Rule-Based Reasoning
Integrating Association Rules with Decision Trees in Object-Relational Databases
Research has provided evidence that associative classification produces more accurate results compared to other classification models. The Classification Based on Association (CBA) is one of the famous Associative Classification algorithms that generates accurate classifiers. However, current association classification algorithms reside external to databases, which reduces the flexibility of enterprise analytics systems. This paper implements the CBA in Oracle database using two variant models: hardcoding the CBA in Oracle Data Mining (ODM) package and Integrating Oracle Apriori model with the Oracle Decision tree model. We compared the proposed model performance with Naive Bayes, Support Vector Machine, Random Forests, and Decision Tree over 18 datasets from UCI. Results showed that our models outperformed the original CBA model with 1 percent and is competitive to chosen classification models over benchmark datasets.
"Why did you do that?": Explaining black box models with Inductive Synthesis
Paรงacฤฑ, Gรถrkem, Johnson, David, McKeever, Steve, Hamfelt, Andreas
By their nature, the composition of black box models is opaque. This makes the ability to generate explanations for the response to stimuli challenging. The importance of explaining black box models has become increasingly important given the prevalence of AI and ML systems and the need to build legal and regulatory frameworks around them. Such explanations can also increase trust in these uncertain systems. In our paper we present RICE, a method for generating explanations of the behaviour of black box models by (1) probing a model to extract model output examples using sensitivity analysis; (2) applying CNPInduce, a method for inductive logic program synthesis, to generate logic programs based on critical input-output pairs; and (3) interpreting the target program as a human-readable explanation. We demonstrate the application of our method by generating explanations of an artificial neural network trained to follow simple traffic rules in a hypothetical self-driving car simulation. We conclude with a discussion on the scalability and usability of our approach and its potential applications to explanation-critical scenarios.
Explainability in Human-Agent Systems
Rosenfeld, Avi, Richardson, Ariella
This paper presents a taxonomy of explainability in Human-Agent Systems. We consider fundamental questions about the Why, Who, What, When and How of explainability. First, we define explainability, and its relationship to the related terms of interpretability, transparency, explicitness, and faithfulness. These definitions allow us to answer why explainability is needed in the system, whom it is geared to and what explanations can be generated to meet this need. We then consider when the user should be presented with this information. Last, we consider how objective and subjective measures can be used to evaluate the entire system. This last question is the most encompassing as it will need to evaluate all other issues regarding explainability.
Artificial intelligence all set to change the BFSI landscape
Businesses across verticals are moving from digitisation to cognification of everything. Having said that, banks and financial institutions have recognised the potentials of Artificial Intelligence (AI) to redefine their processes, products and services. With customer experience becoming vital to ensure good business, banks have been adopting AI solutions to further enhance their services what with virtual assistants and chatbots handling different customer queries. The banking industry is using AI to reimagine products, processes, strategies and the overall customer experience. Cutting edge AI research and development is transforming the sector through an automated, integrated, collaborated approach to cyber defence and helping facilitate better information sharing between security components within and across organizations. In the current scenario, four new threat samples are submitted to our systems every second, which is around 250 samples every minute or 15,000 samples every hour, equivalent to approximately 3,60,000 NEW samples daily!
Adaptive Learning Expert System for Diagnosis and Management of Viral Hepatitis
Viral hepatitis is the regularly found health problem throughout the world among other easily transmitted diseases, such as tuberculosis, human immune virus, malaria and so on. Among all hepatitis viruses, the uppermost numbers of deaths are result from the long-lasting hepatitis C infection or long-lasting hepatitis B. In order to develop this system, the knowledge is acquired using both structured and semi-structured interviews from internists of St.Paul Hospital. Once the knowledge is acquired, it is modeled and represented using rule based reasoning techniques. Both forward and backward chaining is used to infer the rules and provide appropriate advices in the developed expert system. For the purpose of developing the prototype expert system SWI-prolog editor also used. The proposed system has the ability to adapt with dynamic knowledge by generalizing rules and discover new rules through learning the newly arrived knowledge from domain experts adaptively without any help from the knowledge engineer.
G7 pushes North Korea to continue denuclearization talks with U.S.
