Bayesian Inference
Finite-Dimensional BFRY Priors and Variational Bayesian Inference for Power Law Models
Juho Lee, Lancelot F. James, Seungjin Choi
Bayesian nonparametric methods based on the Dirichlet Process (DP), gamma process and beta process, have proven effective in capturing aspects of various datasets arising in machine learning. However, it is now recognized that such processes have their limitations in terms of the ability to capture power law behavior. As such there is now considerable interest in models based on the Stable Processs (SP), Generalized Gamma process (GGP) and Stable-Beta Process (SBP).
Scalable Learning of Multivariate Distributions via Coresets
Ding, Zeyu, Ickstadt, Katja, Klein, Nadja, Munteanu, Alexander, Omlor, Simon
Efficient and scalable non-parametric or semi-parametric regression analysis and density estimation are of crucial importance to the fields of statistics and machine learning. However, available methods are limited in their ability to handle large-scale data. We address this issue by developing a novel coreset construction for multivariate conditional transformation models (MCTMs) to enhance their scalability and training efficiency. To the best of our knowledge, these are the first coresets for semi-parametric distributional models. Our approach yields substantial data reduction via importance sampling. It ensures with high probability that the log-likelihood remains within multiplicative error bounds of $(1\pm\varepsilon)$ and thereby maintains statistical model accuracy. Compared to conventional full-parametric models, where coresets have been incorporated before, our semi-parametric approach exhibits enhanced adaptability, particularly in scenarios where complex distributions and non-linear relationships are present, but not fully understood. To address numerical problems associated with normalizing logarithmic terms, we follow a geometric approximation based on the convex hull of input data. This ensures feasible, stable, and accurate inference in scenarios involving large amounts of data. Numerical experiments demonstrate substantially improved computational efficiency when handling large and complex datasets, thus laying the foundation for a broad range of applications within the statistics and machine learning communities.
A two-step sequential approach for hyperparameter selection in finite context models
Contente, Josรฉ, Martins, Ana, Pinho, Armando J., Gouveia, Sรณnia
Finite-context models (FCMs) are widely used for compressing symbolic sequences such as DNA, where predictive performance depends critically on the context length k and smoothing parameter ฮฑ. In practice, these hyperparameters are typically selected through exhaustive search, which is computationally expensive and scales poorly with model complexity. This paper proposes a statistically grounded two-step sequential approach for efficient hyperparameter selection in FCMs. The key idea is to decompose the joint optimization problem into two independent stages. First, the context length k is estimated using categorical serial dependence measures, including Cramรฉr's ฮฝ, Cohen's \k{appa} and partial mutual information (pami). Second, the smoothing parameter ฮฑ is estimated via maximum likelihood conditional on the selected context length k. Simulation experiments were conducted on synthetic symbolic sequences generated by FCMs across multiple (k, ฮฑ) configurations, considering a four-letter alphabet and different sample sizes. Results show that the dependence measures are substantially more sensitive to variations in k than in ฮฑ, supporting the sequential estimation strategy. As expected, the accuracy of the hyperparameter estimation improves with increasing sample size. Furthermore, the proposed method achieves compression performance comparable to exhaustive grid search in terms of average bitrate (bits per symbol), while substantially reducing computational cost. Overall, the results on simulated data show that the proposed sequential approach is a practical and computationally efficient alternative to exhaustive hyperparameter tuning in FCMs.
On the role of memorization in learned priors for geophysical inverse problems
Siahkoohi, Ali, Sabeddu, Davide
Learned priors based on deep generative models offer data-driven regularization for seismic inversion, but training them requires a dataset of representative subsurface models -- a resource that is inherently scarce in geoscience applications. Since the training objective of most generative models can be cast as maximum likelihood on a finite dataset, any such model risks converging to the empirical distribution -- effectively memorizing the training examples rather than learning the underlying geological distribution. We show that the posterior under such a memorized prior reduces to a reweighted empirical distribution -- i.e., a likelihood-weighted lookup among the stored training examples. For diffusion models specifically, memorization yields a Gaussian mixture prior in closed form, and linearizing the forward operator around each training example gives a Gaussian mixture posterior whose components have widths and shifts governed by the local Jacobian. We validate these predictions on a stylized inverse problem and demonstrate the consequences of memorization through diffusion posterior sampling for full waveform inversion.
