Active learning (AL) concerns itself with learning a model from as few labelled data as possible through actively and iteratively querying an oracle with selected unlabelled samples. In this paper, we focus on a popular type of AL in which the utility of a sample is measured by a specified goal achieved by the retrained model after accounting for the sample's marginal influence. Such AL strategies attract a lot of attention thanks to their intuitive motivations, yet they typically suffer from impractically high computational costs due to their need for many iterations of model retraining. With the help of influence functions, we present an effective approximation that bypasses model retraining altogether, and propose a general efficient implementation that makes such AL strategies applicable in practice, both in the serial and the more challenging batch-mode setting. Additionally, we present theoretical analyses which call into question a common practice widely adopted in the field. Finally, we carry out empirical studies with both synthetic and real-world datasets to validate our discoveries as well as showcase the potentials and issues with such goal-oriented AL strategies.

Recurrent neural networks (RNNs) have been extraordinarily successful for prediction with sequential data. To tackle highly variable and noisy real-world data, we introduce Particle Filter Recurrent Neural Networks (PF-RNNs), a new RNN family that explicitly models uncertainty in its internal structure: while an RNN relies on a long, deterministic latent state vector, a PF-RNN maintains a latent state distribution, approximated as a set of particles. For effective learning, we provide a fully differentiable particle filter algorithm that updates the PF-RNN latent state distribution according to the Bayes rule. Experiments demonstrate that the proposed PF-RNNs outperform the corresponding standard gated RNNs on a synthetic robot localization dataset and 10 real-world sequence prediction datasets for text classification, stock price prediction, etc.

While tasks could come with varying number of instances in realistic settings, the existing meta-learning approaches for few-shot classfication assume even task distributions where the number of instances for each task and class are fixed. Due to such restriction, they learn to equally utilize the meta-knowledge across all the tasks, even when the number of instances per task and class largely varies. Moreover, they do not consider distributional difference in unseen tasks at the meta-test time, on which the meta-knowledge may have varying degree of usefulness depending on the task relatedness. To overcome these limitations, we propose a novel meta-learning model that adaptively balances the effect of the meta-learning and task-specific learning, and also class-specific learning within each task. Through the learning of the balancing variables, we can decide whether to obtain a solution close to the initial parameter or far from it. We formulate this objective into a Bayesian inference framework and solve it using variational inference. Our Bayesian Task-Adaptive Meta-Learning (Bayesian-TAML) significantly outperforms existing meta-learning approaches on benchmark datasets for both few-shot and realistic class- and task-imbalanced datasets, with especially higher gains on the latter.

Determinantal point processes (DPPs) have attracted substantial attention as an elegant probabilistic model that captures the balance between quality and diversity within sets. DPPs are conventionally parameterized by a positive semi-definite kernel matrix, and this symmetric kernel encodes only repulsive interactions between items. These so-called symmetric DPPs have significant expressive power, and have been successfully applied to a variety of machine learning tasks, including recommendation systems, information retrieval, and automatic summarization, among many others. Efficient algorithms for learning symmetric DPPs and sampling from these models have been reasonably well studied. However, relatively little attention has been given to nonsymmetric DPPs, which relax the symmetric constraint on the kernel. Nonsymmetric DPPs allow for both repulsive and attractive item interactions, which can significantly improve modeling power, resulting in a model that may better fit for some applications. We present a method that enables a tractable algorithm, based on maximum likelihood estimation, for learning nonsymmetric DPPs from data composed of observed subsets. Our method imposes a particular decomposition of the nonsymmetric kernel that enables such tractable learning algorithms, which we analyze both theoretically and experimentally. We evaluate our model on synthetic and real-world datasets, demonstrating improved predictive performance compared to symmetric DPPs, which have previously shown strong performance on modeling tasks associated with these datasets.

We propose a new framework of imposing monotonicity constraints in a Bayesian non-parametric setting. Our approach is based on numerical solutions of stochastic differential equations [Hedge, 2019]. We derive a non-parametric model of monotonic functions that allows for interpretable priors and principled quantification of hierarchical uncertainty. We demonstrate the efficacy of the proposed model by providing competitive results to other probabilistic models of monotonic functions on a number of benchmark functions. In addition, we consider the utility of a monotonic constraint in hierarchical probabilistic models, such as deep Gaussian processes. These typically suffer difficulties in modelling and propagating uncertainties throughout the hierarchy that can lead to hidden layers collapsing to point estimates. We address this by constraining hidden layers to be monotonic and present novel procedures for learning and inference that maintain uncertainty. We illustrate the capacity and versatility of the proposed framework on the task of temporal alignment of time-series data where it is beneficial to preserve the uncertainty in the temporal warpings.

Directed graphical models (DGMs) are a class of probabilistic models that are widely used for predictive analysis in sensitive domains, such as medical diagnostics. In this paper we present an algorithm for differentially private learning of the parameters of a DGM with a publicly known graph structure over fully observed data. Our solution optimizes for the utility of inference queries over the DGM and \textit{adds noise that is customized to the properties of the private input dataset and the graph structure of the DGM}. To the best of our knowledge, this is the first explicit data-dependent privacy budget allocation algorithm for DGMs. We compare our algorithm with a standard data-independent approach over a diverse suite of DGM benchmarks and demonstrate that our solution requires a privacy budget that is $3\times$ smaller to obtain the same or higher utility.

Several structure learning algorithms have been proposed towards discovering causal or Bayesian Network (BN) graphs, which is a particularly challenging problem in AI. The performance of these algorithms is evaluated based on the relationship the learned graph has with respect to the ground truth graph. However, there is no agreed scoring function to determine this relationship. Moreover, this paper shows that the commonly used metrics tend to be biased in favour of graphs that minimise the number of edges. The evaluation bias is inconsistent and may lead to evaluating graphs with no edges as superior to graphs with varying numbers of correct and incorrect edges; implying that graphs that minimise edges are often favoured over more complex graphs due to bias rather than overall accuracy. While graphs that are less complex are often desirable, the current metrics encourage algorithms to optimise for simplicity, and to discover graphs with a limited number of edges that do not enable full propagation of evidence. This paper proposes a Balanced Scoring Function (BSF) that eliminates this bias by adjusting the reward function based on the difficulty of discovering an edge, or no edge, proportional to their occurrence rate in the ground truth graph. The BSF score can be used in conjunction with other traditional metrics to provide an alternative and unbiased assessment about the capability of structure learning algorithms in discovering causal or BN graphs.

Deep Neural Networks (DNNs) often rely on very large datasets for training. Given the large size of such datasets, it is conceivable that they contain certain samples that either do not contribute or negatively impact the DNN's performance. If there is a large number of such samples, subsampling the training dataset in a way that removes them could provide an effective solution to both improve performance and reduce training time. In this paper, we propose an approach called Active Dataset Subsampling (ADS), to identify favorable subsets within a dataset for training using ensemble based uncertainty estimation. When applied to three image classification benchmarks (CIFAR-10, CIFAR-100 and ImageNet) we find that there are low uncertainty subsets, which can be as large as 50% of the full dataset, that negatively impact performance. These subsets are identified and removed with ADS. We demonstrate that datasets obtained using ADS with a lightweight ResNet-18 ensemble remain effective when used to train deeper models like ResNet-101. Our results provide strong empirical evidence that using all the available data for training can hurt performance on large scale vision tasks.

In this paper, we provide a method to learn the directed structure of a Bayesian network using data. The data is accessed by making conditional probability queries to a black-box model. We introduce a notion of simplicity of representation of conditional probability tables for the nodes in the Bayesian network, that we call "low rankness". We connect this notion to the Fourier transformation of real valued set functions and propose a method which learns the exact directed structure of a `low rank` Bayesian network using very few queries. We formally prove that our method correctly recovers the true directed structure, runs in polynomial time and only needs polynomial samples with respect to the number of nodes. We also provide further improvements in efficiency if we have access to some observational data.

System identification of complex and nonlinear systems is a central problem for model predictive control and model-based reinforcement learning. Despite their complexity, such systems can often be approximated well by a set of linear dynamical systems if broken into appropriate subsequences. This mechanism not only helps us find good approximations of dynamics, but also gives us deeper insight into the underlying system. Leveraging Bayesian inference, Variational Autoencoders and Concrete relaxations, we show how to learn a richer and more meaningful state space, e.g. encoding joint constraints and collisions with walls in a maze, from partial and high-dimensional observations. This representation translates into a gain of accuracy of learned dynamics showcased on various simulated tasks.