Technology
Detection and Prediction of Adverse and Anomalous Events in Medical Robots
Liang, Kai (Case Western Reserve University) | Cao, Feng (Case Western Reserve University) | Bai, Zhuofu (Case Western Reserve University) | Renfrew, Mark (Case Western Reserve University) | Cavusoglu, Murat Cenk (Case Western Reserve University) | Podgurski, Andy (Case Western Reserve University) | Ray, Soumya (Case Western Reserve University)
Adverse and anomalous (A&A) events are a serious concern in medical robots. We describe a system that can rapidly detect such events and predict their occurrence. As part of this system, we describe simulation, data collection and user interface tools we build for a robot for small animal biopsies. The data we collect consists of both the hardware state of the robot and variables in the software controller. We use this data to train dynamic Bayesian network models of the joint hardware-software state-space dynamics of the robot. Our empirical evaluation shows that (i) our models can accurately model normal behavior of the robot, (ii) they can rapidly detect anomalous behavior once it starts, (iii) they can accurately predict a future A&A event within a time window of it starting and (iv) the use of additional software variables beyond the hardware state of the robot is important in being able to detect and predict certain kinds of events.
Assessing the Predictability of Hospital Readmission Using Machine Learning
Hosseinzadeh, Arian (McGill University) | Izadi, Masoumeh (McGill Uinversity) | Verma, Aman (McGill University) | Precup, Doina (McGill University) | Buckeridge, David (McGill University)
Unplanned hospital readmissions raise health care costs and cause significant distress to patients. Hence, predicting which patients are at risk to be readmitted is of great interest. In this paper, we mine large amounts of administrative information from claim data, including patients demographics, dispensed drugs, medical or surgical procedures performed, and medical diagnosis, in order to predict readmission using supervised learning methods. Our objective is to gain knowledge about the predictive power of the available information. Our preliminary results on data from the provincial hospital system in Quebec illustrate the potential for this approach to reveal important information on factors that trigger hospital readmission. Our findings suggest that a substantial portion of readmissions is inherently hard to predict. Consequently, the use of the raw readmission rate as an indicator of the quality of provided care might not be appropriate.
Balancing the Traveling Tournament Problem for Weekday and Weekend Games
Hoshino, Richard (Quest University Canada) | Kawarabayashi, Ken-ichi (National Institute of Informatics)
The Traveling Tournament Problem (TTP) is a well-known NP-complete problem in sports scheduling that was inspired by the application of optimizing schedules for Major League Baseball to reduce total team travel. The techniques and heuristics from the n-team TTP can be extended to optimize the scheduling of other sports leagues, such as the Nippon Professional Baseball (NPB) league in Japan. In this paper, we describe the additional scheduling constraints required by the NPB league, such as the requirement that each team play the same number of weekend home games, weekday home games, weekend road games, and weekday road games. We fully solve this TTP-variant for the case n=6, and conclude the paper by presenting the official 2013 NPB Central League Schedule, where we helped this Japanese baseball league reduce total team travel by over six thousand kilometres.
Policies to Optimize Work Performance and Thermal Safety in Exercising Humans
Buller, Mark Jonathan (Brown University) | Sodomka, Eric (Brown University) | Tharion, William (United States Army Research Institute of Environmental Medicine) | Clements, Cynthia (United States Army Research Institute of Environmental Medicine) | Hoyt, Reed (United States Army Research Institute of Environmental Medicine) | Jenkins, Odest Chadwicke (Brown University)
Emergency workers engaged in strenuous work in hot environments risk overheating and mission failure. We describe a real-time application that would reduce these risks in terms of a real-time thermal-work strain index (SI) estimator; and a Markov Decision Process (MDP) to compute optimal work rate policies. We examined the thermo-physiological responses of 14 experienced U.S. Army Ranger students (26ยฑ4 years 1.77ยฑ0.04 m; 78.3ยฑ7.3 kg) who participated in a strenuous 8 mile time-restricted pass/fail road march conducted under thermally stressful conditions. A thermoregulatory model was used to derive SI state transition probabilities and model the studentsโ observed and policy driven movement rates. We found that policy end-state SI was significantly lower than SI when modeled using the studentโs own movement rates (3.94ยฑ0.88 vs. 5.62ยฑ1.20, P<0.001). We also found an inverse relationship between our policy impact and maximum SI (r=0.64 P<0.05). These results suggest that modeling real world missions as an MDP can provide optimal work rate policies that improve thermal safety and allow students to finish in a โfresherโ state. Ultimately, SI state estimation and MDP models incorporated into wearable physiological monitoring systems could provide real-time work rate guidance, thus minimizing thermal work-strain while maximizing the likelihood of accomplishing mission tasks.
Interactive Information Extraction and Navigation to Enable Effective Link Analysis and Visualization of Unstructured Text
Budlong, Emily (Air Force Research Laboratory (AFRL)) | Pine, Carrie (Air Force Research Laboratory (AFRL)) | Zappavigna, Mark (Air Force Research Laboratory (AFRL)) | Homer, James (National Air and Space Intelligence Center (NASIC)) | Proefrock, Charles (General Dynamic Information Technology (GDIT)) | Gucwa, John (General Dynamic Information Technology (GDIT)) | Crystal, Michael (Raytheon BBN Technologies) | Weischedel, Ralph (Raytheon BBN Technologies)
This paper describes the Advanced Text Exploitation Assistant (ATEA), a system developed to enable intelligence analysts to perform link analysis and visualization (A&V) from information in large volumes of unstructured text. One of the key design challenges that had to be addressed was that of imperfect Information Extraction (IE) technology. While IE seems like a promising candidate for exploiting information in unstructured text, it makes mistakes. As a result, analysts do not trust its results. In this paper, we discuss how ATEA overcomes the obstacle of imperfect IE by incorporating a human-in-the-loop for review and correction of extraction results. We also discuss how coupling consolidated extraction results (corpus-level information objects) with an intuitive user interface facilitates interactive navigation of the resulting information. With these key features, ATEA enables effective link analysis and visualization of information in unstructured text.
