Technology
Many Minds, One Goal: Time Series Forecasting via Sub-task Specialization and Inter-agent Cooperation
Time series forecasting is a critical and complex task, characterized by diverse temporal patterns, varying statistical properties, and different prediction horizons across datasets and domains. Conventional approaches typically rely on a single, unified model architecture to handle all forecasting scenarios. However, such monolithic models struggle to generalize across dynamically evolving time series with shifting patterns. In reality, different types of time series may require distinct modeling strategies. Some benefit from homogeneous multi-scale forecasting awareness, while others rely on more complex and heterogeneous signal perception. Relying on a single model to capture all temporal diversity and structural variations leads to limited performance and poor interpretability. To address this challenge, we propose a Multi-Agent Forecasting System (MAFS) that abandons the one-size-fits-all paradigm. MAFS decomposes the forecasting task into multiple sub-tasks, each handled by a dedicated agent trained on specific temporal perspectives (e.g., different forecasting resolutions or signal characteristics). Furthermore, to achieve holistic forecasting, agents share and refine information through different communication topology, enabling cooperative reasoning across different temporal views.
Constrained Entropic Unlearning: A Primal-Dual Framework for Large Language Models
Large Language Models (LLMs) deployed in real-world settings increasingly face the need to unlearn sensitive, outdated, or proprietary information. Existing unlearning methods typically formulate forgetting and retention as a regularized trade-off, combining both objectives into a single scalarized loss. This often leads to unstable optimization and degraded performance on retained data, especially under aggressive forgetting. We propose a new formulation of LLM unlearning as a constrained optimization problem: forgetting is enforced via a novel logit-margin flattening loss that explicitly drives the output distribution toward uniformity on a designated forget set, while retention is preserved through a hard constraint on a separate retain set. Compared to entropy-based objectives, our loss is softmax-free, numerically stable, and maintains non-vanishing gradients, enabling more efficient and robust optimization. We solve the constrained problem using a scalable primal-dual algorithm that exposes the trade-off between forgetting and retention through the dynamics of the dual variable, all without any extra computational overhead. Evaluations on the TOFU and MUSE benchmarks across diverse LLM architectures demonstrate that our approach consistently matches or exceeds state-of-the-art baselines, effectively removing targeted information while preserving downstream utility.
Beyond Expectations: Quantile-Guided Alignment for Risk-Calibrated Language Models
Large language models can generate rare but catastrophic outputs, such as harmful conversations or insecure code. Existing Reinforcement Learning from Human Feedback (RLHF) typically maximizes average reward, leaving high-risk tail events insufficiently controlled. We introduce Quantile Guided Alignment (QA), a framework that allows users to specify desired improvements at any quantile--individually or across multiple reward dimensions--thus shifting the distribution of outputs with finer control toward safer, more desirable outcomes. The method extends standard RLHF via an augmented reward formulation that enforces quantile constraints. Experiments on conversation and code generation tasks show that quantile alignment significantly enhances quality at targeted tails while maintaining overall performance. The results position QA as a principled route to risk calibrated language models with tail focused alignment.
AegisGuard: RL-Guided Adapter Tuning for TEE-Based Efficient & Secure On-Device Inference
On-device large models (LMs) reduce cloud dependency but expose proprietary model weights to the end-user, making them vulnerable to white-box model stealing (MS) attacks. A common defense is TEE-Shielded DNN Partition (TSDP), which places all trainable LoRA adapters (fine tuned on private data) inside a trusted execution environment (TEE). However, this design suffers from excessive host-to-TEE communication latency. We propose AegisGuard, a fine tuning and deployment framework that selectively shields the MS sensitive adapters while offloading the rest to the GPU, balancing security and efficiency. AegisGuard integrates two key components: i) RL-based Sensitivity Measurement (RSM), which injects Gaussian noise during training and applies a lightweight reinforcement learning to rank adapters based on their impact on model stealing; and (ii) Shielded-Adapter Compression (SAC), which structurally prunes the selected adapters to reduce both parameter size and intermediate feature maps, further lowering TEE computation and data transfer costs. Extensive experiments demonstrate that AegisGuard achieves black-box level MS resilience (surrogate accuracy around 39%, matching fully shielded baselines), while reducing end-to-end inference latency by 2-3 and cutting TEE memory usage by 4 compared to state-of-the-art TSDP methods.
