Bayesian Inference
Semi-Supervised Classification using Sparse Gaussian Process Regression
Patel, Amrish (Indian Institute of Science) | Sundararajan, S. (Yahoo! Labs) | Shevade, Shirish (Indian Institute of Science)
Gaussian Processes (GPs) are promising Bayesian methods for classification and regression problems. They have also been used for semi-supervised learning tasks. In this paper, we propose a new algorithm for solving semi-supervised binary classification problem using sparse GP regression (GPR) models. It is closely related to semi-supervised learning based on support vector regression (SVR) and maximum margin clustering. The proposed algorithm is simple and easy to implement. It gives a sparse solution directly unlike the SVR based algorithm. Also, the hyperparameters are estimated easily without resorting to expensive cross-validation technique. Use of sparse GPR model helps in making the proposed algorithm scalable. Preliminary results on synthetic and real-world data sets demonstrate the efficacy of the new algorithm.
A New Bayesian Approach to Multiple Intermittent Fault Diagnosis
Abreu, Rui (Delft University of Technology) | Zoeteweij, Peter (Delft University of Technology) | Gemund, Arjan J.C. van (Delft University of Technology)
Logic reasoning approaches to fault diagnosis account for the fact that a component c j may fail intermittently by introducing a parameter g j that expresses the probability the component exhibits correct behavior. This component parameter g j , in conjunction with a priori fault probability, is usedin a Bayesian framework to compute the posterior fault candidate probabilities. Usually, information on g j is not known a priori. While proper estimation of g j can have a great impact on the diagnostic accuracy, at present, only approximations have been proposed. We present a novel framework, BARINEL, that computes exact estimations of g j as integral part of the posterior candidate probability computation. BARINEL’s diagnostic performance is evaluated for both synthetic and real software systems. Our results show that our approach is superior to approaches based on classical persistent fault models as well as previously proposed intermittent fault models.
Fast Recommendations using GAI Models
Dubus, Jean-Philippe (Université Paris 6) | Gonzales, Christophe (Université Paris 6) | Perny, Patrice (Université Paris 6)
This paper deals with Decision-Making in the context of multiattribute utility theory and, more precisely, with the problem of efficiently determining the best alternative w.r.t. an agent's preferences (choice problem). We assume that alternatives are elements of a product set of attributes and that the agent's preferences are represented by a generalized additive decomposable (GAI) utility on this set. Such a function allows an efficient representation of interactions between attributes while preserving some decomposability of the model. GAI utilities can be compiled into graphical structures called GAI networks that can be exploited to solve choice problems using collect/distribute schemes essentially similar to those used in Bayesian networks. In this paper, rather than directly using this scheme on the GAI network for determining the most preferred alternative, we propose to work with another GAI function, acting as an upper-bound on utility values and enhancing the model's decomposability. This method still provides the exact optimal solution but speeds up significantly the search. It proves to be particularly useful when dealing with choice and ranking under constraints and within collective Decision-Making, where GAI nets tend to have a large size. We present an efficient algorithm for determining this new GAI function and provide experimental results highlighting the practical efficiency of our procedure.
Preference Learning with Extreme Examples
Wang, Fei (Florida International University) | Zhang, Bin (IBM CRL) | Li, Ta-Hsin (IBM T. J. Watson) | Yin, Wenjun (IBM CRL) | Dong, Jin (IBM CRL) | Li, Tao (Florida International University)
In this paper, we consider a general problem of semi-supervised preference learning, in which we assume that we have the information of the extreme cases and some ordered constraints, our goal is to learn the unknown preferences of the other places. Taking the potential housing place selection problem as an example, we have many candidate places together with their associated information (e.g., position, environment), and we know some extreme examples (i.e., several places are perfect for building a house, and several places are the worst that cannot build a house there), and we know some partially ordered constraints (i.e., for two places, which place is better), then how can we judge the preference of one potential place whose preference is unknown beforehand? We propose a Bayesian framework based on Gaussian process to tackle this problem, from which we not only solve for the unknown preferences, but also the hyperparameters contained in our model.
Spatial Processes for Recommender Systems
Bohnert, Fabian (Monash University) | Schmidt, Daniel F. (Monash University) | Zukerman, Ingrid (Monash University)
Spatial processes are typically used to analyse and predict geographic data. This paper adapts such models to predicting a user's interests (i.e., implicit item ratings) within a recommender system in the museum domain. We present the theoretical framework for a model based on Gaussian spatial processes, and discuss efficient algorithms for parameter estimation. Our model was evaluated with a real-world dataset collected by tracking visitors in a museum, attaining a higher predictive accuracy than state-of-the-art collaborative filters.
