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Constructing Heterogeneous Committees Using Input Feature Grouping: Application to Economic Forecasting

Neural Information Processing Systems

Yuansong Liao and John Moody Department of Computer Science, Oregon Graduate Institute, P.O.Box 91000, Portland, OR 97291-1000 Abstract The committee approach has been proposed for reducing model uncertainty and improving generalization performance. The advantage ofcommittees depends on (1) the performance of individual members and (2) the correlational structure of errors between members. This paper presents an input grouping technique for designing aheterogeneous committee. With this technique, all input variables are first grouped based on their mutual information. Statistically similarvariables are assigned to the same group.


Bayesian Modelling of fMRI lime Series

Neural Information Processing Systems

We present a Hidden Markov Model (HMM) for inferring the hidden psychological state (or neural activity) during single trial tMRI activation experimentswith blocked task paradigms. Inference is based on Bayesian methodology, using a combination of analytical and a variety of Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) sampling techniques. The advantage ofthis method is that detection of short time learning effects between repeated trials is possible since inference is based only on single trial experiments.


Recognizing Evoked Potentials in a Virtual Environment

Neural Information Processing Systems

Virtual reality (VR) provides immersive and controllable experimental environments.It expands the bounds of possible evoked potential (EP) experiments by providing complex, dynamic environments in order tostudy cognition without sacrificing environmental control. VR also serves as a safe dynamic testbed for brain-computer .interface



An Oscillatory Correlation Frame work for Computational Auditory Scene Analysis

Neural Information Processing Systems

A neural model is described which uses oscillatory correlation to segregate speech from interfering sound sources. The core of the model is a two-layer neural oscillator network. A sound stream is represented by a synchronized population of oscillators, and different streams are represented by desynchronized oscillator populations. The model has been evaluated using a corpus of speech mixed with interfering sounds, and produces an improvement in signal-to-noise ratio for every mixture. 1 Introduction Speech is seldom heard in isolation: usually, it is mixed with other environmental sounds. Hence, the auditory system must parse the acoustic mixture reaching the ears in order to retrieve a description of each sound source, a process termed auditory scene analysis (ASA) [2] . Conceptually, ASA may be regarded as a two-stage process.


Policy Gradient Methods for Reinforcement Learning with Function Approximation

Neural Information Processing Systems

Function approximation is essential to reinforcement learning, but the standard approach of approximating a value function and determining apolicy from it has so far proven theoretically intractable. In this paper we explore an alternative approach in which the policy is explicitly represented by its own function approximator, independent ofthe value function, and is updated according to the gradient of expected reward with respect to the policy parameters. Williams's REINFORCE method and actor-critic methods are examples of this approach. Our main new result is to show that the gradient can be written in a form suitable for estimation from experience aided by an approximate action-value or advantage function. Using this result, we prove for the first time that a version of policy iteration with arbitrary differentiable function approximation is convergent to a locally optimal policy.


Dynamics of Supervised Learning with Restricted Training Sets and Noisy Teachers

Neural Information Processing Systems

We generalize a recent formalism to describe the dynamics of supervised learning in layered neural networks, in the regime where data recycling is inevitable, to the case of noisy teachers. Our theory generates reliable predictions for the evolution in time of training-and generalization errors, andextends the class of mathematically solvable learning processes in large neural networks to those situations where overfitting can occur.


Image Recognition in Context: Application to Microscopic Urinalysis

Neural Information Processing Systems

We propose a new and efficient technique for incorporating contextual information into object classification. Most of the current techniques face the problem of exponential computation cost. In this paper, we propose a new general framework that incorporates partial context at a linear cost. This technique is applied to microscopic urinalysis image recognition, resulting in a significant improvement of recognition rate over the context free approach. This gain would have been impossible using conventional context incorporation techniques.


Support Vector Method for Novelty Detection

Neural Information Processing Systems

Suppose you are given some dataset drawn from an underlying probability distributionP and you want to estimate a "simple" subset S of input space such that the probability that a test point drawn from P lies outside of S equals some a priori specified


Support Vector Method for Multivariate Density Estimation

Neural Information Processing Systems

A new method for multivariate density estimation is developed based on the Support Vector Method (SVM) solution of inverse ill-posed problems. The solution has the form of a mixture of densities. Thismethod with Gaussian kernels compared favorably to both Parzen's method and the Gaussian Mixture Model method. For synthetic data we achieve more accurate estimates for densities of 2, 6, 12, and 40 dimensions. 1 Introduction The problem of multivariate density estimation is important for many applications, in particular, for speech recognition [1] [7]. When the unknown density belongs to a parametric set satisfying certain conditions one can estimate it using the maximum likelihood (ML) method. Often these conditions are too restrictive. Therefore, nonparametric methods were proposed. The most popular of these, Parzen's method [5], uses the following estimate given data