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 Bayesian Inference


Efficient Bayesian Computation Using Plug-and-Play Priors for Poisson Inverse Problems

arXiv.org Machine Learning

This paper introduces a novel plug-and-play (PnP) Langevin sampling methodology for Bayesian inference in low-photon Poisson imaging problems, a challenging class of problems with significant applications in astronomy, medicine, and biology. PnP Langevin sampling algorithms offer a powerful framework for Bayesian image restoration, enabling accurate point estimation as well as advanced inference tasks, including uncertainty quantification and visualization analyses, and empirical Bayesian inference for automatic model parameter tuning. However, existing PnP Langevin algorithms are not well-suited for low-photon Poisson imaging due to high solution uncertainty and poor regularity properties, such as exploding gradients and non-negativity constraints. To address these challenges, we propose two strategies for extending Langevin PnP sampling to Poisson imaging models: (i) an accelerated PnP Langevin method that incorporates boundary reflections and a Poisson likelihood approximation and (ii) a mirror sampling algorithm that leverages a Riemannian geometry to handle the constraints and the poor regularity of the likelihood without approximations. The effectiveness of these approaches is demonstrated through extensive numerical experiments and comparisons with state-of-the-art methods.


TVineSynth: A Truncated C-Vine Copula Generator of Synthetic Tabular Data to Balance Privacy and Utility

arXiv.org Machine Learning

We propose TVineSynth, a vine copula based synthetic tabular data generator, which is designed to balance privacy and utility, using the vine tree structure and its truncation to do the trade-off. Contrary to synthetic data generators that achieve DP by globally adding noise, TVineSynth performs a controlled approximation of the estimated data generating distribution, so that it does not suffer from poor utility of the resulting synthetic data for downstream prediction tasks. TVineSynth introduces a targeted bias into the vine copula model that, combined with the specific tree structure of the vine, causes the model to zero out privacy-leaking dependencies while relying on those that are beneficial for utility. Privacy is here measured with membership (MIA) and attribute inference attacks (AIA). Further, we theoretically justify how the construction of TVineSynth ensures AIA privacy under a natural privacy measure for continuous sensitive attributes. When compared to competitor models, with and without DP, on simulated and on real-world data, TVineSynth achieves a superior privacy-utility balance.


Information maximization for a broad variety of multi-armed bandit games

arXiv.org Machine Learning

Information and free-energy maximization are physics principles that provide general rules for an agent to optimize actions in line with specific goals and policies. These principles are the building blocks for designing decision-making policies capable of efficient performance with only partial information. Notably, the information maximization principle has shown remarkable success in the classical bandit problem and has recently been shown to yield optimal algorithms for Gaussian and sub-Gaussian reward distributions. This article explores a broad extension of physics-based approaches to more complex and structured bandit problems. To this end, we cover three distinct types of bandit problems, where information maximization is adapted and leads to strong performance. Since the main challenge of information maximization lies in avoiding over-exploration, we highlight how information is tailored at various levels to mitigate this issue, paving the way for more efficient and robust decision-making strategies.


Preference Construction: A Bayesian Interactive Preference Elicitation Framework Based on Monte Carlo Tree Search

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

We present a novel preference learning framework to capture participant preferences efficiently within limited interaction rounds. It involves three main contributions. First, we develop a variational Bayesian approach to infer the participant's preference model by estimating posterior distributions and managing uncertainty from limited information. Second, we propose an adaptive questioning policy that maximizes cumulative uncertainty reduction, formulating questioning as a finite Markov decision process and using Monte Carlo Tree Search to prioritize promising question trajectories. By considering long-term effects and leveraging the efficiency of the Bayesian approach, the policy avoids shortsightedness. Third, we apply the framework to Multiple Criteria Decision Aiding, with pairwise comparison as the preference information and an additive value function as the preference model. We integrate the reparameterization trick to address high-variance issues, enhancing robustness and efficiency. Computational studies on real-world and synthetic datasets demonstrate the framework's practical usability, outperforming baselines in capturing preferences and achieving superior uncertainty reduction within limited interactions.


Reversal Blessing: Thinking Backward May Outpace Thinking Forward in Multi-choice Questions

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Language models usually use left-to-right (L2R) autoregressive factorization. However, L2R factorization may not always be the best inductive bias. Therefore, we investigate whether alternative factorizations of the text distribution could be beneficial in some tasks. We investigate right-to-left (R2L) training as a compelling alternative, focusing on multiple-choice questions (MCQs) as a test bed for knowledge extraction and reasoning. Through extensive experiments across various model sizes (2B-8B parameters) and training datasets, we find that R2L models can significantly outperform L2R models on several MCQ benchmarks, including logical reasoning, commonsense understanding, and truthfulness assessment tasks. Our analysis reveals that this performance difference may be fundamentally linked to multiple factors including calibration, computability and directional conditional entropy. We ablate the impact of these factors through controlled simulation studies using arithmetic tasks, where the impacting factors can be better disentangled. Our work demonstrates that exploring alternative factorizations of the text distribution can lead to improvements in LLM capabilities and provides theoretical insights into optimal factorization towards approximating human language distribution, and when each reasoning order might be more advantageous.


