Bayesian Inference
Discriminative Learning for Label Sequences via Boosting
Altun, Yasemin, Hofmann, Thomas, Johnson, Mark
Well-known applications include part-of-speech (POS) tagging, named entity classification, information extraction,text segmentation and phoneme classification in text and speech processing [7] as well as problems like protein homology detection, secondary structure prediction or gene classification in computational biology [3]. Up to now, the predominant formalism for modeling and predicting label sequences has been based on Hidden Markov Models (HMMs) and variations thereof. Yet, despite its success, generative probabilistic models - of which HMMs are a special case - have two major shortcomings, which this paper is not the first one to point out. First, generative probabilistic models are typically trained using maximum likelihood estimation (MLE) for a joint sampling model of observation and label sequences. As has been emphasized frequently, MLE based on the joint probability model is inherently non-discriminative and thus may lead to suboptimal prediction accuracy. Secondly, efficient inference and learning in this setting often requires to make questionable conditional independence assumptions.
Automatic Derivation of Statistical Algorithms: The EM Family and Beyond
Fischer, Bernd, Schumann, Johann, Buntine, Wray, Gray, Alexander G.
Machine learning has reached a point where many probabilistic methods canbe understood as variations, extensions and combinations of a much smaller set of abstract themes, e.g., as different instances of the EM algorithm. This enables the systematic derivation of algorithms customized fordifferent models. Here, we describe the AUTOBAYES system which takes a high-level statistical model specification, uses powerful symbolic techniques based on schema-based program synthesis and computer algebra to derive an efficient specialized algorithm for learning that model, and generates executable code implementing that algorithm. This capability is far beyond that of code collections such as Matlab toolboxes oreven tools for model-independent optimization such as BUGS for Gibbs sampling: complex new algorithms can be generated without newprogramming, algorithms can be highly specialized and tightly crafted for the exact structure of the model and data, and efficient and commented code can be generated for different languages or systems.
Theory-Based Causal Inference
Tenenbaum, Joshua B., Griffiths, Thomas L.
People routinely make sophisticated causal inferences unconsciously, effortlessly, andfrom very little data - often from just one or a few observations. Weargue that these inferences can be explained as Bayesian computations over a hypothesis space of causal graphical models, shaped by strong top-down prior knowledge in the form of intuitive theories.
Identity Uncertainty and Citation Matching
Pasula, Hanna, Marthi, Bhaskara, Milch, Brian, Russell, Stuart J., Shpitser, Ilya
Identity uncertainty is a pervasive problem in real-world data analysis. It arises whenever objects are not labeled with unique identifiers or when those identifiers may not be perceived perfectly. In such cases, two observations mayor may not correspond to the same object. In this paper, we consider the problem in the context of citation matching--the problem ofdeciding which citations correspond to the same publication. Our approach is based on the use of a relational probability model to define a generative model for the domain, including models of author and title corruption and a probabilistic citation grammar. Identity uncertainty is handled by extending standard models to incorporate probabilities over the possible mappings between terms in the language and objects in the domain. Inference is based on Markov chain Monte Carlo, augmented with specific methods for generating efficient proposals when the domain contains many objects. Results on several citation data sets show that the method outperforms current algorithms for citation matching. The declarative, relational nature of the model also means that our algorithm can determine object characteristics such as author names by combining multiple citations of multiple papers.
Discriminative Densities from Maximum Contrast Estimation
Meinicke, Peter, Twellmann, Thorsten, Ritter, Helge
We propose a framework for classifier design based on discriminative densities for representation of the differences of the class-conditional distributions ina way that is optimal for classification. The densities are selected from a parametrized set by constrained maximization of some objective function which measures the average (bounded) difference, i.e. the contrast between discriminative densities. We show that maximization ofthe contrast is equivalent to minimization of an approximation of the Bayes risk.
Accelerating Reinforcement Learning through Implicit Imitation
Imitation can be viewed as a means of enhancing learning in multiagent environments. It augments an agent's ability to learn useful behaviors by making intelligent use of the knowledge implicit in behaviors demonstrated by cooperative teachers or other more experienced agents. We propose and study a formal model of implicit imitation that can accelerate reinforcement learning dramatically in certain cases. Roughly, by observing a mentor, a reinforcement-learning agent can extract information about its own capabilities in, and the relative value of, unvisited parts of the state space. We study two specific instantiations of this model, one in which the learning agent and the mentor have identical abilities, and one designed to deal with agents and mentors with different action sets. We illustrate the benefits of implicit imitation by integrating it with prioritized sweeping, and demonstrating improved performance and convergence through observation of single and multiple mentors. Though we make some stringent assumptions regarding observability and possible interactions, we briefly comment on extensions of the model that relax these restricitions.
Learning-Assisted Automated Planning: Looking Back, Taking Stock, Going Forward
Zimmerman, Terry, Kambhampati, Subbarao
This article reports on an extensive survey and analysis of research work related to machine learning as it applies to automated planning over the past 30 years. Major research contributions are broadly characterized by learning method and then descriptive subcategories. Survey results reveal learning techniques that have extensively been applied and a number that have received scant attention. We extend the survey analysis to suggest promising avenues for future research in learning based on both previous experience and current needs in the planning community.
Exploiting Contextual Independence In Probabilistic Inference
Bayesian belief networks have grown to prominence because they provide compact representations for many problems for which probabilistic inference is appropriate, and there are algorithms to exploit this compactness. The next step is to allow compact representations of the conditional probabilities of a variable given its parents. In this paper we present such a representation that exploits contextual independence in terms of parent contexts; which variables act as parents may depend on the value of other variables. The internal representation is in terms of contextual factors (confactors) that is simply a pair of a context and a table. The algorithm, contextual variable elimination, is based on the standard variable elimination algorithm that eliminates the non-query variables in turn, but when eliminating a variable, the tables that need to be multiplied can depend on the context. This algorithm reduces to standard variable elimination when there is no contextual independence structure to exploit. We show how this can be much more efficient than variable elimination when there is structure to exploit. We explain why this new method can exploit more structure than previous methods for structured belief network inference and an analogous algorithm that uses trees.