DINARD, FRANCE - Foreign ministers of Group of Seven nations on Saturday pushed North Korea to continue denuclearization negotiations with the United States while vowing to maintain pressure on Pyongyang to encourage it to give up its nuclear weapons and ballistic missile programs. In a communique issued after a two-day meeting in Dinard, western France, the ministers also expressed serious concern about the situation in the East and South China seas -- a veiled criticism of China's militarization of outposts in disputed areas of the South China Sea and its attempts to undermine Japan's control of the Senkaku Islands in the East China Sea. The Senkakus are administered by Japan, but claimed by China and Taiwa, which call them the Diaoyu and Tiaoyutai, respectively. During the meeting, some G7 members touched on China's expanding global ambitions through its signature Belt and Road Initiative infrastructure project, a Japanese official said. But the communique makes no reference to the initiative in an apparent effort to demonstrate unity among the group.
Expert-Augmented Machine Learning
Gennatas, E. D., Friedman, J. H., Ungar, L. H., Pirracchio, R., Eaton, E., Reichman, L., Interian, Y., Simone, C. B., Auerbach, A., Delgado, E., Van der Laan, M. J., Solberg, T. D., Valdes, G.
Machine Learning is proving invaluable across disciplines. However, its success is often limited by the quality and quantity of available data, while its adoption by the level of trust that models afford users. Human vs. machine performance is commonly compared empirically to decide whether a certain task should be performed by a computer or an expert. In reality, the optimal learning strategy may involve combining the complementary strengths of man and machine. Here we present Expert-Augmented Machine Learning (EAML), an automated method that guides the extraction of expert knowledge and its integration into machine-learned models. We use a large dataset of intensive care patient data to predict mortality and show that we can extract expert knowledge using an online platform, help reveal hidden confounders, improve generalizability on a different population and learn using less data. EAML presents a novel framework for high performance and dependable machine learning in critical applications.
Lane Change Decision-making through Deep Reinforcement Learning with Rule-based Constraints
Wang, Junjie, Zhang, Qichao, Zhao, Dongbin, Chen, Yaran
Autonomous driving decision-making is a great challenge due to the complexity and uncertainty of the traffic environment. Combined with the rule-based constraints, a Deep Q-Network (DQN) based method is applied for autonomous driving lane change decision-making task in this study. Through the combination of high-level lateral decision-making and low-level rule-based trajectory modification, a safe and efficient lane change behavior can be achieved. With the setting of our state representation and reward function, the trained agent is able to take appropriate actions in a real-world-like simulator. The generated policy is evaluated on the simulator for 10 times, and the results demonstrate that the proposed rule-based DQN method outperforms the rule-based approach and the DQN method.
The Unexpected Philosophical Depths of the Clicker Game Universal Paperclips
On a less-trafficked floor of the Whitney Museum, curators have scoured the museum's permanent collection to display art that uses "instructions, sets of rules, and code" to investigate a world "increasingly driven by automated systems." In the nineties, the game designer Frank Lantz produced such work. "I would make some marks on a page, and then I would just connect the endpoints of all the lines to the nearest unconnected endpoint, and then I would add another rule," he said. His method had a whiff of misanthropy. He wanted to render himself obsolete and let something else take over. "I was trying to understand--where does drawing come from?
Extending Signature-based Intrusion Detection Systems WithBayesian Abductive Reasoning
Ganesan, Ashwinkumar, Parameshwarappa, Pooja, Peshave, Akshay, Chen, Zhiyuan, Oates, Tim
Evolving cybersecurity threats are a persistent challenge for systemadministrators and security experts as new malwares are continu-ally released. Attackers may look for vulnerabilities in commercialproducts or execute sophisticated reconnaissance campaigns tounderstand a targets network and gather information on securityproducts like firewalls and intrusion detection / prevention systems(network or host-based). Many new attacks tend to be modificationsof existing ones. In such a scenario, rule-based systems fail to detectthe attack, even though there are minor differences in conditions /attributes between rules to identify the new and existing attack. Todetect these differences the IDS must be able to isolate the subset ofconditions that are true and predict the likely conditions (differentfrom the original) that must be observed. In this paper, we proposeaprobabilistic abductive reasoningapproach that augments an exist-ing rule-based IDS (snort [29]) to detect these evolved attacks by (a)Predicting rule conditions that are likely to occur (based on existingrules) and (b) able to generate new snort rules when provided withseed rule (i.e. a starting rule) to reduce the burden on experts toconstantly update them. We demonstrate the effectiveness of theapproach by generating new rules from the snort 2012 rules set andtesting it on the MACCDC 2012 dataset [6].