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On a Uniform Causality Model for Industrial Automation

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

The increasing complexity of Cyber-Physical Systems (CPS) makes industrial automation challenging. Large amounts of data recorded by sensors need to be processed to adequately perform tasks such as diagnosis in case of fault. A promising approach to deal with this complexity is the concept of causality. However, most research on causality has focused on inferring causal relations between parts of an unknown system. Engineering uses causality in a fundamentally different way: complex systems are constructed by combining components with known, controllable behavior. As CPS are constructed by the second approach, most data-based causality models are not suited for industrial automation. To bridge this gap, a Uniform Causality Model for various application areas of industrial automation is proposed, which will allow better communication and better data usage across disciplines. The resulting model describes the behavior of CPS mathematically and, as the model is evaluated on the unique requirements of the application areas, it is shown that the Uniform Causality Model can work as a basis for the application of new approaches in industrial automation that focus on machine learning.


Simplifying Decision Tree Interpretability with Python & Scikit-learn - KDnuggets

#artificialintelligence

When discussing classifiers, decision trees are often thought of as easily interpretable models when compared to numerous more complex classifiers, especially those of the blackbox variety. And this is generally true. This is especially true of rather comparatively simple models created from simple data. This is much-less true of complex decision trees crafted from large amounts of (high-dimensional) data. Even otherwise straightforward decision trees which are of great depth and/or breadth, consisting of heavy branching, can be difficult to trace.


TruVR: Trustworthy Cybersickness Detection using Explainable Machine Learning

#artificialintelligence

Cybersickness can be characterized by nausea, vertigo, headache, eye strain, and other discomforts when using virtual reality (VR) systems. The previously reported machine learning (ML) and deep learning (DL) algorithms for detecting (classification) and predicting (regression) VR cybersickness use black-box models; thus, they lack explainability. Moreover, VR sensors generate a massive amount of data, resulting in complex and large models. Therefore, having inherent explainability in cybersickness detection models can significantly improve the model's trustworthiness and provide insight into why and how the ML/DL model arrived at a specific decision. To address this issue, we present three explainable machine learning (xML) models to detect and predict cybersickness: 1) explainable boosting machine (EBM), 2) decision tree (DT), and 3) logistic regression (LR). We evaluate xML-based models with publicly available physiological and gameplay datasets for cybersickness. The results show that the EBM can detect cybersickness with an accuracy of 99.75% and 94.10% for the physiological and gameplay datasets, respectively. On the other hand, while predicting the cybersickness, EBM resulted in a Root Mean Square Error (RMSE) of 0.071 for the physiological dataset and 0.27 for the gameplay dataset. Furthermore, the EBM-based global explanation reveals exposure length, rotation, and acceleration as key features causing cybersickness in the gameplay dataset. In contrast, galvanic skin responses and heart rate are most significant in the physiological dataset. Our results also suggest that EBM-based local explanation can identify cybersickness-causing factors for individual samples. We believe the proposed xML-based cybersickness detection method can help future researchers understand, analyze, and design simpler cybersickness detection and reduction models.


A Quantum Algorithm for Computing All Diagnoses of a Switching Circuit

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Faults are stochastic by nature while most man-made systems, and especially computers, work deterministically. This necessitates the linking of probability theory with mathematical logics, automata, and switching circuit theory. This paper provides such a connecting via quantum information theory which is an intuitive approach as quantum physics obeys probability laws. In this paper we provide a novel approach for computing diagnosis of switching circuits with gate-based quantum computers. The approach is based on the idea of putting the qubits representing faults in superposition and compute all, often exponentially many, diagnoses simultaneously. We empirically compare the quantum algorithm for diagnostics to an approach based on SAT and model-counting. For a benchmark of combinational circuits we establish an error of less than one percent in estimating the true probability of faults.


Artificial Intelligence Methods for Fault Diagnosis in Centrifugal Pumps

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Maamar Ali Saud Al Tobi, Ph.D., is Assistant Professor and Deputy Head of the Mechanical and Industrial Engineering Department at the National University of Science and Technology, Muscat, Oman. His teaching and research areas include machine condition monitoring, vibration analysis, artificial intelligence, genetic algorithm, and maintenance management and strategies. He is author of numerous papers in international journals on fault diagnosis in rotating machinery using AI systems. Geraint Bevan, Ph.D., is Senior Lecturer in Applied Instrumentation and Control at the School of Computing, Engineering and Built Environment at Glasgow Caledonian University, Glasgow, Scotland. He is widely published on bond-graph modeling for control system design, design of automotive control systems, monitoring for nuclear safeguards, machine condition monitoring, and renewable energy.


