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Sloth: scaling laws for LLM skills to predict multi-benchmark performance across families

Neural Information Processing Systems

Scaling laws for large language models (LLMs) predict model performance based on parameters like size and training data. However, differences in training configurations and data processing across model families lead to significant variations in benchmark performance, making it difficult for a single scaling law to generalize across all LLMs. On the other hand, training family-specific scaling laws requires training models of varying sizes for every family. In this work, we propose Skills Scaling Laws (SSLaws, pronounced as Sloth), a novel scaling law that leverages publicly available benchmark data and assumes LLM performance is driven by low-dimensional latent skills, such as reasoning and instruction following. These latent skills are influenced by computational resources like model size and training tokens, but with varying efficiencies across model families. Sloth exploits correlations across benchmarks to provide more accurate and interpretable predictions while alleviating the need to train multiple LLMs per family. We present both theoretical results on parameter identification and empirical evaluations on 12 prominent benchmarks, from Open LLMLeaderboard v1/v2, demonstrating that Slothpredicts LLM performance accurately and offers insights into scaling behaviors for complex downstream tasks, increased test-time compute, and compute-optimal scaling of skills.


LIZ PEEK: Elon Musk's well-deserved win causes the zero-sum left to freak out

FOX News

Elon Musk's SpaceX achievements have made him the world's first trillionaire, but Senators Bernie Sanders and Elizabeth Warren view his wealth as an indictment of capitalism.


Selective Omniprediction and Fair Abstention

Neural Information Processing Systems

We propose new learning algorithms for building selective classifiers, which are predictors that are allowed to abstain on some fraction of the domain. We study the model where a classifier may abstain from predicting at a fixed cost. Building on the recent framework on multigroup fairness and omniprediction, given a prespecified class of loss functions, we provide an algorithm for building a single classifier that learns abstentions and predictions optimally for every loss in the entire class, where the abstentions are decided efficiently for each specific loss function by applying a fixed post-processing function. Our algorithm and theoretical guarantees generalize the previously-known algorithms for learning selective classifiers in formal learning-theoretic models. We then extend the traditional multigroup fairness algorithms to the selective classification setting and show that we can use a calibrated and multiaccurate predictor to efficiently build selective classifiers that abstain optimally not only globally but also locally within each of the groups in any pre-specified collection of possibly intersecting subgroups of the domain, and are also accurate when they do not abstain. We show how our abstention algorithms can be used as conformal prediction methods in the binary classification setting to achieve both marginal and group-conditional coverage guarantees for an intersecting collection of groups. We provide empirical evaluations for all of our theoretical results, demonstrating the practicality of our learning algorithms for abstaining optimally and fairly.


RULE: Reinforcement UnLEarning Achieves Forget-retain Pareto Optimality

Neural Information Processing Systems

This has led to increasing interest in LLM unlearning: the task of selectively removing specific information from a model without retraining from scratch or degrading overall utility. However, existing methods often rely on large-scale forget and retain datasets, and suffer from unnatural responses, poor generalization, or catastrophic utility loss. In this work, we propose Reinforcement UnLEarning (RULE), an efficient framework that formulates unlearning as a refusal boundary optimization problem. RULE is trained with a small portion of forget set and synthesized boundary queries, using a verifiable reward function that encourages safe refusal on forget-related queries while preserving helpful responses on permissible inputs. We provide both theoretical and empirical evidence demonstrating the effectiveness of RULE in achieving targeted unlearning without compromising model utility. Experimental results show that, with only 12% forget set and 8% synthesized boundary data, RULE outperforms existing baselines by up to 17.5% forget quality and 16.3% naturalness response while maintaining general utility, achieving forget-retain Pareto optimality. Remarkably, we further observe that RULE improves the naturalness of model outputs, enhances training efficiency, and exhibits strong generalization ability, generalizing refusal behavior to semantically related but unseen queries.


MoRIC: AModular Region-based Implicit Codec for Image Compression

Neural Information Processing Systems

We introduce Modular Region-Based Implicit Codec (MoRIC), a novel image compression algorithm that relies on implicit neural representations (INRs). Unlike previous INR-based codecs that model the entire image with a single neural network, MoRIC assigns dedicated models to distinct regions in the image, each tailored to its local distribution. This region-wise design enhances adaptation to local statistics and enables flexible, single-object compression with fine-grained ratedistortion (RD) control. MoRIC allows regions of arbitrary shapes, and provides the contour information for each region as separate information. In particular, it incorporates adaptive chain coding for lossy and lossless contour compression, and a shared global modulator that injects multi-scale global context into local overfitting processes in a coarse-to-fine manner. MoRIC achieves state-of-the-art performance in single-object compression with significantly lower decoding complexity than existing learned neural codecs, which results in a highly efficient compression approach for fixed-background scenarios, e.g., for surveillance cameras. It also sets a new benchmark among overfitted codecs for standard image compression. Additionally, MoRIC naturally supports semantically meaningful layered compression through selective region refinement, paving the way for scalable and flexible INR-based codecs.


