Crowdsourcing, in which human intelligence and productivity is dynamically mobilized to tackle tasks too complex for automation alone to handle, has grown to be an important research topic and inspired new businesses (e.g., Uber, Airbnb). Over the years, crowdsourcing has morphed from providing a platform where workers and tasks can be matched up manually into one which leverages data-driven algorithmic management approaches powered by artificial intelligence (AI) to achieve increasingly sophisticated optimization objectives. In this paper, we provide a survey presenting a unique systematic overview on how AI can empower crowdsourcing to improve its efficiency - which we refer to as AI-Empowered Crowdsourcing(AIEC). We propose a taxonomy which divides AIEC into three major areas: 1) task delegation, 2) motivating workers, and 3) quality control, focusing on the major objectives which need to be accomplished. We discuss the limitations and insights, and curate the challenges of doing research in each of these areas to highlight promising future research directions.

In the quantitative analysis of competitive sports, a fundamental task is to estimate the skills of the different agents ('players') involved in a given competition based on the outcome of pairwise comparisons ('matches') between said players, often in an online setting. Skill estimation facilitates the prediction of various relevant outcomes of subsequent matches, which can then be applied towards high-level decision-making for the competition, including player seeding, fair team matching, and more. There are several established approaches to the task of skill estimation, including among others the Bradley-Terry model (Bradley and Terry, 1952), the Elo rating system (Elo, 1978), the Glicko rating system (Glickman, 1999), and TrueSkill (Herbrich et al., 2006) each with various levels of complexity and varying degrees of statistical motivation. Skill rating is of paramount importance in the world of competitive sports as it serves as a foundational tool for assessing and comparing the abilities of players and how they vary over time. By accurately quantifying skill levels, skill rating systems enable fair and balanced competition, inform strategic decision-making, and enhance the overall sporting level.

In real-world scenarios like traffic and energy, massive time-series data with missing values and noises are widely observed, even sampled irregularly. While many imputation methods have been proposed, most of them work with a local horizon, which means models are trained by splitting the long sequence into batches of fit-sized patches. This local horizon can make models ignore global trends or periodic patterns. More importantly, almost all methods assume the observations are sampled at regular time stamps, and fail to handle complex irregular sampled time series arising from different applications. Thirdly, most existing methods are learned in an offline manner. Thus, it is not suitable for many applications with fast-arriving streaming data. To overcome these limitations, we propose BayOTIDE: Bayesian Online Multivariate Time series Imputation with functional decomposition. We treat the multivariate time series as the weighted combination of groups of low-rank temporal factors with different patterns. We apply a group of Gaussian Processes (GPs) with different kernels as functional priors to fit the factors. For computational efficiency, we further convert the GPs into a state-space prior by constructing an equivalent stochastic differential equation (SDE), and developing a scalable algorithm for online inference. The proposed method can not only handle imputation over arbitrary time stamps, but also offer uncertainty quantification and interpretability for the downstream application. We evaluate our method on both synthetic and real-world datasets.

Causality and eXplainable Artificial Intelligence (XAI) have developed as separate fields in computer science, even though the underlying concepts of causation and explanation share common ancient roots. This is further enforced by the lack of review works jointly covering these two fields. In this paper, we investigate the literature to try to understand how and to what extent causality and XAI are intertwined. More precisely, we seek to uncover what kinds of relationships exist between the two concepts and how one can benefit from them, for instance, in building trust in AI systems. As a result, three main perspectives are identified. In the first one, the lack of causality is seen as one of the major limitations of current AI and XAI approaches, and the "optimal" form of explanations is investigated. The second is a pragmatic perspective and considers XAI as a tool to foster scientific exploration for causal inquiry, via the identification of pursue-worthy experimental manipulations. Finally, the third perspective supports the idea that causality is propaedeutic to XAI in three possible manners: exploiting concepts borrowed from causality to support or improve XAI, utilizing counterfactuals for explainability, and considering accessing a causal model as explaining itself. To complement our analysis, we also provide relevant software solutions used to automate causal tasks. We believe our work provides a unified view of the two fields of causality and XAI by highlighting potential domain bridges and uncovering possible limitations.

State estimation of dynamical systems from noisy observations is a fundamental task in many applications. It is commonly addressed using the linear Kalman filter (KF), whose performance can significantly degrade in the presence of outliers in the observations, due to the sensitivity of its convex quadratic objective function. To mitigate such behavior, outlier detection algorithms can be applied. In this work, we propose a parameter-free algorithm which mitigates the harmful effect of outliers while requiring only a short iterative process of the standard update step of the KF. To that end, we model each potential outlier as a normal process with unknown variance and apply online estimation through either expectation maximization or alternating maximization algorithms. Simulations and field experiment evaluations demonstrate competitive performance of our method, showcasing its robustness to outliers in filtering scenarios compared to alternative algorithms.

