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 Bayesian Inference


Linearly constrained Bayesian matrix factorization for blind source separation

Neural Information Processing Systems

We present a general Bayesian approach to probabilistic matrix factorization subject to linear constraints. The approach is based on a Gaussian observation model and Gaussian priors with bilinear equality and inequality constraints. We present an efficient Markov chain Monte Carlo inference procedure based on Gibbs sampling. Special cases of the proposed model are Bayesian formulations of non-negative matrix factorization and factor analysis. The method is evaluated on a blind source separation problem. We demonstrate that our algorithm can be used to extract meaningful and interpretable features that are remarkably different from features extracted using existing related matrix factorization techniques.


On the Complexity of Linear Prediction: Risk Bounds, Margin Bounds, and Regularization

Neural Information Processing Systems

We provide sharp bounds for Rademacher and Gaussian complexities of (constrained) linear classes. These bounds make short work of providing a number of corollaries including: risk bounds for linear prediction (including settings where the weight vectors are constrained by either $L_2$ or $L_1$ constraints), margin bounds (including both $L_2$ and $L_1$ margins, along with more general notions based on relative entropy), a proof of the PAC-Bayes theorem, and $L_2$ covering numbers (with $L_p$ norm constraints and relative entropy constraints). In addition to providing a unified analysis, the results herein provide some of the sharpest risk and margin bounds (improving upon a number of previous results). Interestingly, our results show that the uniform convergence rates of empirical risk minimization algorithms tightly match the regret bounds of online learning algorithms for linear prediction (up to a constant factor of 2).


Rethinking LDA: Why Priors Matter

Neural Information Processing Systems

Implementations of topic models typically use symmetric Dirichlet priors with fixed concentration parameters, with the implicit assumption that such smoothing parameters" have little practical effect. In this paper, we explore several classes of structured priors for topic models. We find that an asymmetric Dirichlet prior over the document-topic distributions has substantial advantages over a symmetric prior, while an asymmetric prior over the topic-word distributions provides no real benefit. Approximation of this prior structure through simple, efficient hyperparameter optimization steps is sufficient to achieve these performance gains. The prior structure we advocate substantially increases the robustness of topic models to variations in the number of topics and to the highly skewed word frequency distributions common in natural language. Since this prior structure can be implemented using efficient algorithms that add negligible cost beyond standard inference techniques, we recommend it as a new standard for topic modeling."


Fast Computation of Posterior Mode in Multi-Level Hierarchical Models

Neural Information Processing Systems

Multilevel hierarchical models provide an attractive framework for incorporating correlations induced in a response variable that is organized hierarchically. Model fitting is challenging, especially for a hierarchy with a large number of nodes. We provide a novel algorithm based on a multi-scale Kalman filter that is both scalable and easy to implement. For Gaussian response, we show our method provides the maximum a-posteriori (MAP) parameter estimates; for non-Gaussian response, parameter estimation is performed through a Laplace approximation. However, the Laplace approximation provides biased parameter estimates that is corrected through a parametric bootstrap procedure. We illustrate through simulation studies and analyses of real world data sets in health care and online advertising.


Variational Mixture of Gaussian Process Experts

Neural Information Processing Systems

Mixture of Gaussian processes models extended a single Gaussian process with ability of modeling multi-modal data and reduction of training complexity. Previous inference algorithms for these models are mostly based on Gibbs sampling, which can be very slow, particularly for large-scale data sets. We present a new generative mixture of experts model. Each expert is still a Gaussian process but is reformulated by a linear model. This breaks the dependency among training outputs and enables us to use a much faster variational Bayesian algorithm for training. Our gating network is more flexible than previous generative approaches as inputs for each expert are modeled by a Gaussian mixture model. The number of experts and number of Gaussian components for an expert are inferred automatically. A variety of tests show the advantages of our method.


Unifying the Sensory and Motor Components of Sensorimotor Adaptation

Neural Information Processing Systems

Adaptation of visually guided reaching movements in novel visuomotor environments (e.g.wearing prism goggles) comprises not only motor adaptation but also substantial sensory adaptation, corresponding to shifts in the perceived spatial location of visual and proprioceptive cues. Previous computational modelsof the sensory component of visuomotor adaptation have assumed that it is driven purely by the discrepancy introduced between visual andproprioceptive estimates of hand position and is independent of any motor component of adaptation. We instead propose a unified model in which sensory and motor adaptation are jointly driven by optimal Bayesian estimation of the sensory and motor contributions to perceived errors. Our model is able to account for patterns of performance errors during visuomotor adaptationas well as the subsequent perceptual aftereffects. This unified model also makes the surprising prediction that force field adaptation willelicit similar perceptual shifts, even though there is never any discrepancy between visual and proprioceptive observations. We confirm this prediction with an experiment.


Differentiable Sparse Coding

Neural Information Processing Systems

We show how smoother priors can preserve the benefits of these sparse priors while adding stability to the Maximum A-Posteriori (MAP) estimate that makes it more useful for prediction problems. Additionally, we show how to calculate the derivative of the MAP estimate efficiently withimplicit differentiation. One prior that can be differentiated this way is KL-regularization. We demonstrate its effectiveness on a wide variety of applications, andfind that online optimization of the parameters of the KL-regularized model can significantly improve prediction performance.


Bayesian Sparse Factor Models and DAGs Inference and Comparison

Neural Information Processing Systems

In this paper we present a novel approach to learn directed acyclic graphs (DAG) and factor models within the same framework while also allowing for model comparison between them. For this purpose, we exploit the connection between factor models and DAGs to propose Bayesian hierarchies based on spike and slab priors to promote sparsity, heavy-tailed priors to ensure identifiability and predictive densities to perform the model comparison. We require identifiability to be able to produce variable orderings leading to valid DAGs and sparsity to learn the structures. The effectiveness of our approach is demonstrated through extensive experiments on artificial and biological data showing that our approach outperform a number of state of the art methods.


Learning with Compressible Priors

Neural Information Processing Systems

We describe probability distributions, dubbed compressible priors, whose independent and identically distributed (iid) realizations result in compressible signals. A signal is compressible when sorted magnitudes of its coefficients exhibit a power-law decay so that the signal can be well-approximated by a sparse signal. Since compressible signals live close to sparse signals, their intrinsic information can be stably embedded via simple non-adaptive linear projections into a much lower dimensional space whose dimension grows logarithmically with the ambient signal dimension. By using order statistics, we show that N-sample iid realizations of generalized Pareto, Student’s t, log-normal, Frechet, and log-logistic distributions are compressible, i.e., they have a constant expected decay rate, which is independent of N. In contrast, we show that generalized Gaussian distribution with shape parameter q is compressible only in restricted cases since the expected decay rate of its N-sample iid realizations decreases with N as 1/[q log(N/q)]. We use compressible priors as a scaffold to build new iterative sparse signal recovery algorithms based on Bayesian inference arguments. We show how tuning of these algorithms explicitly depends on the parameters of the compressible prior of the signal, and how to learn the parameters of the signal’s compressible prior on the fly during recovery.