MoPFormer: Motion-Primitive Transformer for Wearable-Sensor Activity Recognition

Neural Information Processing Systems

Human Activity Recognition (HAR) with wearable sensors is challenged by limited interpretability, which significantly impacts cross-dataset generalization. To address this challenge, we propose Motion-Primitive Transformer (MoPFormer), a novel self-supervised framework that enhances interpretability by tokenizing inertial measurement unit signals into semantically meaningful motion primitives and leverages a Transformer architecture to learn rich temporal representations.


Exponential Dynamic Energy Network for High Capacity Sequence Memory

Neural Information Processing Systems

The energy paradigm, exemplified by Hopfield networks, offers a principled framework for memory in neural systems by interpreting dynamics as descent on an energy surface. While powerful for static associative memories, it falls short in modeling sequential memory, where transitions between memories are essential. We introduce the Exponential Dynamic Energy Network (EDEN), a novel architecture that extends the energy paradigm to temporal domains by evolving the energy function over multiple timescales. EDEN combines a static high-capacity energy network with a slow, asymmetrically interacting modulatory population, enabling robust and controlled memory transitions. We formally derive short-timescale energy functions that govern local dynamics and use them to analytically compute memory escape times, revealing a phase transition between static and dynamic regimes. The analysis of capacity, defined as the number of memories that can be stored with minimal error rate as a function of the dimensions of the state space (number of feature neurons), for EDEN shows that it achieves exponential sequence memory capacity O(ฮณN), outperforming the linear capacity O(N) of conventional models. Furthermore, EDEN's dynamics resemble the activity of time and ramping cells observed in the human brain during episodic memory tasks, grounding its biological relevance. By unifying static and sequential memory within a dynamic energy framework, EDEN offers a scalable and interpretable model for high-capacity temporal memory in both artificial and biological systems.


Offline RL by Reward-Weighted Fine-Tuning for Conversation Optimization

Neural Information Processing Systems

Offline reinforcement learning (RL) is a variant of RL where the policy is learned from a previously collected dataset of trajectories and rewards. In our work, we propose a practical approach to offline RL with large language models (LLMs). We recast the problem as reward-weighted fine-tuning, which can be solved using similar techniques to supervised fine-tuning (SFT). To showcase the value of our approach, we apply it to learning short-horizon question-answering policies of a fixed length, where the agent reasons about potential answers or asks clarifying questions. Our work stands in a stark contrast to state-of-the-art methods in this domain, based on SFT and direct preference optimization, which have additional hyper-parameters and do not directly optimize for rewards. We compare to them empirically, and report major gains in both optimized rewards and language quality.


Curriculum Model Merging: Harmonizing Chemical LLMs for Enhanced Cross-Task Generalization

Neural Information Processing Systems

The emergence of large language models (LLMs) has opened new opportunities for AI-driven chemical problem solving. However, existing chemical LLMs are typically tailored to specific task formats or narrow domains, limiting their capacity to integrate knowledge and generalize across tasks. Model merging offers a promising route for efficiently combining specialized LLMs into a unified model without access to original training data, which is urgently needed in the chemical domain where in-house data and privacy preservation are critical. However, effective model merging in the chemical domain poses unique challenges: (1) significant disparities among chemical LLMs due to task-specific specialization, and (2) a highly imbalanced distribution of chemical LLMs in targeted downstream tasks, where some are over-benchmarked while others remain underexplored. These challenges intensify model inconsistencies such as parameter interference and accumulated fine-tuning noise, which collectively hinder effective model merging. To this end, we propose Curriculum Model Merging (CMM), a curriculum-based framework that progressively merges expert chemical LLMs in a moderate and continual manner. CMM aims to harmonize their inconsistencies while meantime preserve their domain-specific expertise. Comprehensive experiments on two benchmark datasets show that CMM effectively consolidates task-specific expertise and outperforms the state-of-the-art methods by 29.03% in terms of overall average performance.


Transfer Faster, Price Smarter: Minimax Dynamic Pricing under Cross-Market Preference Shift

Neural Information Processing Systems

We study contextual dynamic pricing when a target market can leverage Kauxiliary markets--offline logs or concurrent streams--whose mean utilities differ by a structured preference shift. We propose Cross-Market Transfer Dynamic Pricing (CM-TDP), the first algorithm that provably handles such model-shift transfer and delivers minimax-optimal regret for both linear and nonparametric utility models. For linear utilities of dimension d, where the difference between source-and targettask coefficients is s0-sparse, CM-TDP attains regret eO (dK 1 + s0) log T .