The Gaussian process (GP) is a popular statistical technique for stochastic function approximation and uncertainty quantification from data. GPs have been adopted into the realm of machine learning in the last two decades because of their superior prediction abilities, especially in data-sparse scenarios, and their inherent ability to provide robust uncertainty estimates. Even so, their performance highly depends on intricate customizations of the core methodology, which often leads to dissatisfaction among practitioners when standard setups and off-the-shelf software tools are being deployed. Arguably the most important building block of a GP is the kernel function which assumes the role of a covariance operator. Stationary kernels of the Mat\'ern class are used in the vast majority of applied studies; poor prediction performance and unrealistic uncertainty quantification are often the consequences. Non-stationary kernels show improved performance but are rarely used due to their more complicated functional form and the associated effort and expertise needed to define and tune them optimally. In this perspective, we want to help ML practitioners make sense of some of the most common forms of non-stationarity for Gaussian processes. We show a variety of kernels in action using representative datasets, carefully study their properties, and compare their performances. Based on our findings, we propose a new kernel that combines some of the identified advantages of existing kernels.

Current methods of deploying robots that operate in dynamic, uncertain environments, such as Uncrewed Aerial Systems in search \& rescue missions, require nearly continuous human supervision for vehicle guidance and operation. These methods do not consider high-level mission context resulting in cumbersome manual operation or inefficient exhaustive search patterns. We present a human-centered autonomous framework that infers geospatial mission context through dynamic feature sets, which then guides a probabilistic target search planner. Operators provide a set of diverse inputs, including priority definition, spatial semantic information about ad-hoc geographical areas, and reference waypoints, which are probabilistically fused with geographical database information and condensed into a geospatial distribution representing an operator's preferences over an area. An online, POMDP-based planner, optimized for target searching, is augmented with this reward map to generate an operator-constrained policy. Our results, simulated based on input from five professional rescuers, display effective task mental model alignment, 18\% more victim finds, and 15 times more efficient guidance plans then current operational methods.

The goal of this thesis is to study the use of the Kantorovich-Rubinstein distance as to build a descriptor of sample complexity in classification problems. The idea is to use the fact that the Kantorovich-Rubinstein distance is a metric in the space of measures that also takes into account the geometry and topology of the underlying metric space. We associate to each class of points a measure and thus study the geometrical information that we can obtain from the Kantorovich-Rubinstein distance between those measures. We show that a large Kantorovich-Rubinstein distance between those measures allows to conclude that there exists a 1-Lipschitz classifier that classifies well the classes of points. We also discuss the limitation of the Kantorovich-Rubinstein distance as a descriptor.

Design of process control scheme is critical for quality assurance to reduce variations in manufacturing systems. Taking semiconductor manufacturing as an example, extensive literature focuses on control optimization based on certain process models (usually linear models), which are obtained by experiments before a manufacturing process starts. However, in real applications, pre-defined models may not be accurate, especially for a complex manufacturing system. To tackle model inaccuracy, we propose a model-free reinforcement learning (MFRL) approach to conduct experiments and optimize control simultaneously according to real-time data. Specifically, we design a novel MFRL control scheme by updating the distribution of disturbances using Bayesian inference to reduce their large variations during manufacturing processes. As a result, the proposed MFRL controller is demonstrated to perform well in a nonlinear chemical mechanical planarization (CMP) process when the process model is unknown. Theoretical properties are also guaranteed when disturbances are additive. The numerical studies also demonstrate the effectiveness and efficiency of our methodology.

Machine learning and data science heavily rely on probability distributions that are widely used to capture dependencies among large number of variables. Such high-dimensional distributions naturally appear in various domains including neuroscience [ROL02, CTY06], bioinformatics [BB01], text and image processing [Mur22], and causal inference [Pea09]. Substantial research has been devoted to developing models that represent high-dimensional probability distributions succinctly. One prevalent approach is through graphical models. In a graphical model, a graph describes the conditional dependencies among variables and the probability distribution is factorized according to the adjacency relationships in the graph [KF09]. When the underlying graph is a directed graph, the model is known as a Bayesian network or Bayes net. Two fundamental computational tasks on distributions are distance computation and probabilistic inference. In this work, we establish a novel connection between these two seemingly different computational tasks.