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Mixtures of Deterministic-Probabilistic Networks and their AND/OR Search Space

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

The paper introduces mixed networks, a new framework for expressing and reasoning with probabilistic and deterministic information. The framework combines belief networks with constraint networks, defining the semantics and graphical representation. We also introduce the AND/OR search space for graphical models, and develop a new linear space search algorithm. This provides the basis for understanding the benefits of processing the constraint information separately, resulting in the pruning of the search space. When the constraint part is tractable or has a small number of solutions, using the mixed representation can be exponentially more effective than using pure belief networks which odel constraints as conditional probability tables.


Design, Evaluation and Analysis of Combinatorial Optimization Heuristic Algorithms

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Combinatorial optimization is widely applied in a number of areas nowadays. Unfortunately, many combinatorial optimization problems are NP-hard which usually means that they are unsolvable in practice. However, it is often unnecessary to have an exact solution. In this case one may use heuristic approach to obtain a near-optimal solution in some reasonable time. We focus on two combinatorial optimization problems, namely the Generalized Traveling Salesman Problem and the Multidimensional Assignment Problem. The first problem is an important generalization of the Traveling Salesman Problem; the second one is a generalization of the Assignment Problem for an arbitrary number of dimensions. Both problems are NP-hard and have hosts of applications. In this work, we discuss different aspects of heuristics design and evaluation. A broad spectrum of related subjects, covered in this research, includes test bed generation and analysis, implementation and performance issues, local search neighborhoods and efficient exploration algorithms, metaheuristics design and population sizing in memetic algorithm. The most important results are obtained in the areas of local search and memetic algorithms for the considered problems. In both cases we have significantly advanced the existing knowledge on the local search neighborhoods and algorithms by systematizing and improving the previous results. We have proposed a number of efficient heuristics which dominate the existing algorithms in a wide range of time/quality requirements. Several new approaches, introduced in our memetic algorithms, make them the state-of-the-art metaheuristics for the corresponding problems. Population sizing is one of the most promising among these approaches; it is expected to be applicable to virtually any memetic algorithm.


On-the-fly Macros

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

We present a domain-independent algorithm that computes macros in a novel way. Our algorithm computes macros "on-the-fly" for a given set of states and does not require previously learned or inferred information, nor prior domain knowledge. The algorithm is used to define new domain-independent tractable classes of classical planning that are proved to include \emph{Blocksworld-arm} and \emph{Towers of Hanoi}.


Plan-based Policies for Efficient Multiple Battery Load Management

Journal of Artificial Intelligence Research

Efficient use of multiple batteries is a practical problem with wide and growing application. The problem can be cast as a planning problem under uncertainty. We describe the approach we have adopted to modelling and solving this problem, seen as a Markov Decision Problem, building effective policies for battery switching in the face of stochastic load profiles. Our solution exploits and adapts several existing techniques: planning for deterministic mixed discrete-continuous problems and Monte Carlo sampling for policy learning. The paper describes the development of planning techniques to allow solution of the non-linear continuous dynamic models capturing the battery behaviours. This approach depends on carefully handled discretisation of the temporal dimension. The construction of policies is performed using a classification approach and this idea offers opportunities for wider exploitation in other problems. The approach and its generality are described in the paper. Application of the approach leads to construction of policies that, in simulation, significantly outperform those that are currently in use and the best published solutions to the battery management problem. We achieve solutions that achieve more than 99% efficiency in simulation compared with the theoretical limit and do so with far fewer battery switches than existing policies. Behaviour of physical batteries does not exactly match the simulated models for many reasons, so to confirm that our theoretical results can lead to real measured improvements in performance we also conduct and report experiments using a physical test system. These results demonstrate that we can obtain 5%-15% improvement in lifetimes in the case of a two battery system.


Incorporating Domain Knowledge in Matching Problems via Harmonic Analysis

arXiv.org Machine Learning

Matching one set of objects to another is a ubiquitous task in machine learning and computer vision that often reduces to some form of the quadratic assignment problem (QAP). The QAP is known to be notoriously hard, both in theory and in practice. Here, we investigate if this difficulty can be mitigated when some additional piece of information is available: (a) that all QAP instances of interest come from the same application, and (b) the correct solution for a set of such QAP instances is given. We propose a new approach to accelerate the solution of QAPs based on learning parameters for a modified objective function from prior QAP instances. A key feature of our approach is that it takes advantage of the algebraic structure of permutations, in conjunction with special methods for optimizing functions over the symmetric group Sn in Fourier space. Experiments show that in practical domains the new method can outperform existing approaches.