Aligning Crowd-sourced Human Feedback for Reinforcement Learning on Code Generation by Large Language Models

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

This paper studies how AI-assisted programming and large language models (LLM) improve software developers' ability via AI tools (LLM agents) like Github Copilot and Amazon CodeWhisperer, while integrating human feedback to enhance reinforcement learning (RLHF) with crowd-sourced computation to enhance text-to-code generation. Additionally, we demonstrate that our Bayesian optimization framework supports AI alignment in code generation by distributing the feedback collection burden, highlighting the value of collecting human feedback of good quality. Our empirical evaluations demonstrate the efficacy of this approach, showcasing how LLM agents can be effectively trained for improved text-to-code generation. Our Bayesian optimization framework can be designed for general domain-specific languages, promoting the alignment of large language model capabilities with human feedback in AI-assisted programming for code generation.


Fast MLE and MAPE-Based Device Activity Detection for Grant-Free Access via PSCA and PSCA-Net

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Fast and accurate device activity detection is the critical challenge in grant-free access for supporting massive machine-type communications (mMTC) and ultra-reliable low-latency communications (URLLC) in 5G and beyond. The state-of-the-art methods have unsatisfactory error rates or computation times. To address these outstanding issues, we propose new maximum likelihood estimation (MLE) and maximum a posterior estimation (MAPE) based device activity detection methods for known and unknown pathloss that achieve superior error rate and computation time tradeoffs using optimization and deep learning techniques. Specifically, we investigate four non-convex optimization problems for MLE and MAPE in the two pathloss cases, with one MAPE problem being formulated for the first time. For each non-convex problem, we develop an innovative parallel iterative algorithm using the parallel successive convex approximation (PSCA) method. Each PSCA-based algorithm allows parallel computations, uses up to the objective function's second-order information, converges to the problem's stationary points, and has a low per-iteration computational complexity compared to the state-of-the-art algorithms. Then, for each PSCA-based iterative algorithm, we present a deep unrolling neural network implementation, called PSCA-Net, to further reduce the computation time. Each PSCA-Net elegantly marries the underlying PSCA-based algorithm's parallel computation mechanism with the parallelizable neural network architecture and effectively optimizes its step sizes based on vast data samples to speed up the convergence. Numerical results demonstrate that the proposed methods can significantly reduce the error rate and computation time compared to the state-of-the-art methods, revealing their significant values for grant-free access.


FedBEns: One-Shot Federated Learning based on Bayesian Ensemble

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Several One-Shot FL algorithms have been proposed in the literature. Existing relevant work leverages knowledge distillation One-Shot Federated Learning (FL) is a recent at the server (Lin et al., 2020), neuron matching paradigm that enables multiple clients to cooperatively strategies (Singh & Jaggi, 2020) or adopts an optimization learn a global model in a single round of approach, trying to directly approximate the global loss at communication with a central server. In this paper, the server starting from the local losses of each client (Jhunjhunwala we analyze the One-Shot FL problem through the et al., 2024; Liu et al., 2024; Matena & Raffel, lens of Bayesian inference and propose FedBEns, 2022). Our contribution is in line with the last group of work, an algorithm that leverages the inherent multimodality which generally employs a unimodal approximation of each of local loss functions to find better local loss. As an example, Jhunjhunwala et al. (2024) make global models.


Learning to quantify graph nodes

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Quantification (Esuli et al. 2023; González et al. 2017) is the machine learning task of estimating the prevalence (or proportions) of each class in a dataset. Unlike standard classification, which focuses on predicting a label for each individual example, quantification works at the aggregate level by estimating the overall fraction of unlabeled instances belonging to each class. Real-world applications of quantification include but are not limited to ecological modeling (González et al. 2017) (i.e., to characterize entire populations of living species) and market research (Sebastiani 2018) (i.e., for estimating market shares of different products or services). Quantification methods are explicitly designed to account for dataset shift, which occurs when the statistical properties of the training data differ from those of the test data, due to changes in input features, labels, or their relationships. Most quantification methods are tailored to one specific type of dataset shift, namely, prior probability shift (PPS), also referred to as "label shift" (Storkey 2009).


Disentangling Uncertainties by Learning Compressed Data Representation

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

We study aleatoric and epistemic uncertainty estimation in a learned regressive system dynamics model. Disentangling aleatoric uncertainty (the inherent randomness of the system) from epistemic uncertainty (the lack of data) is crucial for downstream tasks such as risk-aware control and reinforcement learning, efficient exploration, and robust policy transfer. While existing approaches like Gaussian Processes, Bayesian networks, and model ensembles are widely adopted, they suffer from either high computational complexity or inaccurate uncertainty estimation. To address these limitations, we propose the Compressed Data Representation Model (CDRM), a framework that learns a neural network encoding of the data distribution and enables direct sampling from the output distribution. Our approach incorporates a novel inference procedure based on Langevin dynamics sampling, allowing CDRM to predict arbitrary output distributions rather than being constrained to a Gaussian prior. Theoretical analysis provides the conditions where CDRM achieves better memory and computational complexity compared to bin-based compression methods. Empirical evaluations show that CDRM demonstrates a superior capability to identify aleatoric and epistemic uncertainties separately, achieving AUROCs of 0.8876 and 0.9981 on a single test set containing a mixture of both uncertainties. Qualitative results further show that CDRM's capability extends to datasets with multimodal output distributions, a challenging scenario where existing methods consistently fail. Code and supplementary materials are available at https://github.com/ryeii/CDRM.