Latent Plan Transformer for Trajectory Abstraction: Planning as Latent Space Inference
In tasks aiming for long-term returns, planning becomes essential. We study generative modeling for planning with datasets repurposed from offline reinforcement learning. Specifically, we identify temporal consistency in the absence of step-wise rewards as one key technical challenge. We introduce the Latent Plan Transformer (LPT), a novel model that leverages a latent variable to connect a Transformer-based trajectory generator and the final return. LPT can be learned with maximum likelihood estimation on trajectory-return pairs.
A Bayesian Approach for Personalized Federated Learning in Heterogeneous Settings
Federated learning (FL), through its privacy-preserving collaborative learning approach, has significantly empowered decentralized devices. However, constraints in either data and/or computational resources among participating clients introduce several challenges in learning, including the inability to train large model architectures, heightened risks of overfitting, and more. In this work, we present a novel FL framework grounded in Bayesian learning to address these challenges. Our approach involves training personalized Bayesian models at each client tailored to the unique complexities of the clients' datasets and efficiently collaborating across these clients. By leveraging Bayesian neural networks and their uncertainty quantification capabilities, our local training procedure robustly learns from small datasets. And the novel collaboration procedure utilizing priors in the functional (output) space of the networks facilitates collaboration across models of varying sizes, enabling the framework to adapt well in heterogeneous data and computational settings. Furthermore, we present a differentially private version of the algorithm, accompanied by formal differential privacy guarantees that apply without any assumptions on the learning algorithm. Through experiments on popular FL datasets, we demonstrate that our approach outperforms strong baselines in both homogeneous and heterogeneous settings, and under strict privacy constraints.
ProvNeRF: Modeling per Point Provenance in NeRFs as a Stochastic Field
Neural radiance fields (NeRFs) have gained popularity with multiple works showing promising results across various applications. However, to the best of our knowledge, existing works do not explicitly model the distribution of training camera poses, or consequently the triangulation quality, a key factor affecting reconstruction quality dating back to classical vision literature. We close this gap with ProvNeRF, an approach that models the provenance for each point -- i.e., the locations where it is likely visible -- of NeRFs as a stochastic field. We achieve this by extending implicit maximum likelihood estimation (IMLE) to functional space with an optimizable objective. We show that modeling per-point provenance during the NeRF optimization enriches the model with information on triangulation leading to improvements in novel view synthesis and uncertainty estimation under the challenging sparse, unconstrained view setting against competitive baselines.
Imitating Language via Scalable Inverse Reinforcement Learning
The majority of language model training builds on imitation learning. It covers pretraining, supervised fine-tuning, and affects the starting conditions for reinforcement learning from human feedback (RLHF). The simplicity and scalability of maximum likelihood estimation (MLE) for next token prediction led to its role as predominant paradigm. However, the broader field of imitation learning can more effectively utilize the sequential structure underlying autoregressive generation. We focus on investigating the inverse reinforcement learning (IRL) perspective to imitation, extracting rewards and directly optimizing sequences instead of individual token likelihoods and evaluate its benefits for fine-tuning large language models. We provide a new angle, reformulating inverse soft-Q-learning as a temporal difference regularized extension of MLE. This creates a principled connection between MLE and IRL and allows trading off added complexity with increased performance and diversity of generations in the supervised fine-tuning (SFT) setting. We find clear advantages for IRL-based imitation, in particular for retaining diversity while maximizing task performance, rendering IRL a strong alternative on fixed SFT datasets even without online data generation. Our analysis of IRL-extracted reward functions further indicates benefits for more robust reward functions via tighter integration of supervised and preference-based LLM post-training.