Language Models can Self-Improve at State-Value Estimation for Better Search
Collecting ground-truth rewards or human demonstrations for multi-step reasoning tasks is often prohibitively expensive, especially in interactive domains such as web tasks. We introduce Self-Taught Lookahead (STL), a reward-free framework that improves language model-based value functions by reasoning explicitly about state transitions. STL can be viewed as a chain-of-thought analogue of the value iteration algorithm: instead of regressing directly on numeric values, a value LLM is trained to simulate a step of lookahead in natural language--predicting the next action, resulting state, and rationale for its value. This process refines value estimates without any labeled data. The self-supervised procedure yields more accurate state-value predictions, which in turn enable lightweight search algorithms to expand fewer states while maintaining strong performance. Empirically, STL-trained value models built on moderately sized (8B-parameter) open-weight LLMs boost web agent success rates by over 39%, achieving performance comparable to proprietary models.
NormFit: A Lightweight Solution for Few-Shot Federated Learning with Non-IID Data
Vision-Language Models (VLMs) have recently attracted considerable attention in Federated Learning (FL) due to their strong and robust performance. In particular, few-shot adaptation with pre-trained VLMs like CLIP enhances the performance of downstream tasks. However, existing methods still suffer from substantial communication overhead, high local computational demands, and suboptimal performance under non-IID user data. To simultaneously address all those limitations, we propose NormFit, a lightweight solution that selectively fine-tunes only a very small portion of the model parameters, specifically only the Pre-LayerNorm parameters of the vision encoder within a VLM. Overcoming the existing tradeoff between performance and communication/computation efficiency in few-shot FL, NormFit sets a new benchmark by simultaneously achieving superior accuracy and substantially reduced communication and computational demands. Theoretically, we show that NormFit yields a considerably smaller generalization gap compared to tuning all LayerNorm parameters. Importantly, NormFit can function effectively as a standalone solution or integrate seamlessly with existing few-shot fine-tuning methods to further enhance their performance. Notably, NormFit offers implementation simplicity, achieving these improvements without any algorithmic modifications, changes to the underlying model architecture, or the addition of external parameters.
Influence Functions for Edge Edits in Non-Convex Graph Neural Networks
Understanding how individual edges influence the behavior of graph neural networks (GNNs) is essential for improving their interpretability and robustness. Graph influence functions have emerged as promising tools to efficiently estimate the effects of edge deletions without retraining. However, existing influence prediction methods rely on strict convexity assumptions, exclusively consider the influence of edge deletions while disregarding edge insertions, and fail to capture changes in message propagation caused by these modifications. In this work, we propose a proximal Bregman response function specifically tailored for GNNs, relaxing the convexity requirement and enabling accurate influence prediction for standard neural network architectures. Furthermore, our method explicitly accounts for message propagation effects and extends influence prediction to both edge deletions and insertions in a principled way. Experiments with real-world datasets demonstrate accurate influence predictions for different characteristics of GNNs. We further demonstrate that the influence function is versatile in applications such as graph rewiring and adversarial attacks.
Atomic Thinking of LLMs: Decoupling and Exploring Mathematical Reasoning Abilities
Large Language Models (LLMs) have demonstrated outstanding performance in mathematical reasoning capabilities. However, we argue that current large-scale reasoning models primarily rely on scaling up training datasets with diverse mathematical problems and long thinking chains, which raises questions about whether LLMs genuinely acquire mathematical concepts and reasoning principles or merely remember the training data. In contrast, humans tend to break down complex problems into multiple fundamental atomic capabilities. Inspired by this, we propose a new paradigm for evaluating mathematical atomic capabilities.
SplashNet: Split‑and‑Share Encoders for Accurate and Efficient Typing with Surface Electromyography
Surface electromyography (sEMG) at the wrists could enable natural, keyboard free text entry, yet the state of the art emg2qwerty baseline still misrecognizes 51.8\% of characters zero shot on unseen users and 7.0\% after user specific fine tuning. We trace much of these errors to mismatched cross user signal statistics, fragile reliance on high order feature dependencies, and the absence of architectural inductive biases aligned with the bilateral nature of typing. To address these issues, we introduce three simple modifications: (i) Rolling Time Normalization which adaptively aligns input distributions across users; (ii) Aggressive Channel Masking, which encourages reliance on low order feature combinations more likely to generalize across users; and (iii) a Split and Share encoder that processes each hand independently with weight shared streams to reflect the bilateral symmetry of the neuromuscular system. Combined with a five fold reduction in spectral resolution (33$\rightarrow$6 frequency bands), these components yield a compact Split-and-Share model, SplashNet mini, which uses only the parameters and 0.6 the FLOPs of the baseline while reducing character error rate (CER) to 36.4\% zero shot and 5.9\% after fine tuning. An upscaled variant, SplashNet ( parameters, 1.15 FLOPs of the baseline), further lowers error to 35.7\% and 5.5\%, representing 31\% and 21\% relative improvements in the zero-shot and finetuned settings, respectively. SplashNet therefore establishes a new state-of-the-art without requiring additional data.