Train Outstable Scheduling as Constraint Satisfaction
Chun, Andy Hon Wai (City University of Hong Kong)
This paper outlines the design of a scheduling algorithm that allocates outstabling locations to railway trains. From time to time railway trains may need to be outstabled to temporary locations, such as stations, sidings, depots, etc., until they are needed for regular operations. This is common for urban rail transit, and especially so for those that do not operate 24 hours. During non-traffic hours (NTH), trains are outstabled to various locations along the rail network so that when operations start again next day, the trains will be nearby their originating station or conveniently located so that they can be put into service whenever needed. However, this is complicated by the fact that engineering works, such as rail testing, installation, regular maintenance, etc. are done during the NTH. Therefore, passenger trains must be outstabled in such a way that they do not interfere with night-time engineering works or the movements of associated engineering trains. Since the engineering works scheduling is done separate to outstabling, this is a mixed-system problem. This paper shows how we modeled this as a constraint-satisfaction problem (CSP) and implemented into an โOutstabling Systemโ (OSS) for the Hong Kong Mass Transit Railway (MTR) using a two-stage search algorithm.
Clustering Hand-Drawn Sketches via Analogical Generalization
Chang, Maria de los Angeles (Northwestern University) | Forbus, Kenneth (Northwestern University)
One of the major challenges to building intelligent educational software is determining what kinds of feedback to give learners. Useful feedback makes use of models of domain-specific knowledge, especially models that are commonly held by potential students. To empirically determine what these models are, student data can be clustered to reveal common misconceptions or common problem-solving strategies. This paper describes how analogical retrieval and generalization can be used to cluster automatically analyzed hand-drawn sketches incorporating both spatial and conceptual information. We use this approach to cluster a corpus of hand-drawn student sketches to discover common answers. Common answer clusters can be used for the design of targeted feedback and for assessment.
Timed Probabilistic Automaton: A Bridge between Raven and Song Scope for Automatic Species Recognition
Duan, Shufei (Queensland University of Technology) | Zhang, Jinglan (Queensland University of Technology) | Roe, Paul (Queensland University of Technology) | Wimmer, Jason (Queensland University of Technology) | Dong, Xueyan (Queensland University of Technology) | Truskinger, Anthony (Queensland University of Technology) | Towsey, Michael (Queensland University of Technology)
Raven and Song Scope are two state-of-the-art automated sound analysis tools based on machine learning techniques for environmental monitoring. Many research works have been conducted upon them, however, no or rare exploration mentions about the performance and comparison between them. This paper compares the tools from six aspects: theory, software interface, ease of use, detection targets, detection accuracy, and potential applications. Through deep exploration one critical gap is identified that there is a lack of approach to detect both syllables and call structures, since Raven only aims to detect syllables while Song Scope targets call structures. Therefore, a Timed Probabilistic Automata (TPA) system is proposed which separates syllables and clusters them into complex structures.
USI Answers: Natural Language Question Answering Over (Semi-) Structured Industry Data
Waltinger, Ulli (Siemens AG Corporate Technology Research and Technology Center) | Tecuci, Dan (Siemens Corporation) | Olteanu, Mihaela (Siemens AG) | Mocanu, Vlad (Siemens AG) | Sullivan, Sean (Siemens Energy Inc., Orlando)
The paper reports on the progress towards the goal of offering easy access to enterprise data to a large number of business users, most of whom are not familiar with the specific syntax or semantics of the underlying data sources. Additional complications come from the nature of the data, which comes both as structured and unstructured. The proposed solution allows users to express questions in natural language, makes apparent the system's interpretation of the query, and allows easy query adjustment and reformulation. The application is in use by more than 1500 users from Siemens Energy. We evaluate our approach on a data set consisting of fleet data.
Integrating Digital Pens in Breast Imaging for Instant Knowledge Acquisition
Sonntag, Daniel (German Research Center for AI (DFKI)) | Weber, Markus (German Research Center for AI (DFKI)) | Hammon, Matthias (Image Science Institute Erlangen) | Cavallaro, Alexander (Image Science Institute Erlangen)
Future radiology practices assume that the radiology reports should be uniform, comprehensive, and easily managed. This means that reports must be "readable" to humans and machines alike. In order to improve reporting practices in breast imaging, we allow the radiologist to write structured reports with a special pen on paper with an invisible dot pattern. In this way, we provide a knowledge acquisition system for printed mammography patient forms for the combined work with printed and digital documents. In this domain, printed documents cannot be easily replaced by computer systems because they contain free-form sketches and textual annotations, and the acceptance of traditional PC reporting tools is rather low among the doctors. This is due to the fact that current electronic reporting systems significantly add to the amount of time it takes to complete the reports. We describe our real-time digital paper application and focus on the use case study of our deployed application. We think that our results motivate the design and implementation of intuitive pen based user interfaces for the medical reporting process and similar knowledge work domains. Our system imposes only minimal overhead on traditional form-filling processes and provides for a direct, ontology-based structuring of the user input for semantic search and retrieval applications, as well as other applied artificial intelligence scenarios which involve manual form-based data acquisition.