Exponential Regret Bounds for Gaussian Process Bandits with Deterministic Observations

arXiv.org Machine Learning

This paper analyzes the problem of Gaussian process (GP) bandits with deterministic observations. The analysis uses a branch and bound algorithm that is related to the UCB algorithm of (Srinivas et al, 2010). For GPs with Gaussian observation noise, with variance strictly greater than zero, Srinivas et al proved that the regret vanishes at the approximate rate of $O(1/\sqrt{t})$, where t is the number of observations. To complement their result, we attack the deterministic case and attain a much faster exponential convergence rate. Under some regularity assumptions, we show that the regret decreases asymptotically according to $O(e^{-\frac{\tau t}{(\ln t)^{d/4}}})$ with high probability. Here, d is the dimension of the search space and tau is a constant that depends on the behaviour of the objective function near its global maximum.


Bayesian Optimal Active Search and Surveying

arXiv.org Machine Learning

We consider two active binary-classification problems with atypical objectives. In the first, active search, our goal is to actively uncover as many members of a given class as possible. In the second, active surveying, our goal is to actively query points to ultimately predict the proportion of a given class. Numerous real-world problems can be framed in these terms, and in either case typical model-based concerns such as generalization error are only of secondary importance. We approach these problems via Bayesian decision theory; after choosing natural utility functions, we derive the optimal policies. We provide three contributions. In addition to introducing the active surveying problem, we extend previous work on active search in two ways. First, we prove a novel theoretical result, that less-myopic approximations to the optimal policy can outperform more-myopic approximations by any arbitrary degree. We then derive bounds that for certain models allow us to reduce (in practice dramatically) the exponential search space required by a naive implementation of the optimal policy, enabling further lookahead while still ensuring that optimal decisions are always made.


Anytime Marginal MAP Inference

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

This paper presents a new anytime algorithm for the marginal MAP problem in graphical models. The algorithm is described in detail, its complexity and convergence rate are studied, and relations to previous theoretical results for the problem are discussed. It is shown that the algorithm runs in polynomial-time if the underlying graph of the model has bounded tree-width, and that it provides guarantees to the lower and upper bounds obtained within a fixed amount of computational resources. Experiments with both real and synthetic generated models highlight its main characteristics and show that it compares favorably against Park and Darwiche's systematic search, particularly in the case of problems with many MAP variables and moderate tree-width.


Output Space Search for Structured Prediction

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

We consider a framework for structured prediction based on search in the space of complete structured outputs. Given a structured input, an output is produced by running a time-bounded search procedure guided by a learned cost function, and then returning the least cost output uncovered during the search. This framework can be instantiated for a wide range of search spaces and search procedures, and easily incorporates arbitrary structured-prediction loss functions. In this paper, we make two main technical contributions. First, we define the limited-discrepancy search space over structured outputs, which is able to leverage powerful classification learning algorithms to improve the search space quality. Second, we give a generic cost function learning approach, where the key idea is to learn a cost function that attempts to mimic the behavior of conducting searches guided by the true loss function. Our experiments on six benchmark domains demonstrate that using our framework with only a small amount of search is sufficient for significantly improving on state-of-the-art structured-prediction performance.


Non-Minimal Triangulations for Mixed Stochastic/Deterministic Graphical Models

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

We observe that certain large-clique graph triangulations can be useful to reduce both computational and space requirements when making queries on mixed stochastic/deterministic graphical models. We demonstrate that many of these large-clique triangulations are non-minimal and are thus unattainable via the variable elimination algorithm. We introduce ancestral pairs as the basis for novel triangulation heuristics and prove that no more than the addition of edges between ancestral pairs need be considered when searching for state space optimal triangulations in such graphs. Empirical results on random and real world graphs show that the resulting triangulations that yield significant speedups are almost always non-minimal. We also give an algorithm and correctness proof for determining if a triangulation can be obtained via elimination, and we show that the decision problem associated with finding optimal state space triangulations in this mixed stochastic/deterministic setting is NP-complete.