CKH: Causal Knowledge Hierarchy for Estimating Structural Causal Models from Data and Priors

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Structural causal models (SCMs) provide a principled approach to identifying causation from observational and experimental data in disciplines ranging from economics to medicine. However, SCMs, which is typically represented as graphical models, cannot rely only on data, rather require support of domain knowledge. A key challenge in this context is the absence of a methodological framework for encoding priors (background knowledge) into causal models in a systematic manner. We propose an abstraction called causal knowledge hierarchy (CKH) for encoding priors into causal models. Our approach is based on the foundation of "levels of evidence" in medicine, with a focus on confidence in causal information. Using CKH, we present a methodological framework for encoding causal priors from various information sources and combining them to derive an SCM. We evaluate our approach on a simulated dataset and demonstrate overall performance compared to the ground truth causal model with sensitivity analysis.


System Resilience through Health Monitoring and Reconfiguration

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

We demonstrate an end-to-end framework to improve the resilience of man-made systems to unforeseen events. The framework is based on a physics-based digital twin model and three modules tasked with real-time fault diagnosis, prognostics and reconfiguration. The fault diagnosis module uses model-based diagnosis algorithms to detect and isolate faults and generates interventions in the system to disambiguate uncertain diagnosis solutions. We scale up the fault diagnosis algorithm to the required real-time performance through the use of parallelization and surrogate models of the physics-based digital twin. The prognostics module tracks the fault progressions and trains the online degradation models to compute remaining useful life of system components. In addition, we use the degradation models to assess the impact of the fault progression on the operational requirements. The reconfiguration module uses PDDL-based planning endowed with semantic attachments to adjust the system controls so that the fault impact on the system operation is minimized. We define a resilience metric and use the example of a fuel system model to demonstrate how the metric improves with our framework.


Shallow decision trees for explainable $k$-means clustering

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

A number of recent works have employed decision trees for the construction of explainable partitions that aim to minimize the $k$-means cost function. These works, however, largely ignore metrics related to the depths of the leaves in the resulting tree, which is perhaps surprising considering how the explainability of a decision tree depends on these depths. To fill this gap in the literature, we propose an efficient algorithm that takes into account these metrics. In experiments on 16 datasets, our algorithm yields better results than decision-tree clustering algorithms such as the ones presented in \cite{dasgupta2020explainable}, \cite{frost2020exkmc}, \cite{laber2021price} and \cite{DBLP:conf/icml/MakarychevS21}, typically achieving lower or equivalent costs with considerably shallower trees. We also show, through a simple adaptation of existing techniques, that the problem of building explainable partitions induced by binary trees for the $k$-means cost function does not admit an $(1+\epsilon)$-approximation in polynomial time unless $P=NP$, which justifies the quest for approximation algorithms and/or heuristics.


Researchers propose a novel fault diagnosis algorithm for pulse width modulation converter

#artificialintelligence

A research team led by Prof. Gao Ge and Jiang Li from the Hefei Institutes of Physical Science of the Chinese Academy of Sciences has investigated the fault diagnosis of a pulse width modulation converter and proposed a neural network fault diagnosis algorithm to solve existing problems in this field. Results were published in IEEE Transactions on Power Electronics. Pulse width modulation has the advantages of high efficiency, high power density and high reliability. But due to the complexity of the drive systems and the diversity of fusion joint operation, pulse-width modulating voltage source converter systems are prone to suffer critical failures. Therefore, research on fault diagnostic technology is of deep concern, especially open-circuit fault diagnosis, which was what scientists have been focusing in this study.


A reduced-order modeling framework for simulating signatures of faults in a bladed disk

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

This paper reports a reduced-order modeling framework of bladed disks on a rotating shaft to simulate the vibration signature of faults in different components aiming toward simulated data-driven machine learning. We have employed lumped and one-dimensional analytical models of the subcomponents for better insight into the complex dynamic response. The framework addresses some of the challenges encountered in analyzing and optimizing fault detection and identification schemes for health monitoring of aero-engines and other rotating machinery. We model the bladed disks and shafts by combining lumped elements and one-dimensional finite elements, leading to a coupled system. The simulation results are in good agreement with previously published data. We model and analyze the cracks in a blade with their effective reduced stiffness approximation. Different types of faults are modeled, including cracks in the blades of a single and a two-stage bladed disks, Fan Blade Off (FBO), and Foreign Object Damage (FOD). We have applied aero-engine operational load conditions to simulate realistic scenarios of online health monitoring. The proposed reduced-order simulation framework will have applications in probabilistic signal modeling, machine learning toward fault signature identification, and parameter estimation with measured vibration signals. Keywords: Reduced-order model, health monitoring, rotating system, engine, fault, crack, FBO, FOD 1. Introduction For decades, health monitoring system to detect faults in rotors has remained a significant area of interest, particularly to the aero-engine industry and turbine-based power plant operators. Structural Health Monitoring (SHM) system design typically deals with performance-related challenges involving sensors, interfaces, and software algorithms to efficiently function under harsh environmental conditions and detect faults from noisy and complex signals. Verification and validation of the overall system performance through modeling signals have great promises.