Semi-Supervised Classification using Sparse Gaussian Process Regression
Patel, Amrish (Indian Institute of Science) | Sundararajan, S. (Yahoo! Labs) | Shevade, Shirish (Indian Institute of Science)
Gaussian Processes (GPs) are promising Bayesian methods for classification and regression problems. They have also been used for semi-supervised learning tasks. In this paper, we propose a new algorithm for solving semi-supervised binary classification problem using sparse GP regression (GPR) models. It is closely related to semi-supervised learning based on support vector regression (SVR) and maximum margin clustering. The proposed algorithm is simple and easy to implement. It gives a sparse solution directly unlike the SVR based algorithm. Also, the hyperparameters are estimated easily without resorting to expensive cross-validation technique. Use of sparse GPR model helps in making the proposed algorithm scalable. Preliminary results on synthetic and real-world data sets demonstrate the efficacy of the new algorithm.
Bayesian Extreme Components Analysis
Chen, Yutian (University of California, Irvine) | Welling, Max (University of California, Irvine)
Extreme Components Analysis (XCA) is a statistical method based on a single eigenvalue decomposition to recover the optimal combination of principal and minor components in the data. Unfortunately, minor components are notoriously sensitive to overfitting when the number of data items is small relative to the number of attributes. We present a Bayesian extension of XCA by introducing a conjugate prior for the parameters of the XCA model. This Bayesian-XCA is shown to outperform plain vanilla XCA as well as Bayesian-PCA and XCA based on a frequentist correction to the sample spectrum. Moreover, we show that minor components are only picked when they represent genuine constraints in the data, even for very small sample sizes. An extension to mixtures of Bayesian XCA models is also explored.
Preference Functions That Score Rankings and Maximum Likelihood Estimation
Conitzer, Vincent (Duke University) | Rognlie, Matthew (Duke University) | Xia, Lirong (Duke University)
In social choice, a preference function (PF) takes a set of votes (linear orders over a set of alternatives) as input, and produces one or more rankings (also linear orders over the alternatives) as output. Such functions have many applications, for example, aggregating the preferences of multiple agents, or merging rankings (of, say, webpages) into a single ranking. The key issue is choosing a PF to use. One natural and previously studied approach is to assume that there is an unobserved "correct" ranking, and the votes are noisy estimates of this. Then, we can use the PF that always chooses the maximum likelihood estimate (MLE) of the correct ranking. In this paper, we define simple ranking scoring functions (SRSFs) and show that the class of neutral SRSFs is exactly the class of neutral PFs that are MLEs for some noise model. We also define composite ranking scoring functions (CRSFs) and show a condition under which these coincide with SRSFs. We study key properties such as consistency and continuity, and consider some example PFs. In particular, we study Single Transferable Vote (STV), a commonly used PF, showing that it is a CRSF but not an SRSF, thereby clarifying the extent to which it is an MLE function. This also gives a new perspective on how ties should be broken under STV. We leave some open questions.
Markov Network based Ontology Matching
Albagli, Sivan Gali (Ben Gurion University) | Shimony, Solomon Eyal (Ben Gurion University) | Ben-Eliyahu-Zohary, Rachel (Ben Gurion University)
iMatch is a probabilistic scheme for ontology matching based on Markov networks, which has several advantages over other probabilistic schemes. First, it uses undirected networks, which better supports the non-causal nature of the dependencies. Second, it handles the high computational complexity involved by approximate reasoning, rather then by ad-hoc pruning. Third, the probabilities that it uses are learned from matched data. Finally, iMatch naturally supports interactive semi-automatic matches. Experiments using the standard benchmark tests that compare our approach with the most promising existing systems show that iMatch is one of the top performers.
Learning Kinematic Models for Articulated Objects
Sturm, Jürgen (University of Freiburg) | Pradeep, Vijay (Willow Garage) | Stachniss, Cyrill (University of Freiburg) | Plagemann, Christian (Stanford University) | Konolige, Kurt (Willow Garage) | Burgard, Wolfram (University of Freiburg)
Robots operating in home environments must be able to interact with articulated objects such as doors or drawers. Ideally, robots are able to autonomously infer articulation models by observation. In this paper, we present an approach to learn kinematic models by inferring the connectivity of rigid parts and the articulation models for the corresponding links. Our method uses a mixture of parameterized and parameter-free (Gaussian process) representations and finds low-dimensional manifolds that provide the best explanation of the given observations. Our approach has been implemented and evaluated using real data obtained in various realistic home environment settings.