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Combinatorial Inference for Graphical Models

arXiv.org Machine Learning

We propose a new family of combinatorial inference problems for graphical models. Unlike classical statistical inference where the main interest is point estimation or parameter testing, combinatorial inference aims at testing the global structure of the underlying graph. Examples include testing the graph connectivity, the presence of a cycle of certain size, or the maximum degree of the graph. To begin with, we develop a unified theory for the fundamental limits of a large family of combinatorial inference problems. We propose new concepts including structural packing and buffer entropies to characterize how the complexity of combinatorial graph structures impacts the corresponding minimax lower bounds. On the other hand, we propose a family of novel and practical structural testing algorithms to match the lower bounds. We provide thorough numerical results on both synthetic graphical models and brain networks to illustrate the usefulness of these proposed methods.


Stream Clipper: Scalable Submodular Maximization on Stream

arXiv.org Machine Learning

We propose a streaming submodular maximization algorithm "stream clipper" that performs as well as the offline greedy algorithm on document/video summarization in practice. It adds elements from a stream either to a solution set $S$ or to an extra buffer $B$ based on two adaptive thresholds, and improves $S$ by a final greedy step that starts from $S$ adding elements from $B$. During this process, swapping elements out of $S$ can occur if doing so yields improvements. The thresholds adapt based on if current memory utilization exceeds a budget, e.g., it increases the lower threshold, and removes from the buffer $B$ elements below the new lower threshold. We show that, while our approximation factor in the worst case is $1/2$ (like in previous work, and corresponding to the tight bound), we show that there are data-dependent conditions where our bound falls within the range $[1/2, 1-1/e]$. In news and video summarization experiments, the algorithm consistently outperforms other streaming methods, and, while using significantly less computation and memory, performs similarly to the offline greedy algorithm.


AI Meets Chemistry

AAAI Conferences

We argue that chemistry should be the next grand challenge for Artificial Intelligence. The AI research community and humanity would benefit tremendously from focusing AI research on chemistry on a regular basis, as a benchmark as well as a real-world application domain. To support our position, we review the importance of chemical compound discovery and synthesis planning and discuss the properties of search spaces in a chemistry problem. Knowledge acquired in domains such as two-player board games or single-player puzzles places the AI community in a good position to solve critical problems in the chemistry domain. Yet, we show that searching in chemistry problems poses significant additional challenges that will have to be addressed. Finally, we envision how several AI areas like Natural Language Processing, Machine Learning, planning and search, are relevant for chemistry.


Preliminary Results on Exploration-Driven Satisfiability Solving

AAAI Conferences

In this abstract, we present our study of exploring the SAT search space via random-sampling, with the goal of improving Conflict Directed Clause Learning (CDCL) SAT solvers. Our proposed CDCL SAT solving algorithm expSAT uses a novel branching heuristic expVSIDS. It combines the standard VSIDS scores with heuristic scores derived from exploration. Experiments with application benchmarks from recent SAT competitions demonstrate the potential of the expSAT approach for improving CDCL SAT solvers.


A Brief History and Recent Achievements in Bidirectional Search

AAAI Conferences

The state of the art in bidirectional search has changed significantly a very short time period; we now can answer questions about unidirectional and bidirectional search that until very recently we were unable to answer. This paper is designed to provide an accessible overview of the recent research in bidirectional search in the context of the broader efforts over the last 50 years. We give particular attention to new theoretical results and the algorithms they inspire for optimal and near-optimal node expansions when finding a shortest path.


A SAT+CAS Method for Enumerating Williamson Matrices of Even Order

AAAI Conferences

We present for the first time an exhaustive enumeration of Williamson matrices of even order n < 65. The search method relies on the novel SAT+CAS paradigm of coupling SAT solvers with computer algebra systems so as to take advantage of the advances made in both the field of satisfiability checking and the field of symbolic computation. Additionally, we use a programmatic SAT solver which allows conflict clauses to be learned programmatically, through a piece of code specifically tailored to the domain area. Prior to our work, Williamson matrices had only been enumerated for odd orders n < 60, so our work increases the bounds that Williamson matrices have been enumerated up to and provides the first enumeration of Williamson matrices of even order. Our results show that Williamson matrices of even order tend to be much more abundant than those of odd orders. In particular, Williamson matrices exist for every even order n < 65 but do not exist in orders 35, 47, 53, and 59.


Anytime Anyspace AND/OR Best-First Search for Bounding Marginal MAP

AAAI Conferences

Marginal MAP is a key task in Bayesian inference and decision-making. It is known to be very difficult in general, particularly because the evaluation of each MAP assignment requires solving an internal summation problem. In this paper, we propose a best-first search algorithm that provides anytime upper bounds for marginal MAP in graphical models. It folds the computation of external maximization and internal summation into an AND/OR tree search framework, and solves them simultaneously using a unified best-first search algorithm. The algorithm avoids some unnecessary computation of summation sub-problems associated with MAP assignments, and thus yields significant time savings. Furthermore, our algorithm is able to operate within limited memory. Empirical evaluation on three challenging benchmarks demonstrates that our unified best-first search algorithm using pre-compiled variational heuristics often provides tighter anytime upper bounds compared to those state-of-the-art baselines.


Hierarchical Policy Search via Return-Weighted Density Estimation

AAAI Conferences

Learning an optimal policy from a multi-modal reward function is a challenging problem in reinforcement learning (RL). Hierarchical RL (HRL) tackles this problem by learning a hierarchicalpolicy, where multiple option policies are in charge of different strategies corresponding to modes of a reward function and a gating policy selects the best option for a given context. Although HRL has been demonstrated to be promising, current state-of-the-art methods cannot still perform well in complex real-world problems due to the difficulty of identifying modes of the reward function. In this paper, we propose a novel method called hierarchical policy search via return-weighted density estimation (HPSDE), which can efficiently identify the modes through density estimation with return-weighted importance sampling. Our proposed method finds option policies corresponding to the modes of the return function and automatically determines the number and the location of option policies, which significantly reduces the burden of hyper-parameters tuning. Through experiments, we demonstrate that the proposed HPSDE successfully learns option policies corresponding to modes of the return function and that it can be successfully applied to a motion planning problem of a redundant robotic manipulator.


Anchors: High-Precision Model-Agnostic Explanations

AAAI Conferences

We introduce a novel model-agnostic system that explains the behavior of complex models with high-precision rules called anchors, representing local, "sufficient" conditions for predictions. We propose an algorithm to efficiently compute these explanations for any black-box model with high-probability guarantees. We demonstrate the flexibility of anchors by explaining a myriad of different models for different domains and tasks. In a user study, we show that anchors enable users to predict how a model would behave on unseen instances with less effort and higher precision, as compared to existing linear explanations or no explanations.


Solving Generalized Column Subset Selection With Heuristic Search

AAAI Conferences

We address the problem of approximating a matrix by the linear combination of a column sparse matrix and a low rank matrix. Two variants of a heuristic search algorithm are described. The first produces an optimal solution but may be slow, as these problems are believed to be NP-hard. The second is much faster, but only guarantees a suboptimal solution. The quality of the approximation and the optimality criterion can be specified in terms of unitarily invariant norms.