Bayesian Inference
A Statistician's View on Data and Data Science
In an Estimation problem, looking at a data to derive any inference about a'characteristic' of a Population, this approach mainly uses a sample taken at'random' from a collection of these similar items. An'estimate' of that characteristic (also known as a parameter) of the collection (or Universe, Population), is computed from that sample. This estimate is then tested to find out how close it might be to the original parameter, which is usually unknown. Graphical methods such EDA (Exploratory Data Analysis) are also used to study and guess the nature of the characteristic in the population, based on the data from the sample. Sampling is repeated or replicated several times, to reduce the error in the estimate.
Directional Statistics in Machine Learning: a Brief Review
The modern data analyst must cope with data encoded in various forms, vectors, matrices, strings, graphs, or more. Consequently, statistical and machine learning models tailored to different data encodings are important. We focus on data encoded as normalized vectors, so that their "direction" is more important than their magnitude. Specifically, we consider high-dimensional vectors that lie either on the surface of the unit hypersphere or on the real projective plane. For such data, we briefly review common mathematical models prevalent in machine learning, while also outlining some technical aspects, software, applications, and open mathematical challenges.
What is the classification of model that uses convolutiona filters with SVM/Bayes classifier • /r/MachineLearning
Sure, it's a neural net, although someone who felt that it wasn't could probably make that argument. Bottom line - there aren't a lot of fundamentalists who will care a lot about a strong line discriminating what is and is not an instance of machine learning method X. Using a convolutional network as, effectively, a hierarchical set of image filters has certainly been done. You might have some trouble training it with a top level model that had problematic derivatives, and so had weird backprop issues. Realistically, a lot of work has involved training a deep convolutional net on a task, then cutting off the top fully connected layer, and instead taking the inputs as features for another kind of classifier (usually an SVM) to squeeze a little extra performance.
Maximum Likelihood Decoding with RNNs - the good, the bad, and the ugly - The Stanford Natural Language Processing Group
Training Tensorflow's large language model on the Penn Tree Bank yields a test perplexity of 82. It depends on your personal taste. The high temperature sample displays greater linguistic variety, but the low temperature sample is more grammatically correct. Such is the world of temperature sampling - lowering the temperature allows you to focus on higher probability output sequences and smooth over deficiencies of the model. Temperature sampling works by increasing the probability of the most likely words before sampling.
An ABC interpretation of the multiple auxiliary variable method
Prangle, Dennis, Everitt, Richard G.
Markov random fields (MRFs) have densities of the form f(y θ) γ(y θ)/Z(θ), (1) where γ(y θ) can be evaluated numerically but Z(θ) cannot in a reasonable time. This makes it challenging to perform inference. This note considers two approaches which both use simulation from f(y θ). The single auxiliary variable (SAV) method (Møller et al., 2006) and the multiple auxiliary variable (MAV) method (Murray et al., 2006) provide unbiased likelihood estimates. Approximate Bayesian computation (Marin et al., 2012) finds parameters which produce simulations similar to the observed data.
Scalable Discrete Sampling as a Multi-Armed Bandit Problem
Chen, Yutian, Ghahramani, Zoubin
Drawing a sample from a discrete distribution is one of the building components for Monte Carlo methods. Like other sampling algorithms, discrete sampling suffers from the high computational burden in large-scale inference problems. We study the problem of sampling a discrete random variable with a high degree of dependency that is typical in large-scale Bayesian inference and graphical models, and propose an efficient approximate solution with a subsampling approach. We make a novel connection between the discrete sampling and Multi-Armed Bandits problems with a finite reward population and provide three algorithms with theoretical guarantees. Empirical evaluations show the robustness and efficiency of the approximate algorithms in both synthetic and real-world large-scale problems.
Probabilistic Graphical Models on Multi-Core CPUs using Java 8
Masegosa, Andres R., Martinez, Ana M., Borchani, Hanen
In this paper, we discuss software design issues related to the development of parallel computational intelligence algorithms on multi-core CPUs, using the new Java 8 functional programming features. In particular, we focus on probabilistic graphical models (PGMs) and present the parallelisation of a collection of algorithms that deal with inference and learning of PGMs from data. Namely, maximum likelihood estimation, importance sampling, and greedy search for solving combinatorial optimisation problems. Through these concrete examples, we tackle the problem of defining efficient data structures for PGMs and parallel processing of same-size batches of data sets using Java 8 features. We also provide straightforward techniques to code parallel algorithms that seamlessly exploit multi-core processors. The experimental analysis, carried out using our open source AMIDST (Analysis of MassIve Data STreams) Java toolbox, shows the merits of the proposed solutions.
5 skills You Need to Become a Machine Learning Engineer
The world is unquestionably changing in rapid and dramatic ways, and the demand for Machine Learning engineers is going to keep increasing exponentially. Now undoubtedly Machine Learning has arrived. To begin, there are two very important things that you should understand if you're considering a career as a Machine Learning engineer. You don't necessarily have to have a research or academic background. Second, it's not enough to have either software engineering or data science experience.
Sparse group factor analysis for biclustering of multiple data sources
Bunte, Kerstin, Leppäaho, Eemeli, Saarinen, Inka, Kaski, Samuel
Motivation: Modelling methods that find structure in data are necessary with the current large volumes of genomic data, and there have been various efforts to find subsets of genes exhibiting consistent patterns over subsets of treatments. These biclustering techniques have focused on one data source, often gene expression data. We present a Bayesian approach for joint biclustering of multiple data sources, extending a recent method Group Factor Analysis (GFA) to have a biclustering interpretation with additional sparsity assumptions. The resulting method enables data-driven detection of linear structure present in parts of the data sources. Results: Our simulation studies show that the proposed method reliably infers bi-clusters from heterogeneous data sources. We tested the method on data from the NCI-DREAM drug sensitivity prediction challenge, resulting in an excellent prediction accuracy. Moreover, the predictions are based on several biclusters which provide insight into the data sources, in this case on gene expression, DNA methylation, protein abundance, exome sequence, functional connectivity fingerprints and drug sensitivity.