \`{a} priori. When it is determined that precisely one message is to be constructed at a join tree node, VE is utilized to build this distribution; otherwise, AR is applied as it is better suited to construct multiple distributions passed betweenย neighboring join tree nodes. Experimental results, involving evidence processing inย seven real-world and one benchmark Bayesian network,ย empirically demonstrate that selectively applying VE and AR is faster than applying one of these methods exclusively on the entire network.
On the Use of Guaranteed Possibility Measures in Possibilistic Networks
Ajroud, Amen (Universite de Sousse) | Benferhat, Salem (CRIL) | Omri, Mohamed Nazih (Universite de Sousse) | Youssef, Habib (Universite de Sousse)
Possibilistic networks are useful tools for reasoning under uncertainty. Uncertain pieces of information can be described by different measures: possibility measures, necessity measures and more recently, guaranteed possibility measures, denoted by Delta. This paper first proposes the use of guaranteed possibility measures to define a so-called Delta-based possibilistic network. This graphical representation tries to express and to deal with the minimal (lower-bound) possibility degree guaranteed for each variable. We then establish relationships between graphical and logical-based representations of uncertain information encoded by guaranteed possibility measures. We show that possibilistic networks based on guaranteed possibility measures can be easily transformed, in a polynomial time, in Delta-based knowledge bases. Then we analyze propagation algorithms in Delta-based possibilistic networks. In fact, standard possibilistic propagation algorithms can be re-used since we show that a simple rewriting of the chain rule allows the transformation of the initial Delta-based possibilistic networks into standard min-based possibilistic networks.
Special Track on Uncertain Reasoning
Grant, Kevin (University of Lethbridge) | Sucar, Luis Enrique (Instituto Nacional de Astrofisica, Optica, y Electronica)
The Special Track on Uncertain Reasoning (UR) is the oldest FLAIRS special track, running annually since 1996. The UR'09 Special Track at the 2009 FLAIRS Conference is the 14th in the series. UR'09 seeks to bring together researchers working on broad issues related to reasoning under uncertainty. Topics pertaining to the special track included, but were not limited to, uncertain reasoning formalisms, calculi and methodologies; reasoning with probability, possibility, fuzzy logic, belief function, vagueness, granularity, argumentation, rough sets, and probability logics; modeling and reasoning using imprecise and indeterminate information, such as Choquet capacities, comparative orderings, convex sets of measures, and interval-valued probabilities; exact, approximate, and qualitative uncertain reasoning; graphical models of uncertainty; multi-agent uncertain reasoning and decision making; decision-theoretic planning and Markov decision process; temporal reasoning and uncertainty; epistemic logics; nonmonotonic and conditional logics; similarity-based reasoning; construction of models from elicitation, data mining, and knowledge discovery; uncertain reasoning in information retrieval, filtering, fusion, diagnosis, prediction, and situation assessment; and practical applications of uncertain reasoning. Through rigorous reviews by the program committee, UR'09 accepted 9 full papers and 4 posters from 18 submissions, which are included in this proceedings.
Exceptions in Ontologies: Deducing Properties from Topological Axioms
Jouis, Christophe (Universite Pierre et Marie Curie) | Habib, Bassel (Universite Pierre et Marie Curie) | Liu, Jie (Universite Pierre et Marie Curie)
This paper is a contribution to formal ontology study. We propose a new model of knowledge representation by combining ontologies and topology. In order to represent atypical entities in the ontologies, we introduce topological operators of interior, exterior, border and closure. These operators allow us to describe whether an entity, belonging to a class, is typical or not. We define a system of relations of inclusion and membership by adapting the topological operators. We propose to formalize the topological relations of inclusion and membership by using the mathematical properties of topological operators. However, there are properties of combining operators of interior, exterior, border and closure allowing the definition of an algebra (Kuratowski, 1958). We propose to use these mathematical properties as a set of axioms. This set of axioms allows us to establish the properties of topological relations of inclusion and membership.
Sentence Simplification Based Ontology Mapping
Lu, Lu (GuangDong University of Business Studies) | Parameswaran, Nandan (University of New South Wales)
Ontology mapping plays an important role in interoperability over ontologies. Many researchers have proposed algorithms and tools for (semi-)automatically mapping one concept to another concept. Among them, WordNet is widely used as the domain knowledge support in the mapping process. To our knowledge, however, most of them only use synonym, hypernym and hyponym relations in WordNet and the actual meanings provided in natural English(as gloss) are often ignored. In this paper, we treat the concepts(c) as English words (w) and propose an ontology mapping technique where we use the meanings of the words as given in Wordnet (in English) for semantic mapping by constructing their parse trees first and simplifying them for computing similarity measures. Our experimental results show that our method performs better in Recall and F1-Measure than many techniques reported in the literature.
Obtaining Hidden Relations from a Syntactically Annotated Corpus - From Word Relationships to Clause Relationships
Kruza, Oldrich (Charles University in Prague) | Kubon, Vladislav (Charles University in Prague)
The paper concentrates on obtaining hidden relationships among individual clauses of complex sentences from the Prague Dependency Treebank. The treebank contains only an information about mutual relationships among individual tokens (words, punctuation marks), not about more complex units (clauses). For the experiments with clauses and their parts (segments) it was therefore necessary to develop an automatic method transforming the original annotation into a scheme describing the syntactic relationships between clauses. The task was complicated by a certain degree of inconsistency in original annotation with regard to clauses and their structure. The paper describes the algorithm of deriving clause-related information from the existing annotation and its evaluation.