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On learning parametric-output HMMs

arXiv.org Machine Learning

Hidden Markov Models (HMM) are a standard tool in the modeling and analysis of time series with a wide variety of applications. When the number of hidden states is known, the standard method for estimating the HMM parameters from given observed data is the Baum-Welch algorithm [Baum et al., 1970]. The latter is known to suffer from two serious drawbacks: it 1 tends to converge (i) very slowly and (ii) only to a local maximum. Indeed, the problem of recovering the parameters of a general HMM is provably hard, in several distinct senses [Abe and Warmuth, 1992, Lyngsø and Pedersen, 2001, Terwijn, 2002]. In this paper we consider learning parametric-output HMMs with a finite and known number of hidden states, where the output from each hidden state follows a parametric distribution from a given family.


Learning a Factor Model via Regularized PCA

arXiv.org Machine Learning

Linear factor models have been widely used for a long time and with notable success in economics, finance, medicine, psychology, and various other natural and social sciences (Harman, 1976). In such a model, each observed variable is a linear combination of unobserved common factors plus idiosyncratic noise, and the collection of random variables is jointly Gaussian. We consider in this paper the problem of learning a factor model from a training set of vector observations. In particular, our learning problem entails simultaneously estimating the loadings of each factor and the residual variance of each variable. We seek an estimate of these parameters that best explains out-of-sample data.


Accelerated Linear SVM Training with Adaptive Variable Selection Frequencies

arXiv.org Machine Learning

Support vector machine (SVM) training is an active research area since the dawn of the method. In recent years there has been increasing interest in specialized solvers for the important case of linear models. The algorithm presented by Hsieh et al., probably best known under the name of the "liblinear" implementation, marks a major breakthrough. The method is analog to established dual decomposition algorithms for training of non-linear SVMs, but with greatly reduced computational complexity per update step. This comes at the cost of not keeping track of the gradient of the objective any more, which excludes the application of highly developed working set selection algorithms. We present an algorithmic improvement to this method. We replace uniform working set selection with an online adaptation of selection frequencies. The adaptation criterion is inspired by modern second order working set selection methods. The same mechanism replaces the shrinking heuristic. This novel technique speeds up training in some cases by more than an order of magnitude.


Sparse Penalty in Deep Belief Networks: Using the Mixed Norm Constraint

arXiv.org Machine Learning

Deep Belief Networks (DBN) have been successfully applied on popular machine learning tasks. Specifically, when applied on hand-written digit recognition, DBNs have achieved approximate accuracy rates of 98.8%. In an effort to optimize the data representation achieved by the DBN and maximize their descriptive power, recent advances have focused on inducing sparse constraints at each layer of the DBN. In this paper we present a theoretical approach for sparse constraints in the DBN using the mixed norm for both non-overlapping and overlapping groups. We explore how these constraints affect the classification accuracy for digit recognition in three different datasets (MNIST, USPS, RIMES) and provide initial estimations of their usefulness by altering different parameters such as the group size and overlap percentage.


Learning Theory Approach to Minimum Error Entropy Criterion

arXiv.org Machine Learning

We consider the minimum error entropy (MEE) criterion and an empirical risk minimization learning algorithm in a regression setting. A learning theory approach is presented for this MEE algorithm and explicit error bounds are provided in terms of the approximation ability and capacity of the involved hypothesis space when the MEE scaling parameter is large. Novel asymptotic analysis is conducted for the generalization error associated with Renyi's entropy and a Parzen window function, to overcome technical difficulties arisen from the essential differences between the classical least squares problems and the MEE setting. A semi-norm and the involved symmetrized least squares error are introduced, which is related to some ranking algorithms.


Soft Rule Ensembles for Statistical Learning

arXiv.org Machine Learning

In this article supervised learning problems are solved using soft rule ensembles. We first review the importance sampling learning ensembles (ISLE) approach that is useful for generating hard rules. The soft rules are then obtained with logistic regression from the corresponding hard rules. In order to deal with the perfect separation problem related to the logistic regression, Firth's bias corrected likelihood is used. Various examples and simulation results show that soft rule ensembles can improve predictive performance over hard rule ensembles.


Weighted Sets of Probabilities and Minimax Weighted Expected Regret: New Approaches for Representing Uncertainty and Making Decisions

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

We consider a setting where an agent's uncertainty is represented by a set of probability measures, rather than a single measure. Measure-by-measure updating of such a set of measures upon acquiring new information is well-known to suffer from problems; agents are not always able to learn appropriately. To deal with these problems, we propose using weighted sets of probabilities: a representation where each measure is associated with a weight, which denotes its significance. We describe a natural approach to updating in such a situation and a natural approach to determining the weights. We then show how this representation can be used in decision-making, by modifying a standard approach to decision making -- minimizing expected regret -- to obtain minimax weighted expected regret (MWER). We provide an axiomatization that characterizes preferences induced by MWER both in the static and dynamic case.


Nonparametric Basis Pursuit via Sparse Kernel-based Learning

arXiv.org Machine Learning

Signal processing tasks as fundamental as sampling, reconstruction, minimum mean-square error interpolation and prediction can be viewed under the prism of reproducing kernel Hilbert spaces. Endowing this vantage point with contemporary advances in sparsity-aware modeling and processing, promotes the nonparametric basis pursuit advocated in this paper as the overarching framework for the confluence of kernel-based learning (KBL) approaches leveraging sparse linear regression, nuclear-norm regularization, and dictionary learning. The novel sparse KBL toolbox goes beyond translating sparse parametric approaches to their nonparametric counterparts, to incorporate new possibilities such as multi-kernel selection and matrix smoothing. The impact of sparse KBL to signal processing applications is illustrated through test cases from cognitive radio sensing, microarray data imputation, and network traffic prediction.


Toward Supervised Anomaly Detection

Journal of Artificial Intelligence Research

Anomaly detection is being regarded as an unsupervised learning task as anomalies stem from adversarial or unlikely events with unknown distributions. However, the predictive performance of purely unsupervised anomaly detection often fails to match the required detection rates in many tasks and there exists a need for labeled data to guide the model generation. Our first contribution shows that classical semi-supervised approaches, originating from a supervised classifier, are inappropriate and hardly detect new and unknown anomalies. We argue that semi-supervised anomaly detection needs to ground on the unsupervised learning paradigm and devise a novel algorithm that meets this requirement. Although being intrinsically non-convex, we further show that the optimization problem has a convex equivalent under relatively mild assumptions. Additionally, we propose an active learning strategy to automatically filter candidates for labeling. In an empirical study on network intrusion detection data, we observe that the proposed learning methodology requires much less labeled data than the state-of-the-art, while achieving higher detection accuracies.


Integrative Semantic Dependency Parsing via Efficient Large-scale Feature Selection

Journal of Artificial Intelligence Research

Semantic parsing, i.e., the automatic derivation of meaning representation such as an instantiated predicate-argument structure for a sentence, plays a critical role in deep processing of natural language. Unlike all other top systems of semantic dependency parsing that have to rely on a pipeline framework to chain up a series of submodels each specialized for a specific subtask, the one presented in this article integrates everything into one model, in hopes of achieving desirable integrity and practicality for real applications while maintaining a competitive performance. This integrative approach tackles semantic parsing as a word pair classification problem using a maximum entropy classifier. We leverage adaptive pruning of argument candidates and large-scale feature selection engineering to allow the largest feature space ever in use so far in this field, it achieves a state-of-the-art performance on the evaluation data set for CoNLL-2008 shared task, on top of all but one top pipeline system, confirming its feasibility and effectiveness.