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 Temporal Reasoning


Software Engineering Event Modeling using Relative Time in Temporal Knowledge Graphs

arXiv.org Machine Learning

We present a multi-relational temporal Knowledge Graph based on the daily interactions between artifacts in GitHub, one of the largest social coding platforms. Such representation enables posing many user-activity and project management questions as link prediction and time queries over the knowledge graph. In particular, we introduce two new datasets for i) interpolated time-conditioned link prediction and ii) extrapolated time-conditioned link/time prediction queries, each with distinguished properties. Our experiments on these datasets highlight the potential of adapting knowledge graphs to answer broad software engineering questions. Meanwhile, it also reveals the unsatisfactory performance of existing temporal models on extrapolated queries and time prediction queries in general. To overcome these shortcomings, we introduce an extension to current temporal models using relative temporal information with regards to past events.


A Survey on Temporal Reasoning for Temporal Information Extraction from Text (Extended Abstract)

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Time is deeply woven into how people perceive, and communicate about the world. Almost unconsciously, we provide our language utterances with temporal cues, like verb tenses, and we can hardly produce sentences without such cues. Extracting temporal cues from text, and constructing a global temporal view about the order of described events is a major challenge of automatic natural language understanding. Temporal reasoning, the process of combining different temporal cues into a coherent temporal view, plays a central role in temporal information extraction. This article presents a comprehensive survey of the research from the past decades on temporal reasoning for automatic temporal information extraction from text, providing a case study on the integration of symbolic reasoning with machine learning-based information extraction systems.


Graph Hawkes Network for Reasoning on Temporal Knowledge Graphs

arXiv.org Machine Learning

The Hawkes process has become a standard method for modeling self-exciting event sequences with different event types. A recent work generalizing the Hawkes process to a neurally self-modulating multivariate point process enables the capturing of more complex and realistic influences of past events on the future. However, this approach is limited by the number of event types, making it impossible to model the dynamics of evolving graph sequences, where each possible link between two nodes can be considered as an event type. The problem becomes even more dramatic when links are directional and labeled, since, in this case, the number of event types scales with the number of nodes and link types. To address this issue, we propose the Graph Hawkes Network to capture the dynamics of evolving graph sequences. Extensive experiments on large-scale temporal relational databases, such as temporal knowledge graphs, demonstrate the effectiveness of our approach.


Fast Multivariate Spatio-temporal Analysis via Low Rank Tensor Learning

Neural Information Processing Systems

Accurate and efficient analysis of multivariate spatio-temporal data is critical in climatology, geology, and sociology applications. Existing models usually assume simple inter-dependence among variables, space, and time, and are computationally expensive. We propose a unified low rank tensor learning framework for multivariate spatio-temporal analysis, which can conveniently incorporate different properties in spatio-temporal data, such as spatial clustering and shared structure among variables. We demonstrate how the general framework can be applied to cokriging and forecasting tasks, and develop an efficient greedy algorithm to solve the resulting optimization problem with convergence guarantee. We conduct experiments on both synthetic datasets and real application datasets to demonstrate that our method is not only significantly faster than existing methods but also achieves lower estimation error.


Temporal Knowledge Graph Embedding Model based on Additive Time Series Decomposition

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Knowledge Graph (KG) embedding has attracted more attention in recent years. Most of KG embedding models learn from time-unaware triples. However, the inclusion of temporal information beside triples would further improve the performance of a KGE model. In this regard, we propose A TiSE, a temporal KG embedding model which incorporates time information into entity/relation representations by using A dditive Time Se ries decomposition. Moreover, considering the temporal uncertainty during the evolution of entity/relation representations over time, we map the representations of temporal KGs into the space of multidimensional Gaussian distributions. The mean of each entity/relation embedding at a time step shows the current expected position, whereas its covariance (which is temporally stationary) represents its temporal uncertainty. Experimental results show that A TiSE not only achieves the state-of-the-art on link prediction over temporal KGs, but also can predict the occurrence time of facts with missing time annotations, as well as the existence of future events. To the best of our knowledge, no other model is capable to perform all these tasks.


Working Toward Planetary Scale Location Insights

#artificialintelligence

Recent innovations in agile aerospace have created unique offerings in high cadence satellite imagery. While this is of immense interest to imagery analysts, a significant portion of GIS professionals and geo-data scientists work less with raster data (AKA imagery) and more with point and vector data. Planet operates the world's largest constellation of earth observation satellites providing near-daily coverage of the entirety of Earth's landmass. Over the past couple of years, we have been working on bringing computer vision and spatiotemporal analysis to market to enable access and data transformations on this rich imagery archive. We recently announced the general availability of our analytic feeds and the launch of our building change detection analytics in private beta (sign up for info here).


A Survey on Temporal Reasoning for Temporal Information Extraction from Text

Journal of Artificial Intelligence Research

Time is deeply woven into how people perceive, and communicate about the world. Almost unconsciously, we provide our language utterances with temporal cues, like verb tenses, and we can hardly produce sentences without such cues. Extracting temporal cues from text, and constructing a global temporal view about the order of described events is a major challenge of automatic natural language understanding. Temporal reasoning, the process of combining different temporal cues into a coherent temporal view, plays a central role in temporal information extraction. This article presents a comprehensive survey of the research from the past decades on temporal reasoning for automatic temporal information extraction from text, providing a case study on how combining symbolic reasoning with machine learning-based information extraction systems can improve performance. It gives a clear overview of the used methodologies for temporal reasoning, and explains how temporal reasoning can be, and has been successfully integrated into temporal information extraction systems. Based on the distillation of existing work, this survey also suggests currently unexplored research areas. We argue that the level of temporal reasoning that current systems use is still incomplete for the full task of temporal information extraction, and that a deeper understanding of how the various types of temporal information can be integrated into temporal reasoning is required to drive future research in this area.


Diachronic Embedding for Temporal Knowledge Graph Completion

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Knowledge graphs (KGs) typically contain temporal facts indicating relationships among entities at different times. Due to their incompleteness, several approaches have been proposed to infer new facts for a KG based on the existing ones-a problem known as KG completion. KG embedding approaches have proved effective for KG completion, however, they have been developed mostly for static KGs. Developing temporal KG embedding models is an increasingly important problem. In this paper, we build novel models for temporal KG completion through equipping static models with a diachronic entity embedding function which provides the characteristics of entities at any point in time. This is in contrast to the existing temporal KG embedding approaches where only static entity features are provided. The proposed embedding function is model-agnostic and can be potentially combined with any static model. We prove that combining it with SimplE, a recent model for static KG embedding, results in a fully expressive model for temporal KG completion. Our experiments indicate the superiority of our proposal compared to existing baselines.


Time Reveals All Wounds: Modeling Temporal Characteristics of Cyberbullying

AAAI Conferences

Cyberbullying is a critical socio-technical problem that seriously limits the use of online interaction spaces by different individuals. Emerging literature identifies cyberbullying as a continuous temporal phenomena rather than one-off incidents. However, as of yet, little computational work has been done to model the temporal dynamics of cyberbullying in online sessions. In this work, we model the temporal dynamics of commenting behavior as point processes and validate it over a crowd-labeled cyberbullying data-set of Instagram media sessions. We define several temporal features to model the distinguishing characteristics between cyberbullying and regular media sessions. We find that our approach is successfully able to identify significant differences between cyberbullying and regular media sessions, and provide a performance increase in cyberbullying detection. This paves the way for more nuanced work on the use of temporal modeling to detect and mitigate the occurrence of cyberbullying.


Download Handbook Of Temporal Reasoning In Artificial Intelligence

#